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UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau• Primera División, Peru

#160.6:1.020:1516/11 · Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua1.2:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52DAFX4.20DAF26.541XBMargin at best4.9%Books9Markets84Rating54 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.524.206.405.2%
Pinnacle1.494.066.197.9%
1xBet1.474.056.548.0%
Marathonbet1.464.056.458.7%
Betano1.504.005.808.9%
William Hill1.503.806.009.6%
Bet3651.483.706.5010.0%
Betfair1.444.005.5012.6%
SBO1.453.525.0317.3%
Best of all books1.524.206.544.9%
Average1.483.936.059.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UCV MoqueguaAtletico Grau
Last 10#16Table position#140.91Points per game1.125Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating6767Defence rating3356Form rating440H2H rating10058Goals model4254Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

UCV Moquegua

1W 2D 7L · goals 5:19 · per match 0.5 for, 1.9 against

9 NovAUniversitario2-2D
1 NovHClub Deportivo Los Chankas0-0D
28 OctAADT0-2L
25 OctHAlianza Lima0-1L
18 OctAFC Cajamarca1-0W
8 OctHCienciano0-2L
20 SepAJuan Pablo II College0-4L
13 SepHSporting Cristal1-2L
5 SepACusco0-2L
30 AugHAlianza Atletico1-4L

Atletico Grau

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

6 NovHCusco3-0W
1 NovHUniversitario1-3L
29 OctACienciano0-3L
23 OctHADT1-1D
18 OctAAlianza Lima1-3L
8 OctHClub Deportivo Los Chankas0-0D
19 SepASporting Cristal1-3L
13 SepHAlianza Atletico3-1W
6 SepADeportivo Garcilaso2-4L
1 SepHFBC Melgar1-0W

Head to head

0UCV Moquegua wins
0draws
1Atletico Grau wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for UCV Moquegua

29 May 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAtletico Grau1-0UCV Moquegua

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 14 Nov 00:11 UTC

In the Primera División table, UCV Moquegua sit 16th with 30 points from 33 games, while Atletico Grau are 14th with 37 points from 33.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alianza Lima33209454:24+3069
2Universitario331710659:39+2061
3FBC Melgar33169856:38+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso331671050:35+1555
5Sporting Cristal331561263:48+1551
6Cusco331631446:47-151
7Cienciano331551354:46+850
8Sport Huancayo331551348:49-150
9Alianza Atletico331471249:48+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas331391140:52-1248
11Sport Boys3312101137:35+242
12Juan Pablo II College331181448:59-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos338131244:47-337
14Atletico Grau331071632:41-937
15ADT337111536:48-1231
16UCV Moquegua33791727:48-2130
17FC Cajamarca33871846:65-1929
18UTC Cajamarca33591938:58-2014

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.48X23%3.93215%6.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 00:0014 Nov 15:001 1.48X 3.932 6.05
11.75 → 1.48 -15.4%X3.51 → 3.93 +12.0%24.31 → 6.05 +40.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.951.845.6%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
SBO1.901.866.4%
1xBet1.901.837.3%
Marathonbet1.901.837.3%
Betano1.881.828.1%
Best of all books1.951.874.8%
Average1.911.846.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano2.051.707.6%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
William Hill1.911.807.9%
1xBet2.021.718.0%
Marathonbet2.021.698.7%
Best of all books2.051.804.3%
Average2.001.737.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UCV Moquegua 10%Draw 45%Atletico Grau 45%

The statistical model rates UCV Moquegua at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Grau at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 3.93 | 6.05, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: UCV Moquegua are 16th (30 pts, 27-48 goals), Atletico Grau 14th (37 pts, 32-41).

Over their last five matches, UCV Moquegua averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Atletico Grau averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Grau.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.483.936.05

Double chance

1XX212
1.092.481.20

Draw no bet

12
1.164.85

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.001.73

1st half

1X2
2.022.215.87

2nd half

1X2
1.812.595.94

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1916.953.1
HT X3.995.7812.6
HT 223.318.011.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.429.653.31

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.069.00
1.51.283.28
2.51.911.84
3.53.211.29
4.56.001.09
5.512.01.03
6.523.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.68
11.028.00
1.251.134.51
1.751.342.91
21.442.55
2.251.672.07
2.752.151.63
32.581.43
3.252.911.34
3.753.911.19
45.301.09
4.255.701.08
59.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.841.36
-1.52.371.51
-1.252.091.66
-11.821.94
-0.751.602.20
-0.51.492.52
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.671.05
-38.301.01
-2.755.731.10
-2.54.431.16
-2.254.051.19
-23.641.23
-0.251.303.20
01.154.68
+0.251.155.07
+0.51.116.60
+0.751.057.73
+11.029.05
+1.51.0213.8

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.02
6.51.144.22
7.51.352.80
8.51.672.08
9.52.091.65
10.52.781.38
11.53.861.17
12.55.831.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.056.00
61.026.76
6.251.085.13
6.751.164.00
71.183.79
7.251.273.18
7.751.402.64
81.452.49
8.251.562.25
8.751.751.96
91.901.85
9.251.971.74
9.752.241.56
102.461.46
10.252.601.41
10.753.051.29
113.511.22
11.253.681.19
11.754.461.12
125.411.07
12.255.621.06

Next Primera División matches

14 NovAlianza Atletico – FBC Melgar
14 NovSporting Cristal – Cienciano
14 NovSport Huancayo – Universitario
14 NovAlianza Lima – FC Cajamarca
15 NovComerciantes Unidos – Sport Boys
15 NovJuan Pablo II College – Deportivo Garcilaso

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

9 NovUniversitario 2-2 UCV Moquegua
8 NovDeportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos
8 NovSport Boys 0-0 UTC Cajamarca
8 NovClub Deportivo Los Chankas 1-1 Alianza Lima
8 NovCienciano 1-2 Sport Huancayo
7 NovFBC Melgar 2-1 Juan Pablo II College