Chico vs Bucaramanga• Primera A, Colombia

#180.8:1.623:0023/10 · Estadio La Independencia, Tunja2.0:0.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.15BTNX3.30BFR21.95WHMargin at best5.7%Books7Markets73Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	4.15	3.30	1.91	6.8%
Bet365	4.10	3.25	1.90	7.8%
Dafabet	4.10	3.25	1.90	7.8%
1xBet	3.96	3.26	1.92	8.0%
Betfair	3.90	3.30	1.91	8.3%
Marathonbet	3.94	3.26	1.90	8.7%
William Hill	3.90	3.10	1.95	9.2%
Best of all books	4.15	3.30	1.95	5.7%
Average	4.01	3.25	1.91	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChicoBucaramanga

Last 10#18Table position#130.89Points per game1.214Form pts · last 5110.8Goals for · last 52.01.6Goals against · last 50.829Attack rating7133Defence rating6727Form rating7338H2H rating6255Goals model4536Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 23:10 UTC

Chico

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	H	Atletico Nacional	1-4	L
11 Oct	H	Cucuta	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Deportes Tolima	0-0	D
25 Sep	H	Deportivo Pasto	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Millonarios	0-3	L
16 Sep	H	Alianza Valledupar	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Independiente Medellin	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Once Caldas	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Águilas Doradas	2-2	D
26 Aug	H	Fortaleza FC	0-0	D

Bucaramanga

5W 5D 0L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	H	America de Cali	1-1	D
13 Oct	H	Águilas Doradas	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Junior	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Once Caldas	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Internacional de Bogota	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Independiente Medellin	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Deportivo Pereira	3-1	W
31 Aug	A	Deportivo Cali	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Deportes Tolima	0-0	D
9 Aug	A	Alianza Valledupar	3-2	W

Head to head

4Chico wins

4draws

6Bucaramanga wins

14 meetings · goals 12:22 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Chico

12 Apr 2026Primera A	Primera A	Bucaramanga5-0Chico
12 Jul 2025Primera A	Primera A	Bucaramanga1-1Chico
10 Jun 2025Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Bucaramanga3-2Chico
24 Jan 2025Primera A	Primera A	Chico1-0Bucaramanga
6 Nov 2024Primera A	Primera A	Chico1-1Bucaramanga
20 Apr 2024Primera A	Primera A	Bucaramanga2-3Chico
17 Oct 2023Primera A	Primera A	Bucaramanga1-0Chico
1 May 2023Primera A	Primera A	Chico0-0Bucaramanga
20 Jan 2021Primera A	Primera A	Bucaramanga2-0Chico
2 Nov 2020Primera A	Primera A	Chico1-0Bucaramanga

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 20 Oct 05:10 UTC

In the Primera A table, Chico sit 18th with 17 points from 19 games, while Bucaramanga are 13th with 23 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.01X28%3.25248%1.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.16	1.64	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.64	7.3%
Best of all books	2.16	1.67	6.2%
Average	2.16	1.65	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.76	8.6%
Best of all books	1.93	1.83	6.5%
Average	1.92	1.79	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chico 10%Draw 45%Bucaramanga 45%

The statistical model rates Chico at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bucaramanga at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.01 | 3.25 | 1.91, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Chico are 18th (17 pts, 15-32 goals), Bucaramanga 13th (23 pts, 26-20).

Over their last five matches, Chico averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Bucaramanga averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bucaramanga.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.01	3.25	1.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.84	1.23	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.86	1.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
4.53	2.04	2.55

2nd half

1	X	2
4.12	2.31	2.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.85	15.8	30.0
HT X	8.68	4.66	4.70
HT 2	45.0	15.2	2.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.56	8.30	1.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.88
1.5	1.35	2.88
2.5	2.16	1.65
3.5	3.81	1.21
4.5	7.95	1.05
5.5	14.9	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.40
1	1.05	6.60
1.25	1.19	3.80
1.75	1.43	2.47
2	1.59	2.17
2.25	1.87	1.82
2.75	2.48	1.44
3	3.10	1.28
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.96	1.11
4	7.30	1.03
4.25	7.68	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.83	1.36
+0.25	2.14	1.61
+0.5	1.89	1.89
+0.75	1.60	2.15
+1	1.41	2.77
+1.25	1.29	3.15

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.80	1.04
-1.25	8.93	1.01
-1	8.60	1.01
-0.75	5.23	1.12
-0.5	4.00	1.23
-0.25	3.34	1.27
+1.5	1.23	3.62
+1.75	1.14	4.63
+2	1.06	7.00
+2.25	1.02	7.68
+2.5	1.03	8.23

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.08	5.14
6.5	1.27	3.39
7.5	1.53	2.38
8.5	1.92	1.83
9.5	2.52	1.47
10.5	3.49	1.25
11.5	5.51	1.06

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.10	4.88
6	1.11	4.62
6.25	1.19	3.70
6.75	1.30	2.99
7	1.35	2.80
7.25	1.46	2.47
7.75	1.64	2.12
8	1.73	1.99
8.25	1.85	1.85
8.75	2.10	1.65
9	2.29	1.54
9.25	2.43	1.47
9.75	2.86	1.34
10	3.28	1.25
10.25	3.45	1.22
10.75	4.20	1.14
11	5.08	1.08
11.25	5.30	1.07

Next Primera A matches

20 Oct	Internacional de Bogota – Fortaleza FC
20 Oct	Cucuta – Atletico Nacional
21 Oct	Millonarios – Once Caldas
21 Oct	Llaneros – Deportivo Cali
22 Oct	Santa Fe – Jaguares
23 Oct	Atletico Nacional – Deportivo Pasto

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

20 Oct	Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Alianza Valledupar
19 Oct	Deportivo Cali 0-0 Junior
18 Oct	Llaneros 1-0 Santa Fe
18 Oct	Bucaramanga 1-1 America de Cali
18 Oct	Águilas Doradas 2-1 Deportes Tolima
18 Oct	Independiente Medellin 0-2 Once Caldas