ADT vs UCV Moquegua• Primera División, Peru

#170.8:1.216:00Tomorrow · Tarma0.4:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.77DAFX3.80DAF24.50B365Margin at best5.0%Books8Markets86Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.77	3.80	4.50	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.76	3.57	4.36	7.8%
1xBet	1.72	3.72	4.35	8.0%
BetVictor	1.73	3.60	4.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.72	4.35	8.7%
Bet365	1.70	3.60	4.50	8.8%
Betano	1.75	3.55	4.25	8.8%
William Hill	1.75	3.50	4.20	9.5%
Best of all books	1.77	3.80	4.50	5.0%
Average	1.73	3.63	4.36	8.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ADTUCV Moquegua

Last 10#17Table position#160.90Points per game0.932Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 51.867Attack rating3360Defence rating4063Form rating3880H2H rating2070Goals model3068Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:01 UTC

ADT

2W 2D 6L · goals 7:18 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against

23 Oct	A	Atletico Grau	1-1	D
16 Oct	A	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	FC Cajamarca	0-0	D
1 Oct	A	Sporting Cristal	0-5	L
27 Sep	H	Sporting Cristal	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Cienciano	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Alianza Lima	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	FBC Melgar	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Sport Huancayo	1-3	L
27 Aug	H	UCV Moquegua	2-0	W

UCV Moquegua

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	H	Alianza Lima	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	FC Cajamarca	1-0	W
8 Oct	H	Cienciano	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Juan Pablo II College	0-4	L
13 Sep	H	Sporting Cristal	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Cusco	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Alianza Atletico	1-4	L
27 Aug	A	ADT	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Sport Huancayo	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Sport Boys	1-1	D

Head to head

1ADT wins

1draws

0UCV Moquegua wins

2 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for ADT

27 Aug 2026Copa De La Liga	Copa De La Liga	ADT2-0UCV Moquegua
9 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	UCV Moquegua2-2ADT

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 27 Oct 02:40 UTC

In the Primera División table, ADT sit 17th with 27 points from 30 games, while UCV Moquegua are 16th with 28 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	30	19	8	3	50:20	+30	65
2	Universitario	30	16	8	6	52:34	+18	56
3	FBC Melgar	30	15	8	7	53:34	+19	53
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	30	15	6	9	45:30	+15	51
5	Cusco	30	15	3	12	45:43	+2	48
6	Cienciano	30	14	5	11	50:43	+7	47
7	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	30	13	7	10	39:50	-11	46
8	Sporting Cristal	30	13	5	12	54:45	+9	44
9	Sport Huancayo	30	13	5	12	44:46	-2	44
10	Alianza Atletico	30	12	7	11	45:44	+1	43
11	Sport Boys	30	11	8	11	34:33	+1	41
12	Juan Pablo II College	30	10	8	12	45:56	-11	38
13	Comerciantes Unidos	30	8	10	12	41:44	-3	34
14	Atletico Grau	30	9	7	14	28:35	-7	34
15	FC Cajamarca	30	7	7	16	43:57	-14	28
16	UCV Moquegua	30	7	7	16	25:44	-19	28
17	ADT	30	6	9	15	31:45	-14	27
18	UTC Cajamarca	30	4	8	18	33:54	-21	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.74X25%3.64221%4.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.74 +6.1%X3.74 → 3.64 -2.7%24.94 → 4.36 -11.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.84	1.96	5.4%
1xBet	1.80	1.93	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.93	7.4%
Betano	1.78	1.95	7.5%
BetVictor	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.96	5.1%
Average	1.81	1.93	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.74	1.98	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ADT 50%Draw 50%UCV Moquegua 0%

The statistical model rates ADT at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and UCV Moquegua at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.64 | 4.36, which imply roughly 57.5% for a ADT win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera División table: ADT are 17th (27 pts, 31-45 goals), UCV Moquegua 16th (28 pts, 25-44).

Over their last five matches, ADT averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; UCV Moquegua averaged 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : ADT or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.74	3.63	4.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	2.03	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.22	4.73

2nd half

1	X	2
2.07	2.57	4.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.62	14.8	38.8
HT X	4.55	5.65	9.53
HT 2	22.8	15.2	7.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	12.3	2.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.83
1.5	1.24	3.57
2.5	1.81	1.93
3.5	2.94	1.34
4.5	5.59	1.10
5.5	10.3	1.04
6.5	20.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.78
1	1.01	8.40
1.25	1.12	4.76
1.75	1.29	3.14
2	1.37	2.75
2.25	1.59	2.20
2.75	2.01	1.72
3	2.34	1.52
3.25	2.64	1.41
3.75	3.49	1.23
4	4.65	1.12
4.25	4.95	1.11
4.75	6.10	1.06
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.87	1.37
-1.25	2.61	1.42
-1	2.31	1.57
-0.75	1.91	1.80
-0.5	1.73	2.04
-0.25	1.49	2.41

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-2.75	6.93	1.06
-2.5	5.67	1.09
-2.25	5.35	1.11
-2	4.95	1.13
-1.75	3.55	1.23
0	1.29	3.22
+0.25	1.23	3.62
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.11	5.42
+1	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.01	9.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.93	1.78

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	7.05
6.5	1.16	4.02
7.5	1.39	2.70
8.5	1.71	2.01
9.5	2.17	1.60
10.5	2.85	1.33
11.5	4.01	1.16
12.5	6.11	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.75
6	1.03	6.46
6.25	1.09	4.93
6.75	1.17	3.86
7	1.20	3.65
7.25	1.29	3.08
7.75	1.42	2.57
8	1.48	2.42
8.25	1.59	2.19
8.75	1.78	1.92
9	1.94	1.82
9.25	2.02	1.71
9.75	2.30	1.53
10	2.53	1.43
10.25	2.68	1.38
10.75	3.16	1.27
11	3.65	1.20
11.25	3.83	1.18
11.75	4.66	1.11
12	5.68	1.06
12.25	5.90	1.05

Next Primera División matches

27 Oct	Juan Pablo II College – Sport Huancayo
28 Oct	FC Cajamarca – UTC Cajamarca
28 Oct	Alianza Atletico – Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Oct	Cienciano – Atletico Grau
29 Oct	Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Cusco
29 Oct	Sporting Cristal – Alianza Lima

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 Oct	Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas
25 Oct	Sport Boys 4-2 FC Cajamarca
25 Oct	UCV Moquegua 0-1 Alianza Lima
25 Oct	Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 Cienciano
25 Oct	Universitario 3-0 Juan Pablo II College
24 Oct	Cusco 3-1 Sporting Cristal