NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#121.2:1.813:3025/10 · Goffertstadion, Nijmegen2.6:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35BTNX4.02PIN22.80B365Margin at best3.1%Books10Markets65Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.35	3.95	2.80	3.6%
1xBet	2.32	3.96	2.79	4.2%
Pinnacle	2.35	3.97	2.68	5.1%
Betano	2.32	3.95	2.72	5.2%
Bet365	2.30	3.80	2.80	5.5%
Betfair	2.25	3.90	2.70	7.1%
BetVictor	2.30	3.90	2.63	7.1%
Marathonbet	2.25	3.84	2.70	7.5%
William Hill	2.25	3.70	2.62	9.6%
SBO	2.17	3.45	2.51	14.9%
Best of all books	2.35	3.97	2.80	3.5%
Average	2.29	3.84	2.69	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NEC NijmegenGroningen

Last 10#12Table position#71.11Points per game1.567Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 52.61.8Goals against · last 51.832Attack rating6850Defence rating5033Form rating6760H2H rating4037Goals model6347Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 19:50 UTC

NEC Nijmegen

2W 5D 3L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

22 Oct	A	Dinamo Zagreb	4-2	W
18 Oct	H	Fortuna Sittard	2-2	D
15 Oct	H	Levski Sofia	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Ajax	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	GO Ahead Eagles	1-1	D
17 Sep	A	Juventus	0-5	L
12 Sep	A	Cambuur	0-3	L
8 Sep	H	Excelsior	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Feyenoord	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	PEC Zwolle	3-1	W

Groningen

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:19 · per match 2.3 for, 1.9 against

18 Oct	H	Ajax	2-5	L
11 Oct	A	Excelsior	5-1	W
18 Sep	H	PEC Zwolle	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	GO Ahead Eagles	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Twente	2-2	D
28 Aug	H	Fortuna Sittard	2-3	L
23 Aug	A	PSV Eindhoven	1-5	L
16 Aug	A	ADO Den Haag	4-1	W
9 Aug	H	Utrecht	2-1	W
1 Aug	H	Valladolid	1-0	W

Head to head

10NEC Nijmegen wins

6draws

7Groningen wins

23 meetings · goals 45:37 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for NEC Nijmegen

10 May 2026Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Groningen2-1NEC Nijmegen
9 Nov 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen2-0Groningen
19 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Groningen1-2NEC Nijmegen
8 Feb 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Groningen2-1NEC Nijmegen
3 Nov 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen6-0Groningen
25 Apr 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Groningen0-1NEC Nijmegen
26 Aug 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen1-1Groningen
12 Mar 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Groningen4-3NEC Nijmegen
19 Jan 2022KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	Groningen1-2NEC Nijmegen
31 Oct 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen3-0Groningen

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, NEC Nijmegen sit 12th with 10 points from 9 games, while Groningen are 7th with 14 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	9	7	2	0	31:10	+21	23
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	6	2	1	20:10	+10	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	27:12	+15	19
4	Ajax	9	5	3	1	27:12	+15	18
5	Twente	9	5	2	2	17:10	+7	17
6	Fortuna Sittard	9	4	3	2	16:17	-1	15
7	Groningen	9	4	2	3	22:19	+3	14
8	Heerenveen	9	3	3	3	15:11	+4	12
9	GO Ahead Eagles	9	2	5	2	20:21	-1	11
10	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	16:18	-2	11
11	Utrecht	9	3	2	4	16:26	-10	11
12	NEC Nijmegen	9	2	4	3	15:16	-1	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	3	4	16:22	-6	9
14	Cambuur	9	2	3	4	13:21	-8	9
15	PEC Zwolle	9	2	1	6	10:22	-12	7
16	Telstar	9	1	3	5	10:18	-8	6
17	ADO Den Haag	9	1	3	5	11:20	-9	6
18	Willem II	9	0	2	7	9:26	-17	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.27X24%3.84234%2.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.44	2.90	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.42	2.87	5.3%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
1xBet	1.41	2.79	6.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
Best of all books	1.44	2.90	3.9%
Average	1.41	2.80	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.38	2.87	7.3%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
William Hill	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.36	2.90	8.0%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.84	8.7%
Best of all books	1.40	3.00	4.8%
Average	1.37	2.85	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NEC Nijmegen 10%Draw 45%Groningen 45%

The statistical model rates NEC Nijmegen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Groningen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.84 | 2.72, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: NEC Nijmegen are 12th (10 pts, 15-16 goals), Groningen 7th (14 pts, 22-19).

Over their last five matches, NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Groningen averaged 2.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Groningen and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.29	3.84	2.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.59	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	2.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.70	2.47	3.09

2nd half

1	X	2
2.49	2.79	2.86

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.52	13.1	22.3
HT X	6.24	6.89	6.99
HT 2	21.1	13.3	4.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	22.5	1.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.7
1.5	1.11	5.98
2.5	1.41	2.80
3.5	2.03	1.76
4.5	3.28	1.31
5.5	5.80	1.12
6.5	10.4	1.05
7.5	15.7	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.80
1.75	1.11	5.20
2	1.14	4.77
2.25	1.27	3.32
2.75	1.48	2.49
3	1.61	2.25
3.25	1.82	1.93
3.75	2.25	1.60
4	2.69	1.44
4.25	2.89	1.36
4.75	3.75	1.21
5	4.84	1.14
5.25	5.10	1.11
6	8.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.63	1.44
-0.5	2.30	1.60
-0.25	2.01	1.76
0	1.75	2.04
+0.25	1.57	2.33
+0.5	1.48	2.68

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	7.28	1.05
-2	6.58	1.07
-1.75	4.99	1.14
-1.5	3.89	1.21
-1.25	3.61	1.25
-1	3.31	1.31
+0.75	1.34	3.13
+1	1.21	4.14
+1.25	1.17	4.47
+1.5	1.15	4.91
+1.75	1.09	6.14
+2	1.02	8.60
+2.5	1.04	10.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.60	2.25

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	11.0
6.5	1.07	7.00
7.5	1.17	4.50
8.5	1.36	2.92
9.5	1.60	2.22
10.5	2.05	1.69
11.5	2.71	1.42
12.5	3.73	1.23
13.5	5.50	1.11
14.5	8.00	1.05
15.5	11.0	1.01

1 more line

Line	Over	Under
10	1.82	1.97

Next Eredivisie matches

23 Oct	GO Ahead Eagles – Telstar
24 Oct	Utrecht – PEC Zwolle
24 Oct	Willem II – Cambuur
24 Oct	ADO Den Haag – Heerenveen
25 Oct	Fortuna Sittard – Excelsior
25 Oct	PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

18 Oct	NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
18 Oct	Twente 1-2 Utrecht
18 Oct	Groningen 2-5 Ajax
18 Oct	Cambuur 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
18 Oct	PEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead Eagles
17 Oct	Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II