Fortuna Sittard vs 
Excelsior• Eredivisie, Netherlands
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:39 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.75 | 2.85 | 3.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.71 | 2.81 | 4.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.39 | 3.63 | 2.82 | 4.9% |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.65 | 2.82 | 5.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 5.1% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.70 | 6.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.75 | 6.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.60 | 2.72 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 9.9% |
| SBO | 2.13 | 3.30 | 2.64 | 15.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.88 | 2.7% |
| Average | 2.32 | 3.61 | 2.77 | 6.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC
Fortuna Sittard
5W 3D 2L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against
| 18 Oct | A | NEC Nijmegen | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Twente | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | A | Genk | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Willem II | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Ajax | 1-5 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | ADO Den Haag | 3-2 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Groningen | 3-2 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | AZ Alkmaar | 0-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Cambuur | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | PSV Eindhoven | 2-2 | D |
Excelsior
4W 2D 4L · goals 21:19 · per match 2.1 for, 1.9 against
| 16 Oct | A | Heerenveen | 0-4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Groningen | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Ajax | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Utrecht | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Sep | A | NEC Nijmegen | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Willem II | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Sparta Rotterdam | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | PSV Eindhoven | 1-2 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | Cambuur | 4-0 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | De Graafschap | 5-1 | W |
Head to head
8 meetings · goals 15:11 · last 8: 4W 2D 2L for Fortuna Sittard
| 20 Feb 2026Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard2-1Excelsior |
| 19 Oct 2025Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Excelsior1-0Fortuna Sittard |
| 3 Mar 2024Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard5-2Excelsior |
| 26 Aug 2023Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Excelsior2-2Fortuna Sittard |
| 21 May 2023Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Excelsior3-0Fortuna Sittard |
| 17 Sep 2022Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard1-0Excelsior |
| 10 Feb 2019Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard4-1Excelsior |
| 11 Aug 2018Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Excelsior1-1Fortuna Sittard |
Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC
In the Eredivisie table, Fortuna Sittard sit 6th with 15 points from 9 games, while Excelsior are 10th with 11 points from 9.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:12 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27:12 | +15 | 18 |
| 5 | Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 20:21 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:26 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.57 | 2.47 | 4.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 2.35 | 5.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 2.45 | 6.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 2.34 | 6.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 2.25 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.26 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.47 | 3.0% |
| Average | 1.56 | 2.35 | 6.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 2.57 | 6.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 2.53 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 2.55 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 2.49 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 2.50 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.57 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.52 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Fortuna Sittard at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Excelsior at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.61 | 2.77, which imply roughly 43.1% for a Fortuna Sittard win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Eredivisie table: Fortuna Sittard are 6th (15 pts, 16-17 goals), Excelsior 10th (11 pts, 16-18).
Over their last five matches, Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Excelsior averaged 1.2 scored and 3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | 3.61 | 2.77 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | 1.57 | 1.26 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.72 | 2.04 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.46 | 2.52 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 2.36 | 3.17 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.59 | 2.67 | 2.89 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.66 | 13.1 | 24.4 |
| HT X | 5.98 | 6.15 | 6.91 |
| HT 2 | 22.5 | 13.4 | 4.38 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 | 15.9 | 2.00 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 12.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 4.79 |
| 2.5 | 1.56 | 2.35 |
| 3.5 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
| 4.5 | 4.12 | 1.21 |
| 5.5 | 7.76 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 13.5 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 20.5 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 9.80 |
| 1.75 | 1.17 | 4.14 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.76 |
| 2.25 | 1.37 | 2.78 |
| 2.75 | 1.68 | 2.09 |
| 3 | 1.89 | 1.87 |
| 3.25 | 2.12 | 1.67 |
| 3.75 | 2.68 | 1.42 |
| 4 | 3.33 | 1.29 |
| 4.25 | 3.56 | 1.24 |
| 4.75 | 4.76 | 1.14 |
| 5 | 6.35 | 1.08 |
| 5.25 | 6.61 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.69 | 1.42 |
| -0.5 | 2.32 | 1.60 |
| -0.25 | 2.01 | 1.76 |
| 0 | 1.74 | 2.05 |
| +0.25 | 1.55 | 2.36 |
| +0.5 | 1.44 | 2.72 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| -2.5 | 8.15 | 1.04 |
| -2 | 7.39 | 1.05 |
| -1.75 | 5.35 | 1.12 |
| -1.5 | 4.12 | 1.19 |
| -1.25 | 3.85 | 1.23 |
| -1 | 3.48 | 1.28 |
| +0.75 | 1.31 | 3.29 |
| +1 | 1.19 | 4.38 |
| +1.25 | 1.15 | 4.74 |
| +1.5 | 1.13 | 5.11 |
| +1.75 | 1.08 | 6.54 |
| +2 | 1.03 | 9.10 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 10.2 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.02 | 10.0 |
| 6.5 | 1.08 | 6.50 |
| 7.5 | 1.22 | 3.90 |
| 8.5 | 1.42 | 2.70 |
| 9.5 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| 10.5 | 2.26 | 1.58 |
| 11.5 | 3.02 | 1.34 |
| 12.5 | 4.00 | 1.20 |
| 13.5 | 6.50 | 1.08 |
| 14.5 | 9.00 | 1.03 |
| 15.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
1 more line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Next Eredivisie matches
| 23 Oct | GO Ahead Eagles – Telstar |
| 24 Oct | Utrecht – PEC Zwolle |
| 24 Oct | Willem II – Cambuur |
| 24 Oct | ADO Den Haag – Heerenveen |
| 25 Oct | NEC Nijmegen – Groningen |
| 25 Oct | PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord |
Latest Eredivisie results
| 18 Oct | NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard |
| 18 Oct | Twente 1-2 Utrecht |
| 18 Oct | Groningen 2-5 Ajax |
| 18 Oct | Cambuur 2-2 AZ Alkmaar |
| 18 Oct | PEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead Eagles |
| 17 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II |