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Llaneros vs Santa Fe• Primera A, Colombia

#141.2:1.623:05Today · Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana, Villavicencio1.6:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.88B365X3.17PIN22.64PINMargin at best4.1%Books6Markets75Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 16:07 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.833.172.644.8%
Bet3652.883.002.626.2%
1xBet2.703.142.528.6%
Marathonbet2.703.142.528.6%
BetVictor2.753.102.508.6%
William Hill2.803.002.509.0%
Best of all books2.883.172.644.1%
Average2.783.092.557.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LlanerosSanta Fe
Last 10#14Table position#71.16Points per game1.533Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 50.643Attack rating5727Defence rating7320Form rating8067H2H rating3340Goals model6044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Llaneros

1W 1D 8L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

15 OctAInternacional de Bogota1-4L
10 OctAOnce Caldas0-1L
5 OctHAmerica de Cali1-2L
26 SepACucuta1-2L
21 SepHAtletico Nacional2-0W
12 SepAInternacional de Bogota2-3L
7 SepHDeportes Tolima1-2L
2 SepAQuindio1-1D
30 AugAIndependiente Medellin1-2L
27 AugHMillonarios0-2L

Santa Fe

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

11 OctHFortaleza FC2-2D
6 OctAIndependiente Medellin1-0W
29 SepADeportivo Pereira2-1W
25 SepAUnion Magdalena1-1D
23 SepHDeportivo Cali0-1L
19 SepAAlianza Valledupar4-1W
15 SepAVasco DA Gama0-2L
12 SepHDeportes Tolima1-0W
8 SepHVasco DA Gama0-0D
5 SepHFortaleza FC2-2D

Head to head

2Llaneros wins
0draws
1Santa Fe wins

3 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Llaneros

1 Apr 2026Primera APrimera ASanta Fe0-1Llaneros
12 Oct 2025Primera APrimera ASanta Fe1-3Llaneros
1 May 2025Primera APrimera ALlaneros0-1Santa Fe

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 18 Oct 04:20 UTC

In the Primera A table, Llaneros sit 14th with 22 points from 19 games, while Santa Fe are 7th with 29 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.76X30%3.08236%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 14:501 2.76X 3.082 2.58
12.71 → 2.76 +1.8%X3.07 → 3.08 +0.3%22.58 → 2.58 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.261.664.5%
Bet3652.201.656.1%
1xBet2.211.617.4%
Marathonbet2.211.617.4%
BetVictor2.121.628.9%
Best of all books2.261.664.5%
Average2.201.636.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.881.828.1%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.881.808.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.881.857.2%
Average1.861.838.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Llaneros 10%Draw 45%Santa Fe 45%

The statistical model rates Llaneros at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Santa Fe at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.76 | 3.08 | 2.58, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Llaneros are 14th (22 pts, 17-20 goals), Santa Fe 7th (29 pts, 29-22).

Over their last five matches, Llaneros averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Santa Fe averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Santa Fe.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.783.092.55

Double chance

1XX212
1.461.401.33

Draw no bet

12
1.921.78

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.83

1st half

1X2
3.432.003.24

2nd half

1X2
3.052.252.91

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.4315.031.7
HT X6.234.555.87
HT 233.015.04.18

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.097.851.97

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.98
1.51.372.86
2.52.201.63
3.54.051.20
4.58.551.04
5.517.81.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.95
11.066.25
1.251.213.58
1.751.482.45
21.642.11
2.251.921.81
2.752.541.45
33.221.26
3.253.581.21
3.755.101.10
47.301.03
4.257.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.781.42
-0.252.331.55
01.961.80
+0.251.642.13
+0.51.492.53
+0.751.333.07
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.757.781.02
-1.55.951.09
-1.255.451.11
-15.021.14
-0.753.381.28
+11.174.38
+1.251.144.80
+1.51.115.37
+1.751.047.40
+21.0110.0
+2.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.23
7.51.243.33
8.51.492.38
9.51.841.85
10.52.361.50
11.53.151.27
12.54.551.12
13.57.001.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.095.00
71.104.75
7.251.173.86
7.751.273.14
81.312.96
8.251.412.61
8.751.562.24
91.642.11
9.251.751.96
9.751.961.75
102.111.64
10.252.231.57
10.752.561.42
112.861.34
11.253.011.30
11.753.571.21
124.181.14
12.254.361.13
12.755.331.07
136.561.03
13.256.781.02

Next Primera A matches

18 OctÁguilas Doradas – Deportes Tolima
18 OctBucaramanga – America de Cali
19 OctDeportivo Cali – Junior
20 OctDeportivo Pasto – Alianza Valledupar
20 OctDeportivo Pereira – Chico
20 OctCucuta – Atletico Nacional

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

18 OctIndependiente Medellin 0-2 Once Caldas
17 OctMillonarios 4-1 Jaguares
17 OctChico 1-4 Atletico Nacional
14 OctJunior 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
13 OctBucaramanga 1-1 Águilas Doradas
12 OctAmerica de Cali 1-2 Independiente Medellin