Universitario vs UCV Moquegua• Primera División, Peru

#22.8:1.22-2FTToday · Estadio Monumental U Marathon, Lima0.2:1.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.26DAFX7.00BTN213.0MARMargin at best1.3%Books9Markets87Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 20:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.22	7.00	16.5	2.3%
Dafabet	1.26	6.20	11.0	4.6%
Bet365	1.25	5.50	12.0	6.5%
1xBet	1.22	5.45	13.0	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.21	5.45	13.0	8.7%
William Hill	1.22	5.00	12.0	10.3%
Betfair	1.18	5.50	11.0	12.0%
SBO	1.12	6.18	9.64	15.8%
Pinnacle	1.18	4.83	7.61	18.6%
Best of all books	1.26	7.00	13.0	1.3%
Average	1.21	5.68	11.8	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UniversitarioUCV Moquegua

Last 10#2Table position#171.88Points per game0.9111Form pts · last 542.8Goals for · last 50.21.2Goals against · last 51.093Attack rating745Defence rating5573Form rating2750H2H rating5083Goals model1769Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Nov 00:10 UTC

Universitario

6W 3D 1L · goals 25:15 · per match 2.5 for, 1.5 against

5 Nov	H	Sport Boys	2-2	D
1 Nov	A	Atletico Grau	3-1	W
25 Oct	H	Juan Pablo II College	3-0	W
18 Oct	A	Alianza Atletico	4-1	W
11 Oct	H	FBC Melgar	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Deportivo Garcilaso	0-4	L
13 Sep	A	Alianza Lima	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Comerciantes Unidos	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	UTC Cajamarca	4-2	W
23 Aug	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3-0	W

UCV Moquegua

1W 1D 8L · goals 3:19 · per match 0.3 for, 1.9 against

1 Nov	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	0-0	D
28 Oct	A	ADT	0-2	L
25 Oct	H	Alianza Lima	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	FC Cajamarca	1-0	W
8 Oct	H	Cienciano	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Juan Pablo II College	0-4	L
13 Sep	H	Sporting Cristal	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Cusco	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Alianza Atletico	1-4	L
27 Aug	A	ADT	0-2	L

Head to head

0Universitario wins

1draws

0UCV Moquegua wins

1 meeting · goals 0:0 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Universitario

23 May 2026Primera División

Primera División

UCV Moquegua0-0Universitario

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 9 Nov 02:40 UTC

In the Primera División table, Universitario sit 2nd with 60 points from 32 games, while UCV Moquegua are 17th with 29 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	54:24	+30	69
2	Universitario	32	17	9	6	57:37	+20	60
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	56:38	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	32	16	6	10	50:35	+15	54
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	63:48	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	46:47	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	54:46	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	48:49	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	49:48	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	40:52	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	32	12	9	11	37:35	+2	45
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	48:59	-11	41
13	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	32:41	-9	37
14	Comerciantes Unidos	32	8	12	12	44:47	-3	36
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	36:48	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	46:65	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	32	7	8	17	25:46	-21	29
18	UTC Cajamarca	32	5	8	19	38:58	-20	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.20X16%5.8427%12.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.15 → 1.21 +5.2%X7.14 → 5.68 -20.4%216.6 → 11.8 -29.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Pinnacle	1.48	2.15	14.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.55	2.22	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.62	7.2%
William Hill	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.18	1.61	8.0%
Betano	2.37	1.52	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.59	8.8%
Best of all books	2.37	1.73	-0.0%
Average	2.17	1.62	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Universitario 45%Draw 45%UCV Moquegua 10%

The statistical model rated Universitario at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and UCV Moquegua at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.20 | 5.84 | 12.86, which imply roughly 83.3% for a Universitario win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Universitario are 2nd (60 pts, 57-37 goals), UCV Moquegua 17th (29 pts, 25-46).

Over their last five matches, Universitario averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; UCV Moquegua averaged 0.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Universitario.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Universitario

3-5-2

Coach: F. Bustos

Goalkeeper

25M. Vargas

Defence

2C. Fara
3W. Riveros
4A. Santamaría

Midfield

24A. Polo
19É. Flores
10H. Calcaterra
17J. Concha
33C. Inga

Attack

18G. Lapadula
20A. Valera

Substitutes (9)

29A. Corzo
15J. Requena
77B. Reyna
11J. Rivera
1D. Romero
23J. Murrugarra
70J. Gutiérrez
8H. Fértoli
39P. Quispe

UCV Moquegua

4-2-3-1

Coach: José Soto

Goalkeeper

1C. Grados

Defence

22E. Montenegro
13J. Lojas
3C. Enciso
4A. Perleche

Midfield

20D. Ramírez
25R. Chipao
7E. Lastre
8C. Mejía
17Y. Zapata

Attack

90J. Collazos

Substitutes (9)

10N. Chávez
16Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
29R. Figueroa
30J. Granda
24A. Lecaros
88Y. López
14Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca
11B. Angulo
35E. Santillán

Match Statistics

UniversitarioUCV Moquegua

2.19Expected Goals1.19

477Passes accurate132

15Shots insidebox7

6Shots outsidebox5

5Blocked Shots3

8Free Kicks11

5Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves3

11Shots off Goal5

537Total passes195

21Total Shots12

2Yellow Cards3

11Corner Kicks6

11Fouls8

0Red Cards0

68%Ball Possession32%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.21	5.68	11.8

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	4.02	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.06	8.63

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.17	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
1.59	2.63	9.07

2nd half

1	X	2
1.48	3.13	9.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.67	22.0	77.2
HT X	3.85	8.01	22.8
HT 2	22.5	24.3	20.9

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.23	14.8	4.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.2
1.5	1.16	4.51
2.5	1.56	2.22
3.5	2.42	1.50
4.5	4.21	1.19
5.5	7.90	1.05
6.5	16.5	1.02
7.5	37.5	–
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.25	1.08	5.45
1.75	1.17	3.98
2	1.24	3.27
2.25	1.36	2.59
2.75	1.65	1.97
3	1.88	1.77
3.25	2.05	1.63
3.75	2.69	1.35
4	3.34	1.26
4.25	3.77	1.19
4.75	5.10	1.10
5	7.00	1.04
5.25	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.55	1.42
-2.25	2.27	1.55
-2	2.05	1.65
-1.75	1.84	1.85
-1.5	1.65	2.10
-1.25	1.48	2.38

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.80	1.08
-4.25	6.80	1.10
-4	7.93	1.04
-3.75	6.22	1.08
-3.5	4.97	1.13
-3.25	4.55	1.15
-3	3.92	1.21
-2.75	3.04	1.34
-1	1.34	2.91
-0.75	1.29	3.19
-0.5	1.27	3.23
-0.25	1.11	5.33
0	1.04	9.90
+0.25	1.03	7.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.09	5.01
7.5	1.27	3.17
8.5	1.53	2.30
9.5	1.92	1.80
10.5	2.46	1.47
11.5	3.28	1.25
12.5	4.77	1.10

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.12	4.54
8	1.34	2.86
8.25	1.42	2.49
8.75	1.57	2.16
9	1.69	2.04
9.25	1.77	1.89
9.75	2.03	1.70
10	2.20	1.59
10.25	2.30	1.52
11	2.97	1.31
12	4.39	1.13
13	6.96	1.02

Latest Primera División results

8 Nov	Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos
8 Nov	Sport Boys 0-0 UTC Cajamarca
8 Nov	Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-1 Alianza Lima
8 Nov	Cienciano 1-2 Sport Huancayo
7 Nov	FBC Melgar 2-1 Juan Pablo II College
7 Nov	FC Cajamarca 2-0 Alianza Atletico