NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin• HNL, Croatia

#71.0:2.40-1FT11/10 · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb1.0:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.34PINX3.60PIN22.15DAFMargin at best4.2%Books10Markets79Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.30	3.55	2.15	5.0%
Pinnacle	3.30	3.56	2.14	5.1%
Betano	3.25	3.40	2.12	7.4%
1xBet	3.22	3.42	2.10	7.9%
Marathonbet	3.20	3.42	2.08	8.6%
William Hill	3.25	3.30	2.05	9.9%
BetVictor	3.13	3.40	2.05	10.1%
Betfair	3.10	3.50	2.00	10.8%
Bet365	3.20	3.30	2.00	11.6%
SBO	3.02	3.12	2.00	15.2%
Best of all books	3.30	3.56	2.15	4.9%
Average	3.20	3.40	2.07	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin

Last 10#7Table position#21.00Points per game2.004Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.02.4Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5029Defence rating7114Form rating8662H2H rating3852Goals model4843Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:50 UTC

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	NK Varazdin	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Dinamo Zagreb	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	HNK Rijeka	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Tomislav	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	NK Slaven Belupo	1-2	L
31 Aug	A	HNK Hajduk Split	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Rudes	1-4	L
15 Aug	A	NK Osijek	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	HNK Gorica	3-1	W
1 Aug	A	Istra 1961	3-2	W

NK Varazdin

5W 4D 1L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

11 Oct	A	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-0	W
2 Oct	A	Aluminij	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	NK Osijek	0-0	D
14 Sep	A	HNK Gorica	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Zagora	4-0	W
4 Sep	H	Istra 1961	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Rudes	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Dinamo Zagreb	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	HNK Rijeka	2-0	W
9 Aug	A	NK Slaven Belupo	4-1	W

Head to head

11NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins

12draws

4NK Varazdin wins

27 meetings · goals 38:26 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

27 Jun 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-1NK Varazdin
9 May 2026HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin1-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
7 Mar 2026HNL	HNL	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-1NK Varazdin
7 Dec 2025HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin4-2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
20 Sep 2025HNL	HNL	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-0NK Varazdin
26 Apr 2025HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin2-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
21 Feb 2025HNL	HNL	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-0NK Varazdin
18 Jan 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-2NK Varazdin
23 Nov 2024HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin1-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1 Sep 2024HNL	HNL	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-1NK Varazdin

HNL tableHNLupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the HNL table, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 7th with 10 points from 10 games, while NK Varazdin are 2nd with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
2	NK Varazdin	9	5	3	1	14:7	+7	18
3	HNK Rijeka	9	5	2	2	16:12	+4	17
4	Dinamo Zagreb	8	5	1	2	18:11	+7	16
5	NK Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	+4	16
6	Istra 1961	10	3	3	4	17:16	+1	12
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	10	3	1	6	13:17	-4	10
8	NK Slaven Belupo	9	3	1	5	11:17	-6	10
9	Rudes	10	2	1	7	13:27	-14	7
10	HNK Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.20X27%3.40244%2.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.86 → 3.20 +11.9%X3.28 → 3.40 +3.7%22.25 → 2.07 -8.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	2.03	4.2%
SBO	1.87	1.93	5.3%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.80	1.98	6.1%
1xBet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
BetVictor	1.77	1.91	8.9%
Betfair	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	1.87	2.03	2.7%
Average	1.79	1.97	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.65	2.12	7.8%
1xBet	1.62	2.17	7.8%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.14	8.5%
Best of all books	1.67	2.17	6.0%
Average	1.65	2.12	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 10%Draw 45%NK Varazdin 45%

The statistical model rated NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and NK Varazdin at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.07, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 7th (10 pts, 13-17 goals), NK Varazdin 2nd (18 pts, 14-7).

Over their last five matches, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; NK Varazdin averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or NK Varazdin.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

4-2-3-1

Coach: N. Jelavić

Goalkeeper

12J. Posavec

Defence

13F. Karačić
23M. Vešović
4T. Triantafyllou
20K. Čabrajić

Midfield

2J. Gurlica
10M. Subotić
15Dominik Thaqi
29J. Vasilj
9L. Belcar

Attack

24M. Marić

Substitutes (10)

16Kayke
7D. Vuković
28N. Đurković
6F. Fetai
8I. Katić
11Lovre Kulušić
14M. Lorber
26M. Dardan
32L. Savatović
25P. Smiljanic

NK Varazdin

4-2-3-1

Coach: N. Šafarić

Goalkeeper

33J. Silić

Defence

23F. Maglica
13M. Mladenovski
16N. Tepšić
3E. Duraković

Midfield

28I. Canjuga
24M. Marina
10A. Latković
22L. Mamić
38Iuri Tavares

Attack

21I. Posavec

Substitutes (12)

44M. Barać
12P. Bočkaj
11E. Uchegbu
8T. Duvnjak
20G. Sikošek
6D. Puclin
30L. Posinkovic
19L. Lukanić
5Sven Lesjak
9S. Jurić
17V. Akrap
31Rino Grubišić

Match Statistics

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin

1.17Expected Goals1.15

407Passes accurate285

7Shots insidebox13

5Shots outsidebox2

2Blocked Shots8

11Free Kicks16

4Shots on Goal2

2Goalkeeper Saves4

6Shots off Goal5

2Offsides0

486Total passes357

12Total Shots15

5Yellow Cards1

6Corner Kicks5

17Fouls11

0Red Cards0

58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.20	3.40	2.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.31	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.38	1.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
3.74	2.19	2.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.23	12.3	1.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.4
1.5	1.23	3.74
2.5	1.79	1.97
3.5	2.92	1.36
4.5	5.49	1.12
5.5	10.1	1.03
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.82
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.11	4.91
1.75	1.27	3.22
2	1.36	2.87
2.25	1.57	2.27
2.75	1.96	1.77
3	2.28	1.55
3.25	2.55	1.45
3.75	3.29	1.25
4	4.33	1.14
4.25	4.65	1.12
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.75	1.40
0	2.38	1.53
+0.25	1.95	1.81
+0.5	1.72	2.08
+0.75	1.52	2.39
+1	1.34	3.01

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.10	1.02
-1.5	6.25	1.08
-1.25	6.17	1.08
-1	5.72	1.09
-0.75	3.97	1.21
-0.5	3.29	1.33
+1.25	1.27	3.41
+1.5	1.22	3.70
+1.75	1.14	4.65
+2	1.05	6.65
+2.5	1.03	7.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.94
6.5	1.09	5.01
7.5	1.29	3.12
8.5	1.56	2.29
9.5	1.98	1.76
10.5	2.52	1.47
11.5	3.49	1.24
12.5	4.77	1.10
13.5	7.23	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.64
6	1.01	7.10
6.25	1.07	5.34
6.75	1.10	4.77
7	1.12	4.54
7.25	1.19	3.70
7.75	1.30	3.02
8	1.34	2.86
8.25	1.43	2.53
8.75	1.60	2.18
9	1.75	2.03
9.25	1.79	1.91
9.75	2.01	1.71
10	2.17	1.63
10.25	2.29	1.54
10.75	2.65	1.39
11	2.97	1.31
11.25	3.12	1.28
11.75	3.72	1.19
12	4.39	1.13
12.25	4.58	1.11
12.75	5.61	1.06
13	6.96	1.02
13.25	7.01	1.02

Next HNL matches

18 Oct

NK Slaven Belupo – Dinamo Zagreb

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

17 Oct	NK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica
17 Oct	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961
16 Oct	Rudes 1-2 HNK Rijeka
11 Oct	NK Slaven Belupo 4-1 HNK Rijeka
10 Oct	NK Osijek 1-3 Istra 1961
10 Oct	HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb