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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961• HNL, Croatia

#70.8:1.82-0FT17/10 · Stadion Kranjčevićeva, Zagreb1.6:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35BTNX3.70DAF22.85DAFMargin at best4.7%Books6Markets79Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.363.682.825.0%
1xBet2.303.582.747.9%
Marathonbet2.283.582.728.6%
William Hill2.303.402.759.3%
BetVictor2.253.502.7010.1%
Bet3652.253.302.7011.8%
Best of all books2.363.682.825.0%
Average2.293.512.748.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
Last 10#7Table position#61.00Points per game1.204Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6740Defence rating6011Form rating8962H2H rating3843Goals model5741Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:50 UTC

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHNK Varazdin0-1L
20 SepADinamo Zagreb2-3L
12 SepHHNK Rijeka1-1D
9 SepATomislav2-0W
6 SepANK Slaven Belupo1-2L
31 AugAHNK Hajduk Split0-2L
21 AugARudes1-4L
15 AugANK Osijek0-1L
8 AugHHNK Gorica3-1W
1 AugAIstra 19613-2W

Istra 1961

4W 3D 3L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

10 OctANK Osijek3-1W
19 SepHHNK Gorica0-1L
13 SepHRudes3-2W
8 SepAZagorec5-0W
4 SepANK Varazdin0-0D
29 AugHDinamo Zagreb2-2D
23 AugAHNK Rijeka2-3L
15 AugHNK Slaven Belupo3-0W
9 AugAHNK Hajduk Split2-2D
1 AugHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-3L

Head to head

19NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins
15draws
9Istra 1961 wins

43 meetings · goals 61:38 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

1 Aug 2026HNLHNLIstra 19612-3NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
11 Apr 2026HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-0Istra 1961
30 Jan 2026HNLHNLIstra 19611-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
25 Oct 2025HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-2Istra 1961
9 Aug 2025HNLHNLIstra 19612-2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3 May 2025HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-0Istra 1961
4 Mar 2025CupCupIstra 19613-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
28 Feb 2025HNLHNLIstra 19613-2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1 Dec 2024HNLHNLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-2Istra 1961
14 Sep 2024HNLHNLIstra 19610-2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

HNL tableHNLupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the HNL table, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 7th with 10 points from 10 games, while Istra 1961 are 6th with 12 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split961218:9+919
2NK Varazdin953114:7+718
3HNK Rijeka952216:12+417
4Dinamo Zagreb851218:11+716
5NK Osijek951318:14+416
6Istra 19611033417:16+112
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1031613:17-410
8NK Slaven Belupo931511:17-610
9Rudes1021713:27-147
10HNK Gorica91266:14-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.29X26%3.50234%2.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0115 Oct 03:201 2.28X 3.482 2.72
12.30 → 2.28 -0.9%X3.58 → 3.48 -2.8%22.73 → 2.72 -0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.682.224.6%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
1xBet1.592.257.3%
Marathonbet1.592.257.3%
BetVictor1.622.119.1%
Best of all books1.682.254.0%
Average1.632.206.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.602.256.9%
1xBet1.492.448.1%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.492.408.8%
Best of all books1.602.443.5%
Average1.532.357.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 10%Draw 45%Istra 1961 45%

The statistical model rated NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Istra 1961 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.29 | 3.50 | 2.74, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 7th (10 pts, 13-17 goals), Istra 1961 6th (12 pts, 17-16).

Over their last five matches, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Istra 1961 averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Istra 1961.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

4-1-4-1

Coach: N. Jelavić

Goalkeeper

  • 12J. Posavec

Defence

  • 13F. Karačić
  • 2J. Gurlica
  • 4T. Triantafyllou
  • 20K. Čabrajić

Midfield

  • 9L. Belcar
  • 14M. Lorber
  • 8I. Katić
  • 6F. Fetai
  • 7D. Vuković
Substitutes (12)
  • 3M. Mitrović
  • 24M. Marić
  • 26M. Dardan
  • 32L. Savatović
  • 25P. Smiljanic
  • 16Kayke
  • 10M. Subotić
  • 15Dominik Thaqi
  • 29J. Vasilj
  • 5M. Čabraja
  • 28N. Đurković
  • 18E. Atabaev

Istra 1961

4-2-3-1

Coach: Javier Cabello

Goalkeeper

  • 1F. Kolić

Defence

  • 44R. Hrvatin
  • 3M. Nasraoui
  • 4R. Kumar
  • 13Niko Šepić

Midfield

  • 5D. Hodzic
  • 25G. Albarracín
  • 22E. Frederiksen
  • 20D. Ahmeti
  • 30N. Skafar Zuzic

Attack

  • 9Isaac
Substitutes (11)
  • 27D. Celija
  • 11S. Goričan
  • 94H. Jaganjac
  • 50Roko Jenjić
  • 34M. Kablar
  • 66M. Momoh
  • 40J. Paus-Kunšt
  • 7V. Rozić
  • 24Ivano Svraka
  • 23S. Ukich
  • 39T. Brajkovic

Match Statistics

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
241Passes accurate337
10Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox8
3Blocked Shots2
7Free Kicks15
6Shots on Goal8
8Goalkeeper Saves4
5Shots off Goal4
1Offsides2
330Total passes418
14Total Shots14
5Corner Kicks10
0Yellow Cards1
16Fouls9
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%
1.49Expected Goals0.58

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.293.512.74

Double chance

1XX212
1.401.551.27

Draw no bet

12
1.712.02

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.35

1st half

1X2
2.812.313.26

2nd half

1X2
2.582.592.91

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5713.728.0
HT X5.935.876.87
HT 225.013.74.37

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8314.92.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.3
1.51.174.45
2.51.632.20
3.52.551.45
4.54.711.15
5.59.131.03
6.521.01.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.90
1.251.066.35
1.751.174.02
21.223.52
2.251.442.60
2.751.771.97
31.991.72
3.252.251.57
3.752.851.34
43.581.21
4.254.011.17
4.755.501.08
57.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.671.42
-0.52.281.60
-0.251.991.76
01.712.06
+0.251.522.37
+0.51.422.83
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.301.01
-1.755.531.10
-1.54.281.17
-1.253.911.21
-13.491.26
+0.751.293.33
+11.154.58
+1.251.125.09
+1.51.105.55
+1.751.037.20
+21.019.80
+2.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.046.02
7.51.213.52
8.51.462.49
9.51.861.87
10.52.271.56
11.52.991.31
12.53.981.16
13.55.931.05
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.28
6.251.075.46
6.751.055.76
71.065.50
7.251.134.38
7.751.223.52
81.243.32
8.251.332.88
8.751.472.44
91.582.26
9.251.642.12
9.751.821.88
102.001.74
10.252.061.68
10.752.331.52
112.521.46
11.252.701.38
11.753.161.27
123.631.20
12.253.801.18
12.754.581.11
135.531.06
13.255.731.06

Next HNL matches

18 OctHNK Hajduk Split – NK Varazdin
18 OctNK Slaven Belupo – Dinamo Zagreb

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

17 OctNK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica
16 OctRudes 1-2 HNK Rijeka
11 OctNK Slaven Belupo 4-1 HNK Rijeka
11 OctNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 NK Varazdin
10 OctNK Osijek 1-3 Istra 1961
10 OctHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb