Lens vs Paris FC• Ligue 1, France

#81.6:1.418:45Tomorrow · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens1.8:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.501XBX3.781XB22.861XBMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets92Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.50	3.78	2.86	1.4%
Pinnacle	2.47	3.67	2.80	3.4%
Dafabet	2.43	3.60	2.85	4.0%
Marathonbet	2.43	3.68	2.78	4.3%
Betfair	2.45	3.60	2.80	4.3%
Betano	2.42	3.60	2.77	5.2%
Bet365	2.40	3.50	2.80	6.0%
William Hill	2.30	3.50	2.80	7.8%
BetVictor	2.38	3.50	2.63	8.6%
SBO	2.27	3.28	2.60	13.0%
Best of all books	2.50	3.78	2.86	1.4%
Average	2.41	3.57	2.77	5.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LensParis FC

Last 10#8Table position#31.43Points per game2.009Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 51.447Attack rating5350Defence rating5041Form rating5971H2H rating2960Goals model4058Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 22:10 UTC

Lens

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

21 Oct	A	Club Brugge KV	0-3	L
17 Oct	A	Estac Troyes	3-1	W
13 Oct	H	Sporting CP	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Lyon	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Standard Liege	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Monaco	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Le Mans	2-2	D
10 Sep	A	Slavia Praha	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Lorient	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Strasbourg	1-2	L

Paris FC

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

18 Oct	H	Rennes	4-3	W
10 Oct	A	Lorient	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Strasbourg	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Lyon	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Marseille	3-2	W
30 Aug	H	Nice	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Estac Troyes	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Angers	2-3	L
8 Aug	A	FSV Mainz 05	0-4	L
1 Aug	A	VfB Stuttgart	2-2	D

Head to head

6Lens wins

4draws

3Paris FC wins

13 meetings · goals 16:9 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Lens

14 Feb 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris FC0-5Lens
19 Oct 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lens2-1Paris FC
2 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lens0-0Paris FC
5 Aug 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lens1-2Paris FC
2 Mar 2020Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Paris FC0-2Lens
28 Sep 2019Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Lens2-1Paris FC
3 Mar 2019Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Paris FC2-0Lens
28 Sep 2018Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Lens0-0Paris FC
30 Apr 2018Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Lens1-0Paris FC
8 Dec 2017Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Paris FC2-2Lens

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Lens sit 8th with 10 points from 7 games, while Paris FC are 3rd with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lyon	7	4	2	1	13:5	+8	14
2	Paris Saint Germain	7	4	2	1	14:9	+5	14
3	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	12:7	+5	14
4	Lille	7	4	2	1	10:5	+5	14
5	Monaco	7	4	2	1	10:6	+4	14
6	Rennes	7	4	1	2	15:14	+1	13
7	Lorient	7	3	2	2	7:6	+1	11
8	Lens	7	3	1	3	14:11	+3	10
9	Marseille	7	3	0	4	14:10	+4	9
10	Stade Brestois 29	7	2	3	2	13:10	+3	9
11	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12:11	+1	9
12	Auxerre	7	3	0	4	11:17	-6	9
13	Nice	7	2	2	3	6:9	-3	8
14	Strasbourg	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7
15	Angers	7	2	1	4	9:15	-6	7
16	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10:15	-5	6
17	Estac Troyes	7	1	1	5	5:16	-11	4
18	Le Havre	7	0	2	5	5:11	-6	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.40X26%3.57234%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.32 → 2.40 +3.4%X3.62 → 3.57 -1.4%22.84 → 2.77 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.72	2.30	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.26	3.8%
Betano	1.67	2.27	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.23	4.7%
Bet365	1.67	2.20	5.3%
SBO	1.64	2.25	5.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Best of all books	1.72	2.30	1.6%
Average	1.66	2.24	4.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.53	2.37	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Average	1.52	2.41	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lens 45%Draw 45%Paris FC 10%

The statistical model rates Lens at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Paris FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.57 | 2.77, which imply roughly 41.7% for a Lens win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Lens are 8th (10 pts, 14-11 goals), Paris FC 3rd (14 pts, 12-7).

Over their last five matches, Lens averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Paris FC averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lens or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.40	3.57	2.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.56	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	2.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.30	3.22

2nd half

1	X	2
2.64	2.62	2.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.75	13.0	24.5
HT X	6.00	5.90	6.65
HT 2	23.4	13.3	4.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	15.1	2.02

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.1
1.5	1.20	4.38
2.5	1.66	2.24
3.5	2.59	1.49
4.5	4.55	1.18
5.5	8.55	1.05
6.5	14.7	1.02
7.5	22.8	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.3
1.25	1.10	5.72
1.75	1.23	3.71
2	1.30	3.42
2.25	1.48	2.60
2.75	1.83	1.98
3	2.07	1.76
3.25	2.32	1.59
3.75	2.99	1.36
4	3.86	1.24
4.25	4.06	1.19
4.75	5.40	1.10
5	7.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.80	1.42
-0.5	2.39	1.57
-0.25	2.09	1.75
0	1.79	2.06
+0.25	1.58	2.36
+0.5	1.46	2.71

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.82	1.03
-2	7.80	1.04
-1.75	5.62	1.11
-1.5	4.40	1.18
-1.25	4.10	1.22
-1	3.70	1.26
+0.75	1.31	3.31
+1	1.19	4.48
+1.25	1.15	4.85
+1.5	1.14	5.33
+1.75	1.07	6.54
+2.5	1.02	11.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.08	7.10
2.5	1.23	3.90
3.5	1.56	2.38
4.5	2.14	1.67
5.5	2.85	1.39
6.5	4.20	1.20
7.5	6.20	1.10
8.5	8.50	1.05
9.5	11.0	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.31	3.26
4	1.89	1.91
5	2.98	1.36

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.03	10.8
5.5	1.04	8.10
6.5	1.11	4.94
7.5	1.24	3.37
8.5	1.47	2.49
9.5	1.82	1.94
10.5	2.29	1.54
11.5	3.00	1.31
12.5	4.07	1.17
13.5	5.51	1.09
14.5	8.00	1.06
15.5	10.3	1.03
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	13.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.62
7	1.12	4.07
7.75	1.25	3.28
8	1.27	2.87
8.25	1.36	2.75
8.75	1.49	2.36
9	1.59	2.23
9.25	1.69	2.04
9.75	1.91	1.83
10	2.03	1.72
10.25	2.15	1.61
10.75	2.46	1.45
11	2.58	1.38
11.25	2.88	1.32
12	3.32	1.20
13	4.39	1.10
14	5.55	1.05

Next Ligue 1 matches

23 Oct	Stade Brestois 29 – Nice
25 Oct	Monaco – Lille
25 Oct	Toulouse – Estac Troyes
25 Oct	Angers – Lorient
25 Oct	Auxerre – Le Mans
25 Oct	Rennes – Strasbourg

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

18 Oct	Lyon 2-1 Nice
18 Oct	Paris FC 4-3 Rennes
18 Oct	Lorient 1-0 Monaco
18 Oct	Le Havre 1-3 Auxerre
18 Oct	Angers 2-5 Marseille
17 Oct	Estac Troyes 1-3 Lens