NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka• HNL, Croatia

#81.2:1.44-1FT11/10 · Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica2.2:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.73PINX4.20DAF21.61DAFMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets83Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.40	4.20	1.59	5.2%
Pinnacle	5.83	4.13	1.56	5.5%
Betano	5.20	4.00	1.60	6.7%
1xBet	5.30	4.15	1.54	7.9%
Marathonbet	5.35	4.15	1.52	8.6%
William Hill	5.00	3.80	1.57	10.0%
BetVictor	5.25	3.90	1.53	10.0%
Betfair	5.00	4.00	1.53	10.4%
Bet365	5.00	3.75	1.53	12.0%
SBO	4.55	3.59	1.54	14.8%
Best of all books	5.83	4.20	1.60	3.5%
Average	5.19	3.97	1.55	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka

Last 10#8Table position#31.11Points per game1.897Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 50.835Attack rating6536Defence rating6439Form rating6115H2H rating8565Goals model3536Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

NK Slaven Belupo

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	HNK Rijeka	4-1	W
1 Oct	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Rudes	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	HNK Hajduk Split	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	5-0	W
6 Sep	H	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	NK Osijek	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	HNK Gorica	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Istra 1961	0-3	L
9 Aug	H	NK Varazdin	1-4	L

HNK Rijeka

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	A	NK Slaven Belupo	1-4	L
26 Sep	H	Union Berlin	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	HNK Hajduk Split	3-0	W
16 Sep	A	Vrbovec	6-0	W
12 Sep	A	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	NK Osijek	4-1	W
31 Aug	A	HNK Gorica	0-0	D
27 Aug	H	FC Midtjylland	1-4	L
23 Aug	H	Istra 1961	3-2	W
20 Aug	A	FC Midtjylland	0-2	L

Head to head

6NK Slaven Belupo wins

11draws

27HNK Rijeka wins

44 meetings · goals 31:72 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for NK Slaven Belupo

8 Apr 2026Cup	Cup	HNK Rijeka2-0NK Slaven Belupo
4 Apr 2026HNL	HNL	NK Slaven Belupo0-2HNK Rijeka
24 Jan 2026HNL	HNL	HNK Rijeka2-2NK Slaven Belupo
18 Oct 2025HNL	HNL	NK Slaven Belupo1-1HNK Rijeka
3 Aug 2025HNL	HNL	HNK Rijeka2-0NK Slaven Belupo
29 May 2025Cup	Cup	HNK Rijeka1-0NK Slaven Belupo
25 May 2025HNL	HNL	HNK Rijeka2-0NK Slaven Belupo
14 May 2025Cup	Cup	NK Slaven Belupo1-1HNK Rijeka
29 Mar 2025HNL	HNL	NK Slaven Belupo2-1HNK Rijeka
22 Dec 2024HNL	HNL	HNK Rijeka2-0NK Slaven Belupo

HNL tableHNLupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the HNL table, NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th with 10 points from 9 games, while HNK Rijeka are 3rd with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
2	NK Varazdin	9	5	3	1	14:7	+7	18
3	HNK Rijeka	9	5	2	2	16:12	+4	17
4	Dinamo Zagreb	8	5	1	2	18:11	+7	16
5	NK Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	+4	16
6	Istra 1961	10	3	3	4	17:16	+1	12
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	10	3	1	6	13:17	-4	10
8	NK Slaven Belupo	9	3	1	5	11:17	-6	10
9	Rudes	10	2	1	7	13:27	-14	7
10	HNK Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.18X23%3.96259%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.84 → 5.15 +6.4%X3.79 → 3.97 +4.7%21.60 → 1.55 -3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.79	2.04	4.9%
Betano	1.78	2.02	5.7%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.79	2.12	3.0%
Average	1.71	2.06	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.71	2.02	8.0%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.99	8.7%
Best of all books	1.80	2.02	5.1%
Average	1.76	1.95	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NK Slaven Belupo 10%Draw 45%HNK Rijeka 45%

The statistical model rated NK Slaven Belupo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and HNK Rijeka at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.18 | 3.96 | 1.55, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: NK Slaven Belupo are 8th (10 pts, 11-17 goals), HNK Rijeka 3rd (17 pts, 16-12).

Over their last five matches, NK Slaven Belupo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; HNK Rijeka averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Rijeka.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NK Slaven Belupo

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Čabraja

Goalkeeper

32I. Čović

Defence

18F. Krušelj
6T. Božić
15J. Mersinaj
77I. Urata

Midfield

22A. Adeshina
17F. Mažar
11J. Mitrović
7M. Dabro
8L. Banovec

Attack

90I. Nestorovski

Substitutes (12)

30K. Sentić
14Losika Ratshukudu
19L. Zahora
23A. Jónsson
21L. Crepulja
24L. Bošnjak
88D. Bosak
4D. Kovačić
29Lovro Loncaric
2V. Međimorec
45V. Papac
20M. PetroviÄ

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Kek

Goalkeeper

13I. Vekič

Defence

22A. Oreč
45A. Majstorović
51A. Husic
23J. Lasickas

Midfield

8I. Ćubelić
5A. Barco
19S. Vignato
26Tiago Dantas
4N. Janković

Attack

18D. Adu-Adjei

Substitutes (12)

34M. Devetak
10T. Fruk
14A. Gojak
15Goran Grulović
77A. Jurič
7Y. Kabadayı
12Domagoj Ivan Maric
6B. PaviÄ
21J. Puljić
99A. Todorović
3M. Živković
91N. Bodetić

Match Statistics

NK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka

253Passes accurate400

10Shots insidebox8

3Shots outsidebox8

2Blocked Shots4

11Free Kicks12

6Shots on Goal5

4Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal7

1Offsides1

323Total passes464

13Total Shots16

1Yellow Cards0

3Corner Kicks7

12Fouls11

0Red Cards0

41%Ball Possession59%

1.85Expected Goals2.14

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.19	3.97	1.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.29	1.13	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
3.96	1.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
5.28	2.32	2.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.85	14.1	1.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.3
1.5	1.21	4.03
2.5	1.71	2.06
3.5	2.77	1.39
4.5	5.21	1.14
5.5	9.97	1.04
6.5	19.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.00
1.25	1.07	5.85
1.75	1.20	3.73
2	1.26	3.22
2.25	1.50	2.42
2.75	1.89	1.85
3	2.18	1.61
3.25	2.43	1.49
3.75	3.10	1.29
4	4.05	1.17
4.25	4.41	1.14
4.75	6.05	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.86	1.36
+0.5	2.39	1.55
+0.75	2.07	1.69
+1	1.82	1.94
+1.25	1.59	2.22
+1.5	1.47	2.51

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.5	1.01
-1	9.30	1.02
-0.75	6.90	1.06
-0.5	5.25	1.16
-0.25	4.52	1.16
0	4.16	1.19
+1.75	1.34	3.01
+2	1.20	4.00
+2.25	1.17	4.30
+2.5	1.14	4.70
+2.75	1.09	6.10
+3	1.01	8.90
+3.5	1.03	8.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.80
7.5	1.29	3.11
8.5	1.57	2.26
9.5	1.97	1.76
10.5	2.53	1.46
11.5	3.46	1.24
12.5	5.00	1.09

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.02	6.77
6.25	1.08	5.13
6.75	1.11	4.58
7	1.13	4.34
7.25	1.21	3.57
7.75	1.32	2.93
8	1.36	2.76
8.25	1.46	2.46
8.75	1.63	2.12
9	1.74	2.01
9.25	1.83	1.87
9.75	2.06	1.68
10	2.23	1.59
10.25	2.36	1.50
10.75	2.73	1.37
11	3.08	1.28
11.25	3.24	1.26
11.75	3.88	1.17
12	4.61	1.11
12.25	4.80	1.10
12.75	5.76	1.05
13	7.17	1.01

Next HNL matches

18 Oct	HNK Hajduk Split – NK Varazdin
18 Oct	NK Slaven Belupo – Dinamo Zagreb

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

17 Oct	NK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica
17 Oct	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961
16 Oct	Rudes 1-2 HNK Rijeka
11 Oct	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 NK Varazdin
10 Oct	NK Osijek 1-3 Istra 1961
10 Oct	HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb