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Santa Fe vs Jaguares• Primera A, Colombia

#71.6:0.601:05Today · Estadio El Campin, Bogota1.4:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40B365X5.06PIN210.3PINMargin at best0.9%Books10Markets91Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 12:08 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.394.7010.82.5%
Pinnacle1.315.0610.35.8%
Bet3651.404.338.506.3%
Dafabet1.354.808.207.1%
1xBet1.334.758.557.9%
Betfair1.334.758.508.0%
Marathonbet1.384.407.508.5%
BetVictor1.364.408.008.8%
William Hill1.364.338.009.1%
SBO1.324.156.8614.4%
Best of all books1.405.0610.30.9%
Average1.354.578.527.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Santa FeJaguares
Last 10#7Table position#161.53Points per game0.958Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 52.053Attack rating4777Defence rating2375Form rating2550H2H rating5079Goals model2165Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 20:31 UTC

Santa Fe

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

11 OctHFortaleza FC2-2D
6 OctAIndependiente Medellin1-0W
29 SepADeportivo Pereira2-1W
25 SepAUnion Magdalena1-1D
23 SepHDeportivo Cali0-1L
19 SepAAlianza Valledupar4-1W
15 SepAVasco DA Gama0-2L
12 SepHDeportes Tolima1-0W
8 SepHVasco DA Gama0-0D
5 SepHFortaleza FC2-2D

Jaguares

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHDeportes Tolima3-2W
3 OctAÁguilas Doradas0-2L
27 SepHAlianza Valledupar1-2L
22 SepAIndependiente Medellin1-2L
11 SepHFortaleza FC2-2D
6 SepAJunior3-3D
29 AugHAmerica de Cali2-2D
21 AugHChico1-0W
9 AugHOnce Caldas1-1D
5 AugAInternacional de Bogota0-1L

Head to head

9Santa Fe wins
6draws
5Jaguares wins

20 meetings · goals 32:17 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Santa Fe

17 Feb 2026Primera APrimera AJaguares3-1Santa Fe
15 Nov 2024Primera APrimera ASanta Fe3-0Jaguares
28 Apr 2024Primera APrimera AJaguares1-0Santa Fe
20 Jul 2023Primera APrimera ASanta Fe1-0Jaguares
27 Jan 2023Primera APrimera AJaguares2-2Santa Fe
17 Oct 2022Primera APrimera AJaguares2-1Santa Fe
1 May 2022Primera APrimera ASanta Fe4-0Jaguares
28 Oct 2021Primera APrimera ASanta Fe3-1Jaguares
8 Feb 2021Primera APrimera AJaguares0-1Santa Fe
13 Oct 2020Primera APrimera AJaguares1-1Santa Fe

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 16 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the Primera A table, Santa Fe sit 7th with 29 points from 19 games, while Jaguares are 16th with 18 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.35X20%4.52211%8.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Oct 14:4014 Oct 12:101 1.35X 4.572 8.52
11.41 → 1.35 -4.3%X4.30 → 4.57 +6.3%27.20 → 8.52 +18.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.772.065.0%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Betano1.752.055.9%
Betfair1.752.055.9%
1xBet1.742.017.2%
Marathonbet1.771.977.3%
BetVictor1.741.949.0%
Best of all books1.772.065.0%
Average1.752.026.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.051.755.9%
William Hill2.001.757.1%
Bet3652.101.677.5%
1xBet2.081.678.0%
Betano2.001.728.1%
Marathonbet2.011.708.6%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.101.754.8%
Average2.031.717.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Santa Fe 45%Draw 45%Jaguares 10%

The statistical model rates Santa Fe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Jaguares at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 4.52 | 8.10, which imply roughly 74.1% for a Santa Fe win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Santa Fe are 7th (29 pts, 29-22 goals), Jaguares 16th (18 pts, 20-33).

Over their last five matches, Santa Fe averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Jaguares averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Santa Fe or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.354.578.52

Double chance

1XX212
1.062.981.16

Draw no bet

12
1.106.46

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.031.71

1st half

1X2
1.822.367.39

2nd half

1X2
1.672.756.91

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.9317.361.1
HT X3.956.6415.9
HT 222.720.015.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3511.63.51

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.8
1.51.233.81
2.51.752.02
3.52.821.38
4.55.421.13
5.59.871.04
6.519.21.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.75
11.018.50
1.251.114.88
1.751.263.21
21.352.87
2.251.562.30
2.751.941.77
32.251.57
3.252.531.44
3.753.311.25
44.351.15
4.254.701.12
4.755.951.07
58.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.851.38
-1.752.351.53
-1.52.041.71
-1.251.801.93
-11.562.37
-0.751.412.70
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.757.981.02
-3.56.931.07
-3.256.301.08
-36.101.09
-2.754.371.16
-2.53.591.24
-2.253.231.30
-0.51.343.26
-0.251.213.98
01.086.12
+0.251.066.32
+0.751.018.60
+1.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.51.831.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.37
6.51.193.88
7.51.412.65
8.51.761.99
9.52.231.57
10.53.021.32
11.54.401.13
12.56.861.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.046.08
61.055.79
6.251.124.49
6.751.213.55
71.243.34
7.251.332.86
7.751.482.41
81.552.26
8.251.672.08
8.751.871.83
91.881.85
9.252.131.63
9.752.451.46
102.321.58
10.252.881.33
10.753.431.23
114.021.16
11.254.221.14
11.755.171.08
126.411.03
12.256.631.03