Cienciano vs Atletico Grau• Primera División, Peru

#61.2:1.200:0029/10 · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco1.2:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.31DAFX5.80DAF29.50B365Margin at best4.1%Books9Markets95Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.31	5.80	9.00	4.7%
Bet365	1.27	5.50	9.50	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.28	5.51	8.83	7.6%
1xBet	1.30	5.30	8.25	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.29	5.30	8.20	8.6%
Betano	1.29	5.10	8.50	8.9%
BetVictor	1.25	5.50	9.00	9.3%
William Hill	1.30	5.00	8.00	9.4%
Betfair	1.25	5.50	8.50	9.9%
Best of all books	1.31	5.80	9.50	4.1%
Average	1.28	5.39	8.64	8.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CiencianoAtletico Grau

Last 10#6Table position#141.57Points per game1.137Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5057Defence rating4358Form rating4285H2H rating1573Goals model2765Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:01 UTC

Cienciano

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	A	Comerciantes Unidos	1-3	L
18 Oct	H	UTC Cajamarca	1-0	W
8 Oct	A	UCV Moquegua	2-0	W
30 Sep	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	1-1	D
23 Sep	A	ADT	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Atletico Torque	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	FC Cajamarca	5-2	W
31 Aug	H	Cusco	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Sport Boys	1-5	L

Atletico Grau

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

23 Oct	H	ADT	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Alianza Lima	1-3	L
8 Oct	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Sporting Cristal	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Alianza Atletico	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Deportivo Garcilaso	2-4	L
1 Sep	H	FBC Melgar	1-0	W
26 Aug	H	Sport Boys	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	FC Cajamarca	3-1	W
14 Aug	H	Comerciantes Unidos	1-0	W

Head to head

8Cienciano wins

4draws

3Atletico Grau wins

15 meetings · goals 22:17 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Cienciano

9 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau1-2Cienciano
24 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano1-0Atletico Grau
5 Apr 2025Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau1-1Cienciano
17 Aug 2024Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano1-0Atletico Grau
9 Mar 2024Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau1-1Cienciano
30 Sep 2023Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano2-0Atletico Grau
21 May 2023Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau4-0Cienciano
20 Aug 2022Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano2-2Atletico Grau
3 Apr 2022Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau1-2Cienciano
20 Nov 2020Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano1-0Atletico Grau

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 27 Oct 02:40 UTC

In the Primera División table, Cienciano sit 6th with 47 points from 30 games, while Atletico Grau are 14th with 34 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	30	19	8	3	50:20	+30	65
2	Universitario	30	16	8	6	52:34	+18	56
3	FBC Melgar	30	15	8	7	53:34	+19	53
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	30	15	6	9	45:30	+15	51
5	Cusco	30	15	3	12	45:43	+2	48
6	Cienciano	30	14	5	11	50:43	+7	47
7	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	30	13	7	10	39:50	-11	46
8	Sporting Cristal	30	13	5	12	54:45	+9	44
9	Sport Huancayo	30	13	5	12	44:46	-2	44
10	Alianza Atletico	30	12	7	11	45:44	+1	43
11	Sport Boys	30	11	8	11	34:33	+1	41
12	Juan Pablo II College	30	10	8	12	45:56	-11	38
13	Comerciantes Unidos	30	8	10	12	41:44	-3	34
14	Atletico Grau	30	9	7	14	28:35	-7	34
15	FC Cajamarca	30	7	7	16	43:57	-14	28
16	UCV Moquegua	30	7	7	16	25:44	-19	28
17	ADT	30	6	9	15	31:45	-14	27
18	UTC Cajamarca	30	4	8	18	33:54	-21	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg172%1.28X17%5.39211%8.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.33 → 1.28 -3.8%X5.07 → 5.39 +6.3%27.88 → 8.64 +9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.59	7.1%
BetVictor	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Betano	1.47	2.52	7.7%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.70	5.1%
Average	1.45	2.57	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.80	1.97	6.3%
Average	1.77	1.93	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cienciano 45%Draw 45%Atletico Grau 10%

The statistical model rates Cienciano at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Grau at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.28 | 5.39 | 8.64, which imply roughly 78.1% for a Cienciano win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Cienciano are 6th (47 pts, 50-43 goals), Atletico Grau 14th (34 pts, 28-35).

Over their last five matches, Cienciano averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Atletico Grau averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cienciano or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.28	5.39	8.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.45	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	6.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
1.67	2.71	7.19

2nd half

1	X	2
1.56	3.15	6.70

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.75	18.3	58.6
HT X	4.08	8.60	17.9
HT 2	18.5	19.7	14.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.31	21.0	3.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.12	5.33
2.5	1.45	2.57
3.5	2.15	1.65
4.5	3.54	1.25
5.5	6.35	1.08
6.5	11.4	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.16	4.20
2.25	1.30	3.05
2.75	1.55	2.26
3	1.69	2.02
3.25	1.92	1.79
3.75	2.43	1.48
4	2.96	1.33
4.25	3.16	1.27
4.75	4.21	1.15
5	5.50	1.08
5.25	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.66	1.41
-2	2.35	1.52
-1.75	2.01	1.72
-1.5	1.81	1.93
-1.25	1.61	2.20
-1	1.41	2.68

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.25	1.01
-4	9.00	1.01
-3.75	6.37	1.07
-3.5	5.38	1.11
-3.25	5.02	1.13
-3	4.62	1.15
-2.75	3.51	1.24
-2.5	2.92	1.35
-0.75	1.34	3.01
-0.5	1.27	3.55
-0.25	1.17	4.24
0	1.08	6.07
+0.25	1.07	6.43
+0.5	1.10	7.00
+0.75	1.01	8.85

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.78	1.93

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.47
6.5	1.18	3.85
7.5	1.41	2.64
8.5	1.73	1.99
9.5	2.20	1.58
10.5	2.96	1.31
11.5	4.34	1.13
12.5	6.74	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.18
6	1.05	5.89
6.25	1.12	4.56
6.75	1.20	3.60
7	1.23	3.39
7.25	1.33	2.90
7.75	1.47	2.43
8	1.54	2.29
8.25	1.65	2.09
8.75	1.86	1.84
9	2.00	1.77
9.25	2.11	1.64
9.75	2.42	1.48
10	2.69	1.38
10.25	2.85	1.34
10.75	3.38	1.23
11	3.96	1.16
11.25	4.15	1.15
11.75	5.09	1.08
12	6.29	1.04
12.25	6.51	1.03

Next Primera División matches

27 Oct	Juan Pablo II College – Sport Huancayo
28 Oct	ADT – UCV Moquegua
28 Oct	FC Cajamarca – UTC Cajamarca
28 Oct	Alianza Atletico – Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Oct	Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Cusco
29 Oct	Sporting Cristal – Alianza Lima

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 Oct	Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas
25 Oct	Sport Boys 4-2 FC Cajamarca
25 Oct	UCV Moquegua 0-1 Alianza Lima
25 Oct	Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 Cienciano
25 Oct	Universitario 3-0 Juan Pablo II College
24 Oct	Cusco 3-1 Sporting Cristal