Angers vs Marseille• Ligue 1, France

#151.4:1.62-5FTToday · Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers1.0:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.93PINX3.90B36522.041XBMargin at best0.1%Books6Markets82Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.78	3.85	2.04	1.4%
Pinnacle	3.93	3.89	1.93	3.0%
Marathonbet	3.68	3.75	1.98	4.3%
Bet365	3.80	3.90	1.90	4.6%
BetVictor	3.70	3.80	1.90	6.0%
William Hill	3.60	3.50	1.95	7.6%
Best of all books	3.93	3.90	2.04	0.1%
Average	3.75	3.78	1.95	4.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AngersMarseille

Last 10#15Table position#91.00Points per game1.297Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.658Attack rating4250Defence rating5070Form rating3015H2H rating8547Goals model5345Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Angers

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	A	Stade Brestois 29	1-5	L
19 Sep	H	Estac Troyes	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Le Havre	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Rennes	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Auxerre	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Lille	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Paris FC	3-2	W
8 Aug	H	Lorient	2-1	W
1 Aug	H	Le Mans	2-3	L
25 Jul	H	Creteil	2-1	W

Marseille

3W 0D 7L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

15 Oct	H	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Estac Troyes	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Paris Saint Germain	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	Beşiktaş	1-4	L
11 Sep	A	Rennes	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Paris FC	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	Monaco	0-2	L
21 Aug	H	Strasbourg	4-0	W
14 Aug	H	Atletico Madrid	1-2	L
9 Aug	H	Athletic Club	3-1	W

Head to head

2Angers wins

9draws

9Marseille wins

20 meetings · goals 20:38 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Angers

17 Jan 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Angers2-5Marseille
29 Oct 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille2-2Angers
9 Feb 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Angers0-2Marseille
4 Oct 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille1-1Angers
14 May 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille3-1Angers
30 Sep 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Angers0-3Marseille
4 Feb 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille5-2Angers
22 Sep 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Angers0-0Marseille
16 May 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille3-2Angers
23 Dec 2020Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Angers2-1Marseille

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 18 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Angers sit 15th with 7 points from 7 games, while Marseille are 9th with 9 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	7	4	2	1	14:9	+5	14
2	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
3	Lille	7	4	2	1	10:5	+5	14
4	Monaco	7	4	2	1	10:6	+4	14
5	Rennes	7	4	1	2	15:14	+1	13
6	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11
7	Lorient	7	3	2	2	7:6	+1	11
8	Lens	7	3	1	3	14:11	+3	10
9	Marseille	7	3	0	4	14:10	+4	9
10	Stade Brestois 29	7	2	3	2	13:10	+3	9
11	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12:11	+1	9
12	Auxerre	7	3	0	4	11:17	-6	9
13	Nice	6	2	2	2	5:7	-2	8
14	Strasbourg	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7
15	Angers	7	2	1	4	9:15	-6	7
16	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10:15	-5	6
17	Estac Troyes	7	1	1	5	5:16	-11	4
18	Le Havre	7	0	2	5	5:11	-6	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.75X25%3.78249%1.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.22 → 3.75 +16.5%X3.66 → 3.78 +3.3%22.10 → 1.95 -7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.68	2.38	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.36	3.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.31	4.6%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
BetVictor	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Best of all books	1.68	2.38	1.5%
Average	1.63	2.31	4.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.45	6.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.37	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Average	1.53	2.36	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Angers 10%Draw 45%Marseille 45%

The statistical model rated Angers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Marseille at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.75 | 3.78 | 1.95, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Angers are 15th (7 pts, 9-15 goals), Marseille 9th (9 pts, 14-10).

Over their last five matches, Angers averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Marseille averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Marseille.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Angers

4-3-3

Coach: S. Gilli

Goalkeeper

1Anthony Lopes

Defence

2C. Arcus
27L. Rao-Lisoa
6L. Mouton
34M. Gernigon

Midfield

14Y. Belkhdim
24E. Biumla
8B. van den Boomen

Attack

18J. Allevinah
19A. El Ouazzani
10A. Sbaï

Substitutes (9)

9P. Peter
37Jules Bouffandeau
26A. Bermont
36Bane Diatta
11Djibirin Harouna
17J. Kalulu
20Marius Louër
7U. Simbakoli
40Oumar Pona

Marseille

4-2-3-1

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Goalkeeper

1J. de Lange

Defence

22T. Weah
4C. Egan-Riley
19G. Kondogbia
33Emerson

Midfield

42Nouhoum Kamissoko
6T. Nnadi
77A. Harit
8H. Abdelli
14Igor Paixão

Attack

9A. Gouiri

Substitutes (9)

7A. Gomes
21N. Aguerd
74K. Bezahaf
25U. Garcia
48K. Abdallah
92T. Vermot
18B. Meité
11N. Maupay
43T. Mmadi

Match Statistics

AngersMarseille

2.06Expected Goals2.77

328Passes accurate494

7Shots insidebox13

4Shots outsidebox8

4Blocked Shots5

11Free Kicks10

3Shots on Goal8

3Goalkeeper Saves1

4Shots off Goal8

390Total passes564

11Total Shots21

1Yellow Cards1

2Corner Kicks5

11Fouls12

0Red Cards0

42%Ball Possession58%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.75	3.78	1.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.82	1.29	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.65	1.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
4.01	2.36	2.48

2nd half

1	X	2
3.54	2.65	2.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.83	14.8	23.0
HT X	8.27	6.07	5.23
HT 2	31.7	14.0	2.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.28	15.4	1.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	15.5
1.5	1.17	4.53
2.5	1.63	2.31
3.5	2.46	1.51
4.5	4.38	1.17
5.5	8.40	1.04
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	12.0
1.25	1.08	6.17
1.75	1.20	4.11
2	1.26	3.60
2.25	1.46	2.74
2.75	1.77	2.06
3	1.97	1.80
3.25	2.21	1.62
3.75	2.85	1.37
4	3.59	1.25
4.25	3.86	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.75	1.47
+0.25	2.15	1.67
+0.5	1.93	1.89
+0.75	1.66	2.16
+1	1.45	2.63
+1.25	1.36	2.98

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	9.60	1.01
-1.5	7.20	1.07
-1.25	6.88	1.08
-1	6.47	1.09
-0.75	4.31	1.20
-0.5	3.61	1.28
-0.25	3.19	1.35
+1.5	1.29	3.33
+1.75	1.19	4.08
+2	1.09	5.73
+2.25	1.12	6.40
+2.5	1.07	6.57

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.29	3.43
3	1.41	2.88
3.5	1.73	2.04
4	2.13	1.71
4.5	2.33	1.57

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	8.70
6.5	1.09	4.94
7.5	1.21	3.39
8.5	1.45	2.51
9.5	1.81	1.92
10.5	2.22	1.58
11.5	2.84	1.33
12.5	3.80	1.17
13.5	5.15	1.09
14.5	5.57	1.04

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.59
7	1.11	4.19
7.75	1.20	3.24
8	1.25	2.95
8.25	1.32	2.79
8.75	1.46	2.35
9	1.57	2.25
9.25	1.64	2.07
9.75	1.89	1.85
10	2.01	1.77
10.25	2.10	1.62
10.75	2.39	1.45
11	2.50	1.41
11.25	2.80	1.33
12	3.20	1.21
13	4.25	1.11
14	5.42	1.05

Latest Ligue 1 results

18 Oct	Lyon 2-1 Nice
18 Oct	Paris FC 4-3 Rennes
18 Oct	Lorient 1-0 Monaco
18 Oct	Le Havre 1-3 Auxerre
17 Oct	Estac Troyes 1-3 Lens
17 Oct	Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois 29