Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima• Primera División, Peru

#82.2:1.420:3029/10 · Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima1.8:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.49PINX3.35DAF23.00DAFMargin at best3.3%Books8Markets78Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 20:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.41	3.35	3.00	4.7%
Pinnacle	2.49	3.16	2.78	7.8%
Bet365	2.35	3.25	2.88	8.0%
1xBet	2.38	3.34	2.73	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.34	2.73	8.6%
Betano	2.35	3.20	2.85	8.9%
William Hill	2.40	3.10	2.80	9.6%
Betfair	2.30	3.10	2.80	11.5%
Best of all books	2.49	3.35	3.00	3.3%
Average	2.38	3.23	2.82	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting CristalAlianza Lima

Last 10#8Table position#11.47Points per game2.1712Form pts · last 5122.2Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4536Defence rating6450Form rating5050H2H rating5047Goals model5348Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 06:00 UTC

Sporting Cristal

8W 0D 2L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	A	Cusco	1-3	L
18 Oct	H	Comerciantes Unidos	4-2	W
11 Oct	A	UTC Cajamarca	1-0	W
1 Oct	H	ADT	5-0	W
27 Sep	A	ADT	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Atletico Grau	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	UCV Moquegua	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	Sport Boys	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Sport Huancayo	4-1	W

Alianza Lima

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	A	UCV Moquegua	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Atletico Grau	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Cusco	2-1	W
1 Oct	H	Palestino	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	ADT	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Universitario	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Juan Pablo II College	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Deportivo Garcilaso	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	FBC Melgar	1-1	D
16 Aug	H	UTC Cajamarca	1-0	W

Head to head

11Sporting Cristal wins

12draws

8Alianza Lima wins

31 meetings · goals 42:29 · last 10: 2W 7D 1L for Sporting Cristal

10 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima1-1Sporting Cristal
7 Dec 2025Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima3-3Sporting Cristal
3 Dec 2025Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal1-1Alianza Lima
6 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima0-0Sporting Cristal
2 Mar 2025Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal1-2Alianza Lima
18 Aug 2024Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal0-0Alianza Lima
30 Jun 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Alianza Lima1-1Sporting Cristal
10 Mar 2024Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima1-2Sporting Cristal
9 Jul 2023Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima0-0Sporting Cristal
5 Feb 2023Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal3-0Alianza Lima

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 27 Oct 02:40 UTC

In the Primera División table, Sporting Cristal sit 8th with 44 points from 30 games, while Alianza Lima are 1st with 65 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	30	19	8	3	50:20	+30	65
2	Universitario	30	16	8	6	52:34	+18	56
3	FBC Melgar	30	15	8	7	53:34	+19	53
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	30	15	6	9	45:30	+15	51
5	Cusco	30	15	3	12	45:43	+2	48
6	Cienciano	30	14	5	11	50:43	+7	47
7	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	30	13	7	10	39:50	-11	46
8	Sporting Cristal	30	13	5	12	54:45	+9	44
9	Sport Huancayo	30	13	5	12	44:46	-2	44
10	Alianza Atletico	30	12	7	11	45:44	+1	43
11	Sport Boys	30	11	8	11	34:33	+1	41
12	Juan Pablo II College	30	10	8	12	45:56	-11	38
13	Comerciantes Unidos	30	8	10	12	41:44	-3	34
14	Atletico Grau	30	9	7	14	28:35	-7	34
15	FC Cajamarca	30	7	7	16	43:57	-14	28
16	UCV Moquegua	30	7	7	16	25:44	-19	28
17	ADT	30	6	9	15	31:45	-14	27
18	UTC Cajamarca	30	4	8	18	33:54	-21	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.38X29%3.23233%2.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.34 → 2.38 +1.7%X3.22 → 3.23 +0.3%22.92 → 2.82 -3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.93	1.87	5.3%
Betano	1.90	1.85	6.7%
1xBet	1.90	1.83	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.83	7.3%
Best of all books	1.93	1.90	4.4%
Average	1.91	1.86	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.69	2.05	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting Cristal 10%Draw 45%Alianza Lima 45%

The statistical model rates Sporting Cristal at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Alianza Lima at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 3.23 | 2.82, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Sporting Cristal are 8th (44 pts, 54-45 goals), Alianza Lima 1st (65 pts, 50-20).

Over their last five matches, Sporting Cristal averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Alianza Lima averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza Lima.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.23	2.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.54	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.72	2.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
2.93	2.12	3.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.67	2.43	3.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.84	13.8	31.3
HT X	5.73	5.10	6.43
HT 2	27.8	13.9	4.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	11.3	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.10
1.5	1.27	3.33
2.5	1.91	1.86
3.5	3.15	1.30
4.5	6.00	1.09
5.5	11.1	1.04
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.65
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.13	4.51
1.75	1.33	2.96
2	1.43	2.59
2.25	1.66	2.09
2.75	2.14	1.64
3	2.55	1.44
3.25	2.86	1.35
3.75	3.93	1.18
4	5.35	1.09
4.25	5.75	1.07
5	9.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.81	1.38
-0.5	2.37	1.56
-0.25	2.06	1.71
0	1.75	2.02
+0.25	1.53	2.35
+0.5	1.42	2.74

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.40	1.01
-2	8.95	1.02
-1.75	6.18	1.08
-1.5	4.63	1.14
-1.25	4.23	1.18
-1	3.77	1.22
+0.75	1.28	3.31
+1	1.14	4.77
+1.25	1.12	5.27
+1.5	1.10	5.70
+1.75	1.03	7.40
+2	1.01	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.65	2.12

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.55
6.5	1.13	4.33
7.5	1.34	2.85
8.5	1.65	2.12
9.5	2.08	1.67
10.5	2.73	1.38
11.5	3.76	1.18
12.5	5.65	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.26
6	1.02	6.98
6.25	1.11	4.61
6.75	1.20	3.64
7	1.17	3.89
7.25	1.32	2.92
7.75	1.46	2.45
8	1.43	2.54
8.25	1.64	2.11
8.75	1.85	1.85
9	1.84	1.92
9.25	2.10	1.65
9.75	2.40	1.48
10	2.41	1.48
10.25	2.82	1.34
10.75	3.35	1.24
11	3.42	1.23
11.25	4.10	1.15
11.75	5.02	1.09
12	5.24	1.08
12.25	6.42	1.03

Next Primera División matches

27 Oct	Juan Pablo II College – Sport Huancayo
28 Oct	ADT – UCV Moquegua
28 Oct	FC Cajamarca – UTC Cajamarca
28 Oct	Alianza Atletico – Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Oct	Cienciano – Atletico Grau
29 Oct	Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Cusco

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 Oct	Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas
25 Oct	Sport Boys 4-2 FC Cajamarca
25 Oct	UCV Moquegua 0-1 Alianza Lima
25 Oct	Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 Cienciano
25 Oct	Universitario 3-0 Juan Pablo II College
24 Oct	Cusco 3-1 Sporting Cristal