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Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional• Primera A, Colombia

#191.6:1.223:3020/10 · Estadio General Santander, Cucuta1.6:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.75B365X4.10B36521.57WHMargin at best5.5%Books6Markets88Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 02:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3655.004.001.626.7%
Pinnacle5.684.051.556.8%
1xBet5.254.101.558.0%
BetVictor5.254.001.558.6%
Marathonbet5.304.101.538.6%
William Hill5.003.801.5710.0%
Best of all books5.684.101.623.7%
Average5.254.011.568.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CucutaAtletico Nacional
Last 10#19Table position#10.84Points per game2.119Form pts · last 5111.6Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5045Defence rating5553Form rating477H2H rating9338Goals model6239Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:11 UTC

Cucuta

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

11 OctAChico1-0W
4 OctHDeportivo Pereira4-0W
26 SepHLlaneros2-1W
19 SepADeportivo Cali0-3L
14 SepHMillonarios1-2L
5 SepHDeportivo Pasto2-2D
1 SepADeportes Tolima1-2L
26 AugHAlianza Valledupar1-0W
23 AugAIndependiente Medellin1-0W
19 AugHInternacional de Bogota1-1D

Atletico Nacional

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

17 OctAChico4-1W
15 OctHIndependiente Medellin3-2W
8 OctHDeportes Tolima0-0D
1 OctHJunior3-1W
26 SepHChapecoense-sc1-1D
25 SepHMillonarios1-1D
21 SepALlaneros0-2L
17 SepAInternacional de Bogota3-2W
13 SepHÁguilas Doradas2-0W
8 SepHDeportivo Cali3-0W

Head to head

1Cucuta wins
1draws
6Atletico Nacional wins

8 meetings · goals 5:16 · last 8: 1W 1D 6L for Cucuta

2 Apr 2026Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional0-0Cucuta
5 Aug 2025Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaCucuta0-3Atletico Nacional
29 Jul 2025Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaAtletico Nacional1-0Cucuta
15 Nov 2020Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional3-0Cucuta
27 Nov 2019Primera APrimera ACucuta0-1Atletico Nacional
10 Nov 2019Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional3-1Cucuta
15 Sep 2019Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional2-3Cucuta
23 Mar 2019Primera APrimera ACucuta1-3Atletico Nacional

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 18 Oct 04:20 UTC

In the Primera A table, Cucuta sit 19th with 16 points from 19 games, while Atletico Nacional are 1st with 40 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.41X23%4.02260%1.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0118 Oct 09:101 5.41X 4.022 1.54
14.99 → 5.41 +8.4%X3.89 → 4.02 +3.3%21.59 → 1.54 -3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.732.076.1%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.722.037.4%
Marathonbet1.722.037.4%
BetVictor1.692.018.9%
Best of all books1.732.105.4%
Average1.712.057.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.732.007.8%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.771.948.0%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.771.928.6%
Best of all books1.772.006.5%
Average1.751.968.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cucuta 10%Draw 45%Atletico Nacional 45%

The statistical model rates Cucuta at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Nacional at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.41 | 4.02 | 1.54, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Cucuta are 19th (16 pts, 22-35 goals), Atletico Nacional 1st (40 pts, 35-15).

Over their last five matches, Cucuta averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Atletico Nacional averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.254.011.56

Double chance

1XX212
2.311.141.21

Draw no bet

12
3.951.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.96

1st half

1X2
5.242.322.08

2nd half

1X2
4.882.641.90

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 19.1017.021.7
HT X11.76.334.33
HT 240.015.82.31

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7913.41.47

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0412.0
1.51.213.92
2.51.712.05
3.52.711.40
4.55.031.13
5.59.781.02
6.521.01.01
7.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.70
1–9.00
1.251.105.10
1.751.243.34
21.302.99
2.251.522.37
2.751.881.83
32.161.60
3.252.441.47
3.753.201.26
44.201.16
4.254.501.13
4.756.001.07
58.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.841.37
+0.52.341.56
+0.752.071.69
+11.801.94
+1.251.582.22
+1.51.462.50
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.501.01
-19.501.01
-0.756.401.07
-0.54.801.18
-0.254.351.16
04.021.20
+1.751.342.98
+21.213.97
+2.251.174.26
+2.51.144.75
+2.751.095.97
+31.028.10
+3.51.018.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.00
6.51.114.68
7.51.293.09
8.51.552.24
9.51.951.77
10.52.501.44
11.53.421.23
12.55.141.08
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.71
61.036.41
6.251.094.89
6.751.124.46
71.144.22
7.251.223.48
7.751.332.87
81.382.70
8.251.482.41
8.751.662.09
91.811.94
9.251.861.84
9.752.101.65
102.271.55
10.252.401.48
10.752.791.35
113.161.27
11.253.321.24
11.753.981.16
124.751.10
12.254.951.09
12.755.811.05
137.241.01

Next Primera A matches

18 OctÁguilas Doradas – Deportes Tolima
18 OctBucaramanga – America de Cali
18 OctLlaneros – Santa Fe
19 OctDeportivo Cali – Junior
20 OctDeportivo Pasto – Alianza Valledupar
20 OctDeportivo Pereira – Chico

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

18 OctIndependiente Medellin 0-2 Once Caldas
17 OctMillonarios 4-1 Jaguares
17 OctChico 1-4 Atletico Nacional
14 OctJunior 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
13 OctBucaramanga 1-1 Águilas Doradas
12 OctAmerica de Cali 1-2 Independiente Medellin