Lyon vs Nice• Ligue 1, France

#51.8:0.818:45Tomorrow · Groupama Stadium, Lyon1.0:1.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82PINX4.061XB24.571XBMargin at best1.5%Books6Markets88Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 17:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.82	4.06	4.57	1.5%
Marathonbet	1.79	4.00	4.50	3.1%
Pinnacle	1.82	4.02	4.23	3.5%
Bet365	1.75	4.00	4.20	6.0%
William Hill	1.80	3.75	4.00	7.2%
BetVictor	1.73	3.75	4.10	8.9%
Best of all books	1.82	4.06	4.57	1.5%
Average	1.79	3.93	4.27	4.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LyonNice

Last 10#5Table position#101.83Points per game1.3310Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.464Attack rating3664Defence rating3653Form rating4780H2H rating20100Goals model067Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:30 UTC

Lyon

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

15 Oct	H	Crystal Palace	3-2	W
9 Oct	A	Lens	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Rennes	4-0	W
16 Sep	A	Anderlecht	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Paris FC	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Auxerre	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Le Havre	1-1	D
26 Aug	H	Fenerbahçe	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Toulouse	2-0	W
18 Aug	A	Fenerbahçe	1-1	D

Nice

3W 4D 3L · goals 8:9 · per match 0.8 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Strasbourg	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Lille	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Auxerre	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Le Mans	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Paris FC	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Lorient	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Hull City	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	Cagliari	0-0	D
31 Jul	A	Juventus	0-2	L
25 Jul	A	Marseille	3-0	W

Head to head

17Lyon wins

6draws

12Nice wins

35 meetings · goals 64:46 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Lyon

15 Feb 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon2-0Nice
18 Oct 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice3-2Lyon
9 Mar 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice0-2Lyon
1 Dec 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon4-1Nice
16 Feb 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon1-0Nice
27 Aug 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice0-0Lyon
3 Jun 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice3-1Lyon
11 Nov 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon1-1Nice
12 Feb 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon2-0Nice
24 Oct 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nice3-2Lyon

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Lyon sit 5th with 11 points from 6 games, while Nice are 10th with 8 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	7	4	2	1	14:9	+5	14
2	Monaco	6	4	2	0	10:5	+5	14
3	Lille	6	4	1	1	9:4	+5	13
4	Rennes	6	4	1	1	12:10	+2	13
5	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11
6	Paris FC	6	3	2	1	8:4	+4	11
7	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12:11	+1	9
8	Stade Brestois 29	6	2	2	2	12:9	+3	8
9	Lorient	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
10	Nice	6	2	2	2	5:7	-2	8
11	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	+1	7
12	Strasbourg	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7
13	Angers	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
14	Marseille	6	2	0	4	9:8	+1	6
15	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10:15	-5	6
16	Auxerre	6	2	0	4	8:16	-8	6
17	Estac Troyes	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4
18	Le Havre	6	0	2	4	4:8	-4	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.79X24%3.93222%4.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.67 → 1.79 +7.2%X3.99 → 3.93 -1.5%24.85 → 4.27 -12.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.72	2.30	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.25	3.6%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.23	4.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Best of all books	1.72	2.30	1.6%
Average	1.66	2.24	4.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.20	7.6%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.17	8.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.61	2.20	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lyon 45%Draw 45%Nice 10%

The statistical model rates Lyon at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nice at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.79 | 3.93 | 4.27, which imply roughly 55.9% for a Lyon win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Lyon are 5th (11 pts, 11-4 goals), Nice 10th (8 pts, 5-7).

Over their last five matches, Lyon averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Nice averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Lyon.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.79	3.93	4.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	2.05	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	3.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.28	2.36	4.61

2nd half

1	X	2
2.04	2.71	4.21

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.53	14.7	38.7
HT X	4.72	6.17	9.93
HT 2	22.3	15.7	7.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	15.4	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.18	4.45
2.5	1.66	2.24
3.5	2.59	1.47
4.5	4.63	1.15
5.5	9.13	1.03
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.25	1.09	6.22
1.75	1.24	3.88
2	1.29	3.44
2.25	1.49	2.64
2.75	1.84	1.99
3	2.06	1.73
3.25	2.33	1.57
3.75	3.04	1.34
4	3.96	1.20
4.25	4.29	1.16
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.04	1.38
-1.25	2.66	1.46
-1	2.33	1.59
-0.75	1.97	1.83
-0.5	1.75	2.04
-0.25	1.54	2.41

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.01
-3	10.4	1.01
-2.75	7.30	1.06
-2.5	5.80	1.10
-2.25	5.44	1.13
-2	5.00	1.15
-1.75	3.82	1.26
0	1.33	3.17
+0.25	1.26	3.62
+0.5	1.23	4.00
+0.75	1.12	5.49
+1	1.02	8.70

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.33	3.13
3.5	1.65	2.16
4	1.93	1.87
4.5	2.25	1.60
5	3.16	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	–	9.30
6.5	1.07	5.55
7.5	1.16	4.10
8.5	1.35	2.78
9.5	1.66	2.11
10.5	2.01	1.72
11.5	2.54	1.40
12.5	3.30	1.23
13.5	4.51	1.12
14.5	6.10	1.05

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.09	4.62
7.75	1.14	3.79
8	1.20	3.29
8.25	1.26	3.18
8.75	1.36	2.66
9	1.47	2.45
9.25	1.51	2.30
9.75	1.69	1.99
10	1.87	1.90
10.25	1.90	1.76
10.75	2.14	1.55
11	2.36	1.51
11.25	2.44	1.42
12	2.88	1.27
13	3.82	1.14
14	4.92	1.07
15	5.35	1.05