OddsFilter

Millonarios vs Once Caldas• Primera A, Colombia

#101.8:1.001:30PostponedToday · Estadio El Campin, Bogota0.8:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.80BTN25.30BTNMargin at best2.3%Books10Markets83Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.753.805.302.3%
Pinnacle1.693.765.165.1%
Bet3651.733.604.756.6%
Betfair1.703.704.756.9%
Dafabet1.733.604.607.3%
1xBet1.703.584.747.9%
BetVictor1.673.604.808.5%
Marathonbet1.683.584.758.5%
William Hill1.703.404.809.1%
SBO1.683.284.0514.7%
Best of all books1.753.805.302.3%
Average1.703.594.777.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MillonariosOnce Caldas
Last 10#10Table position#51.37Points per game1.747Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3150Defence rating5056Form rating4464H2H rating3666Goals model3461Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 14:50 UTC

Millonarios

2W 7D 1L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

9 OctAFortaleza FC1-1D
3 OctABarranquilla1-1D
30 SepAIndependiente Medellin2-2D
25 SepAAtletico Nacional1-1D
19 SepHChico3-0W
14 SepACucuta2-1W
11 SepHDeportivo Cali1-1D
6 SepADeportivo Pereira1-1D
3 SepASanta Fe2-3L
30 AugHInternacional de Bogota0-0D

Once Caldas

4W 2D 4L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

10 OctHLlaneros1-0W
4 OctAInternacional de Bogota1-1D
26 SepHBucaramanga1-3L
20 SepADeportivo Pasto0-1L
16 SepHDeportes Tolima1-0W
13 SepHDeportivo Cali1-2L
10 SepHAlianza Valledupar1-0W
5 SepAChico0-2L
2 SepAFortaleza FC2-1W
24 AugAJunior1-1D

Head to head

10Millonarios wins
8draws
7Once Caldas wins

25 meetings · goals 34:27 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Millonarios

21 Mar 2026Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas1-4Millonarios
30 Oct 2025Primera APrimera AMillonarios0-0Once Caldas
12 Jun 2025Primera APrimera AMillonarios2-2Once Caldas
9 Jun 2025Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas0-0Millonarios
12 May 2025Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas2-2Millonarios
6 Mar 2025CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL SudamericanaOnce Caldas1-0Millonarios
8 Sep 2024Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas1-1Millonarios
28 Feb 2024Primera APrimera AMillonarios0-2Once Caldas
22 Aug 2023Primera APrimera AMillonarios2-1Once Caldas
26 Feb 2023Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas1-0Millonarios

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 14 Oct 03:40 UTC

In the Primera A table, Millonarios sit 10th with 26 points from 19 games, while Once Caldas are 5th with 33 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.70X26%3.59219%4.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Oct 00:0113 Oct 17:401 1.70X 3.592 4.77
11.72 → 1.70 -1.2%X3.54 → 3.59 +1.4%24.73 → 4.77 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.981.864.3%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
SBO1.931.855.9%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Betano1.951.826.2%
1xBet1.921.817.3%
Marathonbet1.921.817.3%
BetVictor1.881.799.1%
Best of all books1.981.874.0%
Average1.931.836.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
William Hill1.831.917.0%
1xBet1.851.858.1%
Betano1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.851.838.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.871.915.8%
Average1.841.868.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Millonarios 45%Draw 45%Once Caldas 10%

The statistical model rates Millonarios at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Once Caldas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.59 | 4.77, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Millonarios win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Millonarios are 10th (26 pts, 31-23 goals), Once Caldas 5th (33 pts, 31-22).

Over their last five matches, Millonarios averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Once Caldas averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Millonarios or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Millonarios

4-4-2

Coach: A. Gamero

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Burrai

Defence

  • 3M. Diaz Samuel
  • 4S. Barreiro
  • 6S. Mosquera
  • 22Sebastián Valencia Isaza

Midfield

  • 7J. Cuadrado
  • 55Leonai
  • 18R. Ureña
  • 14D. Silva

Attack

  • 10D. Ruiz
  • 23L. Castro
Substitutes (9)
  • 12J. Aguirre
  • 24J. Angulo
  • 20D. Banguero
  • 11A. Estupiñán
  • 26A. Llinás
  • 25D. Quintero
  • 15Yeiner Matias Romero Pino
  • 28S. Vega
  • 30S. del Castillo

Once Caldas

4-1-4-1

Coach: H. Herrera

Goalkeeper

  • 99J. Parra

Defence

  • 22J. Cuesta
  • 16J. Castaño
  • 30D. Londoño
  • 33J. Patiño

Midfield

  • 5J. Nieto
  • 7M. Barrios
  • 23A. Colorado
  • 20A. Roa
  • 9Pipe Gómez

Attack

  • 14J. Zapata
Substitutes (9)
  • 18J. Riquett
  • 42J. Quiñónes
  • 4E. Navarro
  • 17D. Moreno
  • 21H. Guzman
  • 19T. García
  • 12J. Camargo
  • 15J. Alvarado
  • 29E. Torres

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.703.594.77

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.071.25

Draw no bet

12
1.263.51

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.86

1st half

1X2
2.262.164.96

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.559.152.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.28
1.51.293.34
2.51.931.83
3.53.311.29
4.56.441.09
5.513.31.03
6.523.51.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.78
11.037.20
1.251.154.30
1.751.362.82
21.462.53
2.251.692.07
2.752.171.63
32.611.43
3.252.831.33
3.753.861.18
45.251.09
4.255.551.08
59.001.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.901.36
-1.252.561.46
-12.241.61
-0.751.871.86
-0.51.682.13
-0.251.462.54
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.01.02
-310.01.01
-2.757.001.04
-2.55.701.10
-2.255.231.12
-24.831.14
-1.753.581.25
01.253.53
+0.251.194.12
+0.51.184.80
+0.751.086.03
+1.51.029.73

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
6.51.801.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.26
7.51.263.32
8.51.512.37
9.51.891.84
10.52.411.49
11.53.241.27
12.54.531.12
13.56.951.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.095.02
71.104.78
7.251.173.88
7.751.273.15
81.312.98
8.251.402.62
8.751.562.25
91.642.12
9.251.741.97
9.751.961.76
102.101.65
10.252.221.57
10.752.551.43
112.841.34
11.253.001.30
11.753.551.21
124.161.15
12.254.341.13
12.755.291.07
136.511.03
13.256.731.02