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NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#111.0:2.01-2LiveToday · Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen1.8:2.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.76PINX4.19PIN24.38PINMargin at best3.5%Books6Markets83Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.764.194.383.5%
1xBet1.754.124.384.2%
Bet3651.754.004.335.2%
BetVictor1.734.104.007.2%
Marathonbet1.704.004.257.4%
William Hill1.733.804.009.1%
Best of all books1.764.194.383.5%
Average1.744.044.226.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
Last 10#11Table position#61.13Points per game1.753Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 52.036Attack rating6450Defence rating5023Form rating7750H2H rating5032Goals model6842Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:30 UTC

NEC Nijmegen

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:23 · per match 1.0 for, 2.3 against

15 OctHLevski Sofia1-1D
10 OctAAjax1-1D
20 SepHGO Ahead Eagles1-1D
17 SepAJuventus0-5L
12 SepACambuur0-3L
8 SepHExcelsior2-2D
5 SepHFeyenoord1-3L
29 AugAPEC Zwolle3-1W
25 AugABodo/Glimt0-3L
19 AugHBodo/Glimt1-3L

Fortuna Sittard

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

10 OctHTwente1-1D
3 OctAGenk2-1W
19 SepAWillem II1-0W
12 SepHAjax1-5L
6 SepAADO Den Haag3-2W
28 AugAGroningen3-2W
22 AugHAZ Alkmaar0-2L
15 AugHCambuur3-1W
8 AugAPSV Eindhoven2-2D
31 JulHApoel Nicosia2-1W

Head to head

7NEC Nijmegen wins
4draws
4Fortuna Sittard wins

15 meetings · goals 32:22 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for NEC Nijmegen

28 Feb 2026EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen2-3Fortuna Sittard
31 Aug 2025EredivisieEredivisieFortuna Sittard3-2NEC Nijmegen
19 Jan 2025EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen4-1Fortuna Sittard
31 Aug 2024EredivisieEredivisieFortuna Sittard0-3NEC Nijmegen
2 Apr 2024EredivisieEredivisieFortuna Sittard1-1NEC Nijmegen
15 Dec 2023EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen4-1Fortuna Sittard
28 May 2023EredivisieEredivisieFortuna Sittard1-1NEC Nijmegen
19 Oct 2022KNVB BekerKNVB BekerNEC Nijmegen3-2Fortuna Sittard
10 Sep 2022EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen1-1Fortuna Sittard
15 May 2022EredivisieEredivisieNEC Nijmegen0-1Fortuna Sittard

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, NEC Nijmegen sit 11th with 9 points from 8 games, while Fortuna Sittard are 6th with 14 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Feyenoord972031:10+2123
2AZ Alkmaar962120:10+1020
3PSV Eindhoven961227:12+1519
4Ajax953127:12+1518
5Twente852116:8+817
6Fortuna Sittard842214:15-114
7Groningen942322:19+314
8Heerenveen933315:11+412
9GO Ahead Eagles925220:21-111
10Excelsior932416:18-211
11NEC Nijmegen823313:14-19
12Sparta Rotterdam923416:22-69
13Cambuur923413:21-89
14Utrecht822414:25-118
15PEC Zwolle921610:22-127
16Telstar913510:18-86
17ADO Den Haag913511:20-96
18Willem II90279:26-172

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.73X23%4.10222%4.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 12:301 1.74X 4.042 4.22
11.56 → 1.74 +11.5%X4.43 → 4.04 -8.8%24.95 → 4.22 -14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.472.764.3%
Bet3651.482.606.0%
BetVictor1.442.637.5%
1xBet1.412.5210.6%
Marathonbet1.412.5210.6%
Best of all books1.482.763.8%
Average1.442.617.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
William Hill1.502.506.7%
1xBet1.452.568.0%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.452.518.8%
Best of all books1.502.565.7%
Average1.472.527.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NEC Nijmegen 10%Draw 45%Fortuna Sittard 45%

The statistical model rates NEC Nijmegen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fortuna Sittard at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.25, which imply roughly 24.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: NEC Nijmegen are 11th (9 pts, 13-14 goals), Fortuna Sittard 6th (14 pts, 14-15).

Over their last five matches, NEC Nijmegen averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Fortuna Sittard.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Goalkeeper

  • 1G. Crettaz

Defence

  • 21T. Storm
  • 22A. Kaplan
  • 24Deveron Fonville

Midfield

  • 34Kevin Kers
  • 6D. Nejašmić
  • 35Jamiro Monteiro
  • 99Clement Bischoff
  • 18D. Geiger
  • 20N. Lebreton

Attack

  • 30B. Linssen
Substitutes (12)
  • 5M. Bakker
  • 11W. Willumsson
  • 19Adam Tahaui
  • 73Gabriel Brás
  • 9T. Chery
  • 38Joep Geneste
  • 8I. Hansen-Aarøen
  • 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
  • 42Y. Moslih
  • 12N. Polster
  • 4P. Schuurs
  • 14K. Sierhuis

Fortuna Sittard

5-3-2

Coach: D. Buijs

Goalkeeper

  • 31M. Branderhorst

Defence

  • 12Ivo Pinto
  • 6S. van Ottele
  • 3Rodrigo Guth
  • 28Justin Quincy Hubner
  • 23P. Brittijn

Midfield

  • 52M. Ihattaren
  • 20É. Michut
  • 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand

Attack

  • 9A. Descotte
  • 25L. Zeefuik
Substitutes (9)
  • 24D. Sinkgraven
  • 14S. Simons
  • 7K. Peterson
  • 1L. Koopmans
  • 33K. Reitmaier
  • 38Moussa Gbemou
  • 15N. de Groot
  • 39Ganni Buyukhan
  • 2S. Wylin

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.744.044.22

Double chance

1XX212
1.212.031.22

Draw no bet

12
1.323.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.472.52

1st half

1X2
2.192.524.31

2nd half

1X2
1.972.834.00

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5014.233.0
HT X4.906.8010.2
HT 220.315.17.07

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5519.42.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0218.3
1.51.115.66
2.51.442.61
3.52.131.69
4.53.541.26
5.56.591.08
6.515.01.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.0
1.751.114.85
21.144.40
2.251.283.08
2.751.532.33
31.672.08
3.251.911.85
3.752.381.52
42.701.41
4.253.081.28
4.754.101.16
55.401.09
5.255.701.08
68.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.721.43
-1.252.471.50
-12.201.64
-0.751.881.85
-0.51.722.10
-0.251.502.43
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.256.301.06
-38.701.01
-2.756.331.07
-2.55.031.12
-2.254.671.14
-24.151.20
-1.753.441.30
01.313.21
+0.251.253.60
+0.51.234.10
+0.751.125.20
+11.037.50
+1.51.018.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.074.87
7.51.163.89
8.51.332.82
9.51.612.16
10.51.961.75
11.52.501.44
12.53.251.23
13.54.391.13
14.55.071.06
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.084.65
81.203.32
8.751.342.72
91.422.56
9.251.492.35
9.751.692.08
101.811.96
10.251.861.80
10.752.081.58
112.271.54
11.252.391.45
11.752.701.30
122.851.27
133.771.15
144.891.07

Latest Eredivisie results

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