Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso• Primera División, Peru

#101.6:2.620:30Tomorrow · Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana2.0:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83PINX3.70MAR24.50B365Margin at best3.9%Books9Markets84Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.77	3.75	4.50	5.4%
Pinnacle	1.75	3.80	4.14	7.6%
1xBet	1.80	3.60	4.06	8.0%
Bet365	1.70	3.50	4.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.78	3.60	4.05	8.6%
BetVictor	1.75	3.60	4.20	8.7%
Betano	1.75	3.50	4.30	9.0%
William Hill	1.80	3.50	4.00	9.1%
Betfair	1.75	3.60	4.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	3.80	4.75	2.9%
Average	1.76	3.61	4.22	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Alianza AtleticoDeportivo Garcilaso

Last 10#10Table position#41.43Points per game1.706Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 52.02.6Goals against · last 51.444Attack rating5635Defence rating6550Form rating5080H2H rating2067Goals model3358Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:01 UTC

Alianza Atletico

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

24 Oct	A	Sport Huancayo	1-4	L
18 Oct	H	Universitario	1-4	L
11 Oct	A	Sport Boys	3-1	W
6 Oct	H	Sport Boys	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Sport Boys	0-3	L
18 Sep	H	Comerciantes Unidos	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Atletico Grau	1-3	L
4 Sep	H	UTC Cajamarca	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	UCV Moquegua	4-1	W
25 Aug	H	UTC Cajamarca	1-1	D

Deportivo Garcilaso

6W 1D 3L · goals 21:10 · per match 2.1 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	4-1	W
17 Oct	A	FBC Melgar	2-4	L
10 Oct	H	Sport Huancayo	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Universitario	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Sport Boys	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Atletico Grau	4-2	W
30 Aug	A	Alianza Lima	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Cusco	4-1	W
16 Aug	A	Cienciano	0-0	D
9 Aug	H	UCV Moquegua	2-0	W

Head to head

6Alianza Atletico wins

0draws

2Deportivo Garcilaso wins

8 meetings · goals 16:7 · last 8: 6W 0D 2L for Alianza Atletico

11 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Deportivo Garcilaso2-1Alianza Atletico
4 Mar 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana	CONMEBOL Sudamericana	Alianza Atletico2-0Deportivo Garcilaso
5 Oct 2025Primera División	Primera División	Deportivo Garcilaso2-4Alianza Atletico
16 May 2025Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico1-0Deportivo Garcilaso
10 Aug 2024Primera División	Primera División	Deportivo Garcilaso0-1Alianza Atletico
29 Feb 2024Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico3-0Deportivo Garcilaso
1 Oct 2023Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico2-0Deportivo Garcilaso
20 May 2023Primera División	Primera División	Deportivo Garcilaso3-2Alianza Atletico

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 27 Oct 02:40 UTC

In the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico sit 10th with 43 points from 30 games, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th with 51 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	30	19	8	3	50:20	+30	65
2	Universitario	30	16	8	6	52:34	+18	56
3	FBC Melgar	30	15	8	7	53:34	+19	53
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	30	15	6	9	45:30	+15	51
5	Cusco	30	15	3	12	45:43	+2	48
6	Cienciano	30	14	5	11	50:43	+7	47
7	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	30	13	7	10	39:50	-11	46
8	Sporting Cristal	30	13	5	12	54:45	+9	44
9	Sport Huancayo	30	13	5	12	44:46	-2	44
10	Alianza Atletico	30	12	7	11	45:44	+1	43
11	Sport Boys	30	11	8	11	34:33	+1	41
12	Juan Pablo II College	30	10	8	12	45:56	-11	38
13	Comerciantes Unidos	30	8	10	12	41:44	-3	34
14	Atletico Grau	30	9	7	14	28:35	-7	34
15	FC Cajamarca	30	7	7	16	43:57	-14	28
16	UCV Moquegua	30	7	7	16	25:44	-19	28
17	ADT	30	6	9	15	31:45	-14	27
18	UTC Cajamarca	30	4	8	18	33:54	-21	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.78X26%3.61222%4.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.75 → 1.78 +1.7%X3.64 → 3.61 -0.8%24.32 → 4.17 -3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.84	1.97	5.1%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Betano	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.85	1.88	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.88	7.2%
BetVictor	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.87	2.00	3.5%
Average	1.83	1.92	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.72	2.02	7.6%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.76	1.96	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.93	8.6%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.74	1.99	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alianza Atletico 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Garcilaso 10%

The statistical model rates Alianza Atletico at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Garcilaso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.61 | 4.17, which imply roughly 56.2% for a Alianza Atletico win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Alianza Atletico are 10th (43 pts, 45-44 goals), Deportivo Garcilaso 4th (51 pts, 45-30).

Over their last five matches, Alianza Atletico averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Deportivo Garcilaso averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza Atletico or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.76	3.61	4.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.96	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.16

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.21	4.64

2nd half

1	X	2
2.12	2.55	4.10

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.71	14.0	36.8
HT X	4.58	5.54	9.28
HT 2	22.0	14.7	7.16

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	10.6	2.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.73
1.5	1.25	3.56
2.5	1.83	1.92
3.5	2.98	1.34
4.5	5.83	1.10
5.5	10.8	1.04
6.5	20.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.60
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.13	4.56
1.75	1.30	3.09
2	1.39	2.70
2.25	1.61	2.17
2.75	2.04	1.69
3	2.39	1.50
3.25	2.74	1.38
3.75	3.59	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.25	1.09
5	9.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.04	1.33
-1.25	2.70	1.40
-1	2.37	1.54
-0.75	1.94	1.77
-0.5	1.73	2.04
-0.25	1.51	2.35

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.70	1.01
-2.75	7.80	1.02
-2.5	6.00	1.08
-2.25	5.68	1.10
-2	5.28	1.11
-1.75	3.70	1.22
0	1.31	3.12
+0.25	1.25	3.51
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.11	5.27
+1	1.03	7.60
+1.5	1.01	8.50

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.65	2.12

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	7.00
6.5	1.14	4.26
7.5	1.34	2.85
8.5	1.64	2.10
9.5	2.08	1.67
10.5	2.75	1.38
11.5	3.79	1.19
12.5	5.78	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.71
6	1.02	6.82
6.25	1.08	5.16
6.75	1.16	4.04
7	1.18	3.82
7.25	1.26	3.20
7.75	1.39	2.66
8	1.44	2.50
8.25	1.55	2.26
8.75	1.74	1.97
9	1.85	1.91
9.25	1.96	1.75
9.75	2.23	1.57
10	2.44	1.47
10.25	2.58	1.41
10.75	3.03	1.30
11	3.48	1.22
11.25	3.66	1.20
11.75	4.43	1.12
12	5.36	1.07
12.25	5.57	1.06

Next Primera División matches

27 Oct	Juan Pablo II College – Sport Huancayo
28 Oct	ADT – UCV Moquegua
28 Oct	FC Cajamarca – UTC Cajamarca
29 Oct	Cienciano – Atletico Grau
29 Oct	Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Cusco
29 Oct	Sporting Cristal – Alianza Lima

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 Oct	Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas
25 Oct	Sport Boys 4-2 FC Cajamarca
25 Oct	UCV Moquegua 0-1 Alianza Lima
25 Oct	Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 Cienciano
25 Oct	Universitario 3-0 Juan Pablo II College
24 Oct	Cusco 3-1 Sporting Cristal