Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#141.4:3.03-2FTToday · Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam0.6:2.6#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.611XBX4.64PIN25.25B365Margin at best2.7%Books6Markets84Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 17:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.59	4.64	5.21	3.6%
1xBet	1.61	4.44	5.11	4.2%
Bet365	1.57	4.50	5.25	5.0%
BetVictor	1.57	4.50	5.25	5.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	4.30	4.95	7.6%
William Hill	1.53	4.00	5.00	10.4%
Best of all books	1.61	4.64	5.25	2.7%
Average	1.57	4.40	5.13	5.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sparta RotterdamWillem II

Last 10#14Table position#180.75Points per game0.252Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 50.63.0Goals against · last 52.670Attack rating3046Defence rating5467Form rating3380H2H rating2065Goals model3566Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam

1W 5D 4L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

10 Oct	A	GO Ahead Eagles	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Heerenveen	0-4	L
13 Sep	A	PSV Eindhoven	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	PEC Zwolle	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Excelsior	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Utrecht	3-3	D
14 Aug	A	Telstar	3-1	W
9 Aug	H	Feyenoord	0-1	L
1 Aug	H	MSV Duisburg	0-0	D
28 Jul	H	Asteras Tripolis	1-1	D

Willem II

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:24 · per match 1.0 for, 2.4 against

11 Oct	A	Utrecht	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Fortuna Sittard	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Ajax	1-5	L
11 Sep	A	AZ Alkmaar	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Excelsior	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Heerenveen	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	NEC Nijmegen	1-4	L
8 Aug	A	GO Ahead Eagles	1-4	L
1 Aug	H	OFI	2-1	W
25 Jul	H	KV Mechelen	1-0	W

Head to head

10Sparta Rotterdam wins

2draws

5Willem II wins

17 meetings · goals 35:24 · last 10: 8W 0D 2L for Sparta Rotterdam

18 Dec 2025KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	Willem II1-5Sparta Rotterdam
26 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Willem II3-1Sparta Rotterdam
2 Mar 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam4-0Willem II
31 Aug 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Willem II1-2Sparta Rotterdam
27 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Willem II2-4Sparta Rotterdam
29 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Willem II0-3Sparta Rotterdam
20 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Willem II0-2Sparta Rotterdam
13 Feb 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam1-0Willem II
6 Nov 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Willem II0-3Sparta Rotterdam
28 Feb 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam0-2Willem II

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Sparta Rotterdam sit 14th with 6 points from 8 games, while Willem II are 18th with 2 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27:7	+20	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	+10	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	27:12	+15	19
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	+8	17
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	+12	15
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	20:14	+6	14
7	Fortuna Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14
8	Heerenveen	9	3	3	3	15:11	+4	12
9	GO Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	+2	11
10	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	16:18	-2	11
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9
12	Cambuur	8	2	2	4	11:19	-8	8
13	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14:25	-11	8
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6
15	Telstar	8	1	3	4	7:14	-7	6
16	ADO Den Haag	9	1	3	5	11:20	-9	6
17	PEC Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6:21	-15	4
18	Willem II	8	0	2	6	7:23	-16	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.55X21%4.41218%5.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.57 -0.6%X4.31 → 4.40 +2.1%24.80 → 5.13 +6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.50	2.67	4.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.47	2.55	7.2%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.67	4.1%
Average	1.47	2.53	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.52	2.37	8.0%
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.33	8.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.53	2.33	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sparta Rotterdam 45%Draw 45%Willem II 10%

The statistical model rated Sparta Rotterdam at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Willem II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 4.41 | 5.23, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Sparta Rotterdam win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Sparta Rotterdam are 14th (6 pts, 13-20 goals), Willem II 18th (2 pts, 7-23).

Over their last five matches, Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Willem II averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sparta Rotterdam or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam

5-4-1

Coach: R. Meijer

Goalkeeper

1M. Brouwer

Defence

2L. Martes
3M. Young
6N. Verschuren
4B. Martins Indi
5B. Kuipers

Midfield

7Robin van Cruijsen
8J. Toornstra
10Cedric Hatenboer
11I. Babadi

Attack

9M. Zonneveld

Substitutes (8)

16J. Baas
20F. Bednarek
19Andrej Kostić
14Teo Quintero
12B. Reith
18A. Roaldsøy
17M. van Bergen
15G. Vianello

Willem II

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Stegeman

Goalkeeper

26M. Delanghe

Defence

5H. ter Avest
3F. Stam
23M. Dekker
24N. Tjoe-A-On

Midfield

18Anass Zarrouk
52T. Vilhena
7J. Slory
19Uriel van Aalst
32V. van Crooij

Attack

9D. Haen

Substitutes (9)

2A. Ciranni
22Per van Loon
10J. Schuurman
17O. Martin
14Jens Mathijsen
15A. Et-Taïbi
31K. de Leeuw
8K. Boogaard
28T. Verheydt

Match Statistics

Sparta RotterdamWillem II

3.46Expected Goals1.24

300Passes accurate293

18Shots insidebox7

4Shots outsidebox6

3Blocked Shots3

12Free Kicks12

8Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves5

11Shots off Goal6

383Total passes395

22Total Shots13

4Yellow Cards4

3Corner Kicks4

12Fouls12

0Red Cards0

49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	4.40	5.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.33	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	3.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.33

1st half

1	X	2
2.03	2.56	4.96

2nd half

1	X	2
1.84	2.87	4.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.23	15.7	38.7
HT X	4.65	7.13	11.5
HT 2	21.0	16.1	8.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	20.1	2.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	19.3
1.5	1.12	5.45
2.5	1.47	2.53
3.5	2.21	1.64
4.5	3.74	1.23
5.5	7.15	1.07
6.5	15.0	1.03
7.5	29.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	14.0
1.75	1.12	4.80
2	1.14	4.30
2.25	1.28	3.05
2.75	1.56	2.26
3	1.72	2.01
3.25	1.98	1.80
3.75	2.48	1.48
4	2.97	1.31
4.25	3.28	1.25
4.75	4.45	1.14
5	6.00	1.06
5.25	6.35	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.45	1.52
-1.25	2.18	1.64
-1	1.91	1.86
-0.75	1.68	2.09
-0.5	1.55	2.40
-0.25	1.39	2.80

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.90	1.01
-3	8.10	1.02
-2.75	5.67	1.10
-2.5	4.43	1.16
-2.25	4.05	1.19
-2	3.68	1.24
-1.75	3.01	1.38
0	1.22	3.86
+0.25	1.19	4.21
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.08	6.42
+1	1.04	7.90
+1.5	1.02	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.15
7.5	1.10	4.76
8.5	1.23	3.31
9.5	1.44	2.48
10.5	1.75	1.97
11.5	2.14	1.62
12.5	2.73	1.35
13.5	3.56	1.19
14.5	4.25	1.11
15.5	5.37	1.05

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.95
8	1.13	3.99
8.75	1.30	2.90
9	1.27	2.87
9.25	1.32	2.81
9.75	1.44	2.38
10	1.54	2.27
10.25	1.62	2.10
10.75	1.85	1.89
11	1.97	1.82
11.25	2.03	1.67
11.75	2.27	1.50
12	2.47	1.46
12.25	2.62	1.38
13	3.10	1.23
14	4.05	1.12
15	5.15	1.06