Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar• Primera División, Peru

#91.2:2.421:00Today · Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana1.8:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30DAFX3.50DAF22.211XBMargin at best4.1%Books6Markets49Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 16:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.30	3.50	2.16	5.2%
1xBet	3.02	3.38	2.21	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.99	3.38	2.19	8.7%
Betano	3.20	3.35	2.10	8.7%
Bet365	3.20	3.40	2.05	9.4%
Betfair	3.10	3.40	2.00	11.7%
Best of all books	3.30	3.50	2.21	4.1%
Average	3.14	3.40	2.12	8.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Alianza AtleticoFBC Melgar

Last 10#9Table position#31.48Points per game1.736Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.82.4Goals against · last 51.440Attack rating6037Defence rating6338Form rating6329H2H rating7150Goals model5039Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Alianza Atletico

5W 0D 5L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

7 Nov	A	FC Cajamarca	0-2	L
31 Oct	H	Juan Pablo II College	1-0	W
28 Oct	H	Deportivo Garcilaso	3-2	W
24 Oct	A	Sport Huancayo	1-4	L
18 Oct	H	Universitario	1-4	L
11 Oct	A	Sport Boys	3-1	W
6 Oct	H	Sport Boys	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Sport Boys	0-3	L
18 Sep	H	Comerciantes Unidos	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Atletico Grau	1-3	L

FBC Melgar

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

7 Nov	H	Juan Pablo II College	2-1	W
2 Nov	A	Sport Huancayo	0-2	L
30 Oct	H	Comerciantes Unidos	1-1	D
23 Oct	A	UTC Cajamarca	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Deportivo Garcilaso	4-2	W
11 Oct	A	Universitario	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Sport Boys	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Cusco	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	ADT	3-0	W
1 Sep	A	Atletico Grau	0-1	L

Head to head

5Alianza Atletico wins

4draws

8FBC Melgar wins

17 meetings · goals 18:25 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Alianza Atletico

31 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar3-1Alianza Atletico
1 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico0-0FBC Melgar
24 Feb 2025Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar2-1Alianza Atletico
25 Jul 2024Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico3-1FBC Melgar
10 Feb 2024Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar1-0Alianza Atletico
15 Sep 2023Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar4-0Alianza Atletico
24 Apr 2023Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico3-3FBC Melgar
30 Oct 2022Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar0-1Alianza Atletico
3 Jul 2022Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico0-0FBC Melgar
13 Aug 2021Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico3-3FBC Melgar

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 14 Nov 00:11 UTC

In the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico sit 9th with 49 points from 33 games, while FBC Melgar are 3rd with 57 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	54:24	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	59:39	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	56:38	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	50:35	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	63:48	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	46:47	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	54:46	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	48:49	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	49:48	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	40:52	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	37:35	+2	42
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	48:59	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	44:47	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	32:41	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	36:48	-12	31
16	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	27:48	-21	30
17	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	46:65	-19	29
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	38:58	-20	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.14X27%3.40244%2.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.23 → 3.14 -2.8%X3.43 → 3.40 -0.9%22.06 → 2.12 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
1xBet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
Betano	1.70	2.02	8.3%
Best of all books	1.76	2.08	4.9%
Average	1.74	2.02	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.18	8.0%
Betano	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.15	8.6%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.60	2.20	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alianza Atletico 10%Draw 45%FBC Melgar 45%

The statistical model rates Alianza Atletico at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FBC Melgar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.14 | 3.40 | 2.12, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Alianza Atletico are 9th (49 pts, 49-48 goals), FBC Melgar 3rd (57 pts, 56-38).

Over their last five matches, Alianza Atletico averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; FBC Melgar averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FBC Melgar.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.14	3.40	2.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.66	1.33	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.35	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
3.65	2.18	2.69

2nd half

1	X	2
3.26	2.57	2.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.18	14.1	24.5
HT X	7.15	5.43	5.38
HT 2	30.8	13.7	3.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	12.8	1.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	10.6
1.5	1.21	3.78
2.5	1.74	2.02
3.5	2.74	1.38
4.5	5.08	1.13
5.5	9.28	1.04
6.5	18.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.98
1	–	9.00
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.25	3.30
2	1.32	2.89
2.25	1.54	2.30
2.75	1.91	1.76
3	2.20	1.57
3.25	2.51	1.43
3.75	3.35	1.25
4	4.45	1.14
4.25	4.81	1.12
4.75	6.50	1.05
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.63	1.43
0	2.27	1.58
+0.25	1.87	1.83
+0.5	1.74	2.05
+0.75	1.47	2.46
+1	1.30	3.13

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.00	1.02
-1.5	6.37	1.07
-1.25	5.88	1.09
-1	5.40	1.11
-0.75	3.71	1.23
-0.5	3.30	1.32
+1.25	1.24	3.54
+1.5	1.19	3.93
+1.75	1.13	5.07
+2	1.02	7.70
+2.5	1.03	8.67

Next Primera División matches

15 Nov	Comerciantes Unidos – Sport Boys
15 Nov	Juan Pablo II College – Deportivo Garcilaso
16 Nov	UTC Cajamarca – Club Deportivo Los Chankas
16 Nov	Cusco – ADT
16 Nov	UCV Moquegua – Atletico Grau

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

9 Nov	Universitario 2-2 UCV Moquegua
8 Nov	Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos
8 Nov	Sport Boys 0-0 UTC Cajamarca
8 Nov	Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-1 Alianza Lima
8 Nov	Cienciano 1-2 Sport Huancayo
7 Nov	FBC Melgar 2-1 Juan Pablo II College