Lorient vs Monaco• Ligue 1, France

#71.2:1.21-0FTToday · Stade du Moustoir, Lorient1.8:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.89PINX3.581XB22.101XBMargin at best1.3%Books6Markets81Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.80	3.49	2.15	1.5%
Pinnacle	3.77	3.43	2.12	2.8%
Marathonbet	3.70	3.40	2.09	4.3%
Bet365	3.60	3.50	2.05	5.1%
BetVictor	3.50	3.50	2.05	5.9%
William Hill	3.50	3.30	2.00	8.9%
Best of all books	3.80	3.50	2.15	1.4%
Average	3.64	3.44	2.08	4.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LorientMonaco

Last 10#7Table position#41.57Points per game2.007Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.040Attack rating6045Defence rating5539Form rating6162H2H rating3828Goals model7245Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Lorient

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Paris FC	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Le Mans	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Toulouse	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Lens	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Estac Troyes	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Nice	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	SV Elversberg	1-4	L
8 Aug	A	Angers	1-2	L
4 Aug	H	UNFP	5-1	W
25 Jul	A	Guingamp	2-0	W

Monaco

8W 2D 0L · goals 21:9 · per match 2.1 for, 0.9 against

15 Oct	A	CSKA Sofia	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Toulouse	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Pisa	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Lens	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Strasbourg	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Paris Saint Germain	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Marseille	2-0	W
27 Aug	H	Gornik Zabrze	4-1	W
23 Aug	A	Le Havre	1-0	W
20 Aug	A	Gornik Zabrze	3-2	W

Head to head

6Lorient wins

6draws

9Monaco wins

21 meetings · goals 28:39 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Lorient

16 Jan 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco1-3Lorient
27 Sep 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lorient3-1Monaco
17 Mar 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco2-2Lorient
17 Sep 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lorient2-2Monaco
16 Apr 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco3-1Lorient
11 Jan 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lorient2-2Monaco
13 Feb 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco0-0Lorient
13 Aug 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lorient1-0Monaco
14 Feb 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Monaco2-2Lorient
6 Jan 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lorient2-5Monaco

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 18 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Lorient sit 7th with 11 points from 7 games, while Monaco are 4th with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	7	4	2	1	14:9	+5	14
2	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
3	Lille	7	4	2	1	10:5	+5	14
4	Monaco	7	4	2	1	10:6	+4	14
5	Rennes	7	4	1	2	15:14	+1	13
6	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11
7	Lorient	7	3	2	2	7:6	+1	11
8	Lens	7	3	1	3	14:11	+3	10
9	Marseille	7	3	0	4	14:10	+4	9
10	Stade Brestois 29	7	2	3	2	13:10	+3	9
11	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12:11	+1	9
12	Auxerre	7	3	0	4	11:17	-6	9
13	Nice	6	2	2	2	5:7	-2	8
14	Strasbourg	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7
15	Angers	7	2	1	4	9:15	-6	7
16	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10:15	-5	6
17	Estac Troyes	7	1	1	5	5:16	-11	4
18	Le Havre	7	0	2	5	5:11	-6	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.64X28%3.43246%2.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.58 → 3.67 +2.5%X3.45 → 3.45 0.0%22.04 → 2.04 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.05	1.89	1.7%
Pinnacle	1.99	1.92	2.3%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.83	4.9%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.92	0.9%
Average	1.98	1.85	4.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.76	1.97	7.6%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.95	8.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.77	1.96	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lorient 10%Draw 45%Monaco 45%

The statistical model rated Lorient at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Monaco at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.64 | 3.43 | 2.08, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Lorient are 7th (11 pts, 7-6 goals), Monaco 4th (14 pts, 10-6).

Over their last five matches, Lorient averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Monaco averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Monaco.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Lorient

3-4-2-1

Coach: A. Dujeux

Goalkeeper

38Y. Mvogo

Defence

32N. Adjei
3M. Talbi
95S. Touré

Midfield

20D. Sylla
8N. Cadiou
62A. Avom
43K. Kouassi
17J. Makengo
33G. Bernardeau

Attack

18I. Baldé

Substitutes (9)

15A. Tosin
2A. Georgen
21B. Kamara
77P. Katseris
19S. Faye
42M. Kone
30S. Kuzmić
11T. Le Bris
55N. Obaretin

Monaco

4-2-3-1

Coach: Filipe Luís

Goalkeeper

1L. Hrádecký

Defence

2Vanderson
72Sadibou Sané
22M. Salisu
20Flávio Nazinho

Midfield

8L. Camara
6D. Zakaria
18T. Minamino
10A. Golovin
31Ansu Fati

Attack

11M. Abline

Substitutes (9)

4J. Teze
9F. Balogun
14M. Biereth
19Pape Cabral
28M. Coulibaly
7M. Detourbet
37E. Diop
16P. Köhn
13C. Mawissa Elebi

Match Statistics

LorientMonaco

1.66Expected Goals0.71

398Passes accurate597

7Shots insidebox9

2Shots outsidebox6

3Blocked Shots5

15Free Kicks10

3Shots on Goal4

4Goalkeeper Saves2

3Shots off Goal6

1Offsides0

476Total passes660

9Total Shots15

2Yellow Cards4

3Corner Kicks4

10Fouls16

0Red Cards0

42%Ball Possession58%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.65	3.44	2.08

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.75	1.29	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.52	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
4.16	2.17	2.65

2nd half

1	X	2
3.66	2.44	2.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.10	15.3	27.7
HT X	7.77	4.83	4.97
HT 2	38.7	14.4	3.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	9.55	1.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.30
1.5	1.30	3.35
2.5	1.98	1.85
3.5	3.33	1.30
4.5	6.78	1.07
5.5	13.8	1.03
6.5	29.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.65
1	1.03	7.80
1.25	1.15	4.46
1.75	1.37	2.95
2	1.47	2.58
2.25	1.74	2.11
2.75	2.21	1.64
3	2.66	1.45
3.25	2.98	1.36
3.75	4.14	1.17
4	5.75	1.08
4.25	6.10	1.06
4.75	8.50	1.04
5	10.0	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.14	1.36
0	2.62	1.50
+0.25	2.03	1.76
+0.5	1.77	2.05
+0.75	1.55	2.37
+1	1.35	3.06

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.30	1.03
-1.25	7.63	1.06
-1	7.27	1.07
-0.75	4.60	1.17
-0.5	3.53	1.28
+1.25	1.28	3.47
+1.5	1.23	3.84
+1.75	1.13	4.93
+2	1.03	7.40
+2.25	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.02	8.30

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.31	3.30
3	1.44	2.76
3.5	1.71	2.09
4	2.18	1.67
4.5	2.34	1.57

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.30
6.5	1.13	4.23
7.5	1.29	2.97
8.5	1.60	2.19
9.5	2.04	1.73
10.5	2.51	1.44
11.5	3.29	1.23
12.5	4.51	1.12
13.5	6.16	1.05

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.10
7	1.17	3.59
7.75	1.31	2.86
8	1.43	2.60
8.25	1.47	2.42
8.75	1.63	2.08
9	1.82	1.95
9.25	1.87	1.87
9.75	2.14	1.66
10	2.30	1.54
10.25	2.41	1.44
10.75	2.74	1.30
11	2.83	1.28
11.25	3.24	1.20
12	3.80	1.15
13	4.97	1.07

Latest Ligue 1 results

18 Oct	Paris FC 4-3 Rennes
18 Oct	Le Havre 1-3 Auxerre
18 Oct	Angers 2-5 Marseille
17 Oct	Estac Troyes 1-3 Lens
17 Oct	Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois 29
17 Oct	Strasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint Germain