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Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#112.0:2.214:30Tomorrow · Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht1.2:2.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.681XBX4.40DAF25.00B365Margin at best2.3%Books10Markets78Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:48 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.674.404.703.9%
1xBet1.684.284.694.2%
Betano1.654.304.754.9%
Bet3651.624.205.005.5%
Pinnacle1.604.424.875.7%
Betfair1.624.334.606.6%
BetVictor1.624.334.606.6%
Marathonbet1.634.154.557.4%
William Hill1.624.004.509.0%
SBO1.583.784.0414.5%
Best of all books1.684.425.002.1%
Average1.634.224.636.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UtrechtPEC Zwolle
Last 10#11Table position#151.22Points per game0.7810Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 52.863Attack rating3856Defence rating4471Form rating2985H2H rating1551Goals model4966Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Utrecht

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:27 · per match 1.6 for, 2.7 against

18 OctATwente2-1W
11 OctHWillem II3-1W
20 SepAFeyenoord0-5L
13 SepAExcelsior2-1W
8 SepHGO Ahead Eagles3-3D
30 AugHPSV Eindhoven1-6L
22 AugASparta Rotterdam3-3D
15 AugHAZ Alkmaar1-4L
9 AugAGroningen1-2L
2 AugHSevilla0-1L

PEC Zwolle

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:25 · per match 1.0 for, 2.5 against

18 OctHGO Ahead Eagles4-1W
11 OctHCambuur0-1L
18 SepAGroningen0-3L
13 SepHFeyenoord0-7L
4 SepASparta Rotterdam2-2D
29 AugHNEC Nijmegen1-3L
22 AugAHeerenveen2-0W
16 AugATwente1-3L
9 AugHAjax0-2L
1 AugAHannover 960-3L

Head to head

14Utrecht wins
11draws
5PEC Zwolle wins

30 meetings · goals 57:37 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Utrecht

22 Feb 2026EredivisieEredivisieUtrecht1-1PEC Zwolle
31 Aug 2025EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle0-2Utrecht
1 Feb 2025EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle3-3Utrecht
11 Aug 2024EredivisieEredivisieUtrecht1-0PEC Zwolle
3 Apr 2024EredivisieEredivisieUtrecht5-1PEC Zwolle
27 Aug 2023EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle1-0Utrecht
7 May 2022EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle1-1Utrecht
25 Sep 2021EredivisieEredivisieUtrecht5-1PEC Zwolle
30 Jan 2021EredivisieEredivisieUtrecht3-3PEC Zwolle
21 Nov 2020EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle1-1Utrecht

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Utrecht sit 11th with 11 points from 9 games, while PEC Zwolle are 15th with 7 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Feyenoord972031:10+2123
2AZ Alkmaar962120:10+1020
3PSV Eindhoven961227:12+1519
4Ajax953127:12+1518
5Twente952217:10+717
6Fortuna Sittard943216:17-115
7Groningen942322:19+314
8Heerenveen933315:11+412
9GO Ahead Eagles925220:21-111
10Excelsior932416:18-211
11Utrecht932416:26-1011
12NEC Nijmegen924315:16-110
13Sparta Rotterdam923416:22-69
14Cambuur923413:21-89
15PEC Zwolle921610:22-127
16Telstar913510:18-86
17ADO Den Haag913511:20-96
18Willem II90279:26-172

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.63X22%4.17220%4.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.522.624.0%
Pinnacle1.492.654.8%
Betfair1.442.706.5%
1xBet1.452.666.6%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.442.637.5%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
Best of all books1.522.702.8%
Average1.462.626.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.552.376.7%
William Hill1.502.457.5%
1xBet1.472.508.0%
Marathonbet1.472.468.7%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
Best of all books1.552.553.7%
Average1.492.477.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Utrecht 45%Draw 45%PEC Zwolle 10%

The statistical model rates Utrecht at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and PEC Zwolle at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 4.17 | 4.62, which imply roughly 61.3% for a Utrecht win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Utrecht are 11th (11 pts, 16-26 goals), PEC Zwolle 15th (7 pts, 10-22).

Over their last five matches, Utrecht averaged 2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; PEC Zwolle averaged 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Utrecht or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.634.224.63

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.201.20

Draw no bet

12
1.273.46

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.492.47

1st half

1X2
2.072.514.54

2nd half

1X2
1.922.904.14

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4014.034.5
HT X4.796.9610.5
HT 218.614.97.36

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5119.52.51

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.0
1.51.135.55
2.51.462.62
3.52.171.67
4.53.591.27
5.56.671.09
6.511.91.03
7.517.11.02
8.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.80
1.751.124.95
21.154.52
2.251.293.18
2.751.552.33
31.722.08
3.251.931.84
3.752.411.52
42.941.38
4.253.101.31
4.754.101.17
55.391.11
5.255.701.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.591.48
-1.252.311.58
-12.041.77
-0.751.772.01
-0.51.622.28
-0.251.432.66
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.951.03
-37.981.04
-2.755.851.10
-2.54.591.17
-2.254.241.18
-23.961.23
-1.753.051.35
01.263.56
+0.251.223.99
+0.51.194.50
+0.751.105.67
+11.028.40
+1.51.0410.1

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.702.07

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0210.0
6.51.076.93
7.51.174.26
8.51.332.97
9.51.592.18
10.52.011.72
11.52.571.43
12.53.551.23
13.54.931.13
14.57.001.07
15.59.171.03
16.510.51.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.362.70
9.251.502.31
9.751.672.02
101.801.98
10.251.881.80
10.752.131.60
11.252.431.45
11.752.831.33

Next Eredivisie matches

23 OctGO Ahead Eagles – Telstar
24 OctWillem II – Cambuur
24 OctADO Den Haag – Heerenveen
25 OctFortuna Sittard – Excelsior
25 OctNEC Nijmegen – Groningen
25 OctPSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

18 OctNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
18 OctTwente 1-2 Utrecht
18 OctGroningen 2-5 Ajax
18 OctCambuur 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
18 OctPEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead Eagles
17 OctSparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II