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HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb• HNL, Croatia

#12.2:0.62-1FT10/10 · Stadion Poljud, Split2.2:1.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20PINX3.60BFR22.24DAFMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets80Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.053.652.244.8%
Pinnacle3.113.672.195.1%
Betano3.053.502.187.2%
1xBet2.993.522.177.9%
Marathonbet2.973.522.158.6%
Betfair3.003.602.059.9%
William Hill3.003.302.1510.1%
BetVictor2.903.402.1510.4%
Bet3652.903.402.1011.5%
SBO2.773.212.0915.1%
Best of all books3.113.672.244.0%
Average2.973.482.159.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
Last 10#1Table position#42.11Points per game2.0012Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 52.20.6Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5075Defence rating2555Form rating457H2H rating9380Goals model2048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

HNK Hajduk Split

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against

15 OctHAjax2-1W
10 OctHDinamo Zagreb2-1W
20 SepAHNK Rijeka0-3L
13 SepHNK Slaven Belupo1-0W
8 SepAVardarac2-0W
6 SepARudes4-0W
31 AugHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-0W
27 AugARaków Częstochowa3-2W
23 AugHNK Osijek4-0W
20 AugHRaków Częstochowa2-2D

Dinamo Zagreb

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

15 OctHAnderlecht1-0W
10 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2L
4 OctAVukovar4-0W
20 SepHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-2W
16 SepAHapoel Beer Sheva0-0D
12 SepANK Osijek2-4L
9 SepABedem Ivankovo4-0W
5 SepHHNK Gorica1-0W
29 AugAIstra 19612-2D
26 AugAViking1-3L

Head to head

10HNK Hajduk Split wins
11draws
21Dinamo Zagreb wins

42 meetings · goals 32:59 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for HNK Hajduk Split

9 May 2026HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb2-0HNK Hajduk Split
8 Mar 2026HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split1-3Dinamo Zagreb
6 Dec 2025HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb1-1HNK Hajduk Split
20 Sep 2025HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split0-2Dinamo Zagreb
3 May 2025HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split1-3Dinamo Zagreb
2 Mar 2025HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb2-2HNK Hajduk Split
1 Dec 2024HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split1-0Dinamo Zagreb
13 Sep 2024HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb0-1HNK Hajduk Split
3 Apr 2024CupCupHNK Hajduk Split0-1Dinamo Zagreb
30 Mar 2024HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split0-1Dinamo Zagreb

HNL tableHNLupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the HNL table, HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st with 19 points from 9 games, while Dinamo Zagreb are 4th with 16 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split961218:9+919
2NK Varazdin953114:7+718
3HNK Rijeka952216:12+417
4Dinamo Zagreb851218:11+716
5NK Osijek951318:14+416
6Istra 19611033417:16+112
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1031613:17-410
8NK Slaven Belupo931511:17-610
9Rudes1021713:27-147
10HNK Gorica91266:14-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.97X26%3.48243%2.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:029 Oct 18:311 3.00X 3.472 2.13
12.87 → 3.00 +4.5%X3.43 → 3.47 +1.2%22.18 → 2.13 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.702.174.9%
Betano1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
1xBet1.622.207.2%
Marathonbet1.622.207.2%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.642.089.1%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.652.167.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.307.2%
Betano1.532.357.9%
1xBet1.522.378.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.522.338.7%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.572.375.9%
Average1.542.318.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

HNK Hajduk Split 35%Draw 35%Dinamo Zagreb 30%

The statistical model rated HNK Hajduk Split at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Dinamo Zagreb at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.97 | 3.48 | 2.15, which imply roughly 33.7% for a HNK Hajduk Split win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the HNL table: HNK Hajduk Split are 1st (19 pts, 18-9 goals), Dinamo Zagreb 4th (16 pts, 18-11).

Over their last five matches, HNK Hajduk Split averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Dinamo Zagreb averaged 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1

Coach: Gonzalo García

Goalkeeper

  • 33T. Silić

Defence

  • 22M. Acapandié
  • 15D. Marešić
  • 14R. Raci
  • 32Š. Hrgović

Midfield

  • 20Alberto del Moral
  • 8K. Fayad
  • 7A. Sanyang
  • 9Dali
  • 23M. Šotiček

Attack

  • 11M. Šego
Substitutes (12)
  • 18L. Dendoncker
  • 99D. Fesyuk
  • 3Roko Gabrić
  • 6D. Hadžikadunić
  • 26A. Guram
  • 10M. Livaja
  • 77Carlos Martín
  • 17D. Melnjak
  • 44D. Stipica
  • 5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
  • 16A. Sutalo
  • 19E. Brruti

Dinamo Zagreb

4-3-3

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Goalkeeper

  • 24D. Kotarski

Defence

  • 13Paul Bismarck Tabinas
  • 26S. McKenna
  • 36Sergi Domínguez
  • 22Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf

Midfield

  • 8M. Zajc
  • 5K. Kravtsov
  • 80L. Kačavenda

Attack

  • 21M. Lisica
  • 9D. Beljo
  • 17L. Ivanušec
Substitutes (12)
  • 14S. Prevljak
  • 99M. Oršić
  • 20R. Mudražija
  • 11A. Hoxha
  • 3B. Goda
  • 15N. Galešić
  • 44I. Filipović
  • 23Iker Almena
  • 6S. Radeljić
  • 7Dani Rodríguez
  • 10L. Stojković
  • 25M. Valinčić

Match Statistics

HNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
1.13Expected Goals0.65
277Passes accurate247
5Shots insidebox14
5Shots outsidebox3
3Blocked Shots5
15Free Kicks13
3Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal9
1Offsides1
397Total passes381
10Total Shots17
2Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks4
13Fouls15
0Red Cards0
51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.973.482.15

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.341.26

Draw no bet

12
2.191.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.31

1st half

1X2
3.472.272.69

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1114.91.78

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.7
1.51.194.27
2.51.652.16
3.52.591.45
4.54.671.16
5.58.551.05
6.517.51.02
7.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.60
11.038.50
1.251.085.65
1.751.193.76
21.253.30
2.251.462.52
2.751.801.95
32.031.70
3.252.271.57
3.752.851.34
43.581.21
4.253.931.18
4.755.251.09
57.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.041.38
-0.252.551.47
02.231.61
+0.251.861.89
+0.51.662.15
+0.751.482.51
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-210.51.01
-1.757.201.03
-1.55.821.09
-1.255.421.11
-15.031.12
-0.753.611.25
+11.313.18
+1.251.263.54
+1.51.213.81
+1.751.134.92
+21.056.70
+2.51.037.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.017.29
5.51.144.86
6.51.233.59
7.51.532.37
8.51.891.84
9.52.381.52
10.53.281.27
11.54.341.13
12.56.731.02
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
4.751.026.96
51.026.91
5.251.085.09
5.751.046.18
61.055.89
6.251.124.56
6.751.203.60
71.233.40
7.251.322.90
7.751.472.43
81.662.15
8.251.652.10
8.751.861.84
92.041.71
9.252.111.64
9.752.421.48
102.631.42
10.252.851.34
10.753.381.23
113.961.16
11.254.141.15
11.755.081.08
126.281.04
12.256.501.03

Next HNL matches

18 OctNK Slaven Belupo – Dinamo Zagreb

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

17 OctNK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica
17 OctNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961
16 OctRudes 1-2 HNK Rijeka
11 OctNK Slaven Belupo 4-1 HNK Rijeka
11 OctNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 NK Varazdin
10 OctNK Osijek 1-3 Istra 1961