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NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb• HNL, Croatia

#81.6:1.61-5FTToday · Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica1.8:2.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.151XBX5.37PIN21.38PINMargin at best5.1%Books6Markets95Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle6.915.371.385.6%
1xBet7.155.201.347.8%
Marathonbet7.105.201.338.5%
William Hill6.504.801.369.7%
BetVictor7.004.801.3310.3%
Bet3656.504.501.3611.1%
Best of all books7.155.371.385.1%
Average6.864.981.358.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
Last 10#8Table position#51.11Points per game2.007Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 52.047Attack rating5356Defence rating4450Form rating500H2H rating10061Goals model3948Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

NK Slaven Belupo

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHHNK Rijeka4-1W
1 OctAOlimpija Ljubljana1-2L
18 SepARudes2-2D
13 SepAHNK Hajduk Split0-1L
9 SepAHrvatski Dragovoljac5-0W
6 SepHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-1W
30 AugANK Osijek0-3L
22 AugHHNK Gorica2-0W
15 AugAIstra 19610-3L
9 AugHNK Varazdin1-4L

Dinamo Zagreb

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

15 OctHAnderlecht1-0W
10 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2L
4 OctAVukovar4-0W
20 SepHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-2W
16 SepAHapoel Beer Sheva0-0D
12 SepANK Osijek2-4L
9 SepABedem Ivankovo4-0W
5 SepHHNK Gorica1-0W
29 AugAIstra 19612-2D
26 AugAViking1-3L

Head to head

3NK Slaven Belupo wins
5draws
35Dinamo Zagreb wins

43 meetings · goals 33:105 · last 10: 1W 1D 8L for NK Slaven Belupo

31 Jul 2026HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb2-0NK Slaven Belupo
17 May 2026HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo1-4Dinamo Zagreb
14 Mar 2026HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb4-2NK Slaven Belupo
14 Dec 2025HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo2-5Dinamo Zagreb
28 Sep 2025HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb4-1NK Slaven Belupo
10 May 2025HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb5-0NK Slaven Belupo
9 Mar 2025HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo0-1Dinamo Zagreb
6 Dec 2024HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb1-1NK Slaven Belupo
21 Sep 2024HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo4-1Dinamo Zagreb
18 May 2024HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo2-3Dinamo Zagreb

HNL tableHNLupdated 18 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the HNL table, NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th with 10 points from 9 games, while Dinamo Zagreb are 5th with 16 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split1071219:9+1022
2NK Varazdin1053214:8+618
3NK Osijek1052319:15+417
4HNK Rijeka952216:12+417
5Dinamo Zagreb851218:11+716
6Istra 19611033417:16+112
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1031613:17-410
8NK Slaven Belupo931511:17-610
9Rudes1021713:27-147
10HNK Gorica101367:15-86

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg113%6.83X18%4.97268%1.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 12:401 6.86X 4.982 1.35
17.07 → 6.86 -3.0%X5.16 → 4.98 -3.5%21.34 → 1.35 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.412.895.5%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
BetVictor1.402.807.1%
1xBet1.332.8110.8%
Marathonbet1.332.8110.8%
Best of all books1.442.894.0%
Average1.382.808.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
1xBet1.572.267.9%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
Marathonbet1.572.228.7%
Best of all books1.622.266.0%
Average1.602.227.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NK Slaven Belupo 10%Draw 45%Dinamo Zagreb 45%

The statistical model rated NK Slaven Belupo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dinamo Zagreb at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.83 | 4.97 | 1.35, which imply roughly 20.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: NK Slaven Belupo are 8th (10 pts, 11-17 goals), Dinamo Zagreb 5th (16 pts, 18-11).

Over their last five matches, NK Slaven Belupo averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Dinamo Zagreb averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dinamo Zagreb and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NK Slaven Belupo

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Čabraja

Goalkeeper

  • 32I. Čović

Defence

  • 18F. Krušelj
  • 15J. Mersinaj
  • 4D. Kovačić
  • 77I. Urata

Midfield

  • 22A. Adeshina
  • 17F. Mažar
  • 11J. Mitrović
  • 29Lovro Loncaric
  • 8L. Banovec

Attack

  • 90I. Nestorovski
Substitutes (12)
  • 24L. Bošnjak
  • 21L. Crepulja
  • 5I. Cvetko
  • 23A. Jónsson
  • 99F. Kutlesa
  • 2V. Međimorec
  • 45V. Papac
  • 12M. Pavli
  • 14Losika Ratshukudu
  • 30K. Sentić
  • 19L. Zahora
  • 88D. Bosak

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-4-1

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Goalkeeper

  • 24D. Kotarski

Defence

  • 25M. Valinčić
  • 15N. Galešić
  • 26S. McKenna
  • 3B. Goda

Midfield

  • 27J. Mišić
  • 7Dani Rodríguez
  • 10L. Stojković
  • 5K. Kravtsov
  • 99M. Oršić

Attack

  • 9D. Beljo
Substitutes (12)
  • 11A. Hoxha
  • 44I. Filipović
  • 36Sergi Domínguez
  • 23Iker Almena
  • 17L. Ivanušec
  • 80L. Kačavenda
  • 14S. Prevljak
  • 22Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
  • 6S. Radeljić
  • 13Paul Bismarck Tabinas
  • 30F. Topić
  • 8M. Zajc

Match Statistics

NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
2.01Expected Goals3.77
238Passes accurate384
8Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox7
1Blocked Shots5
11Free Kicks8
6Shots on Goal8
3Goalkeeper Saves5
4Shots off Goal4
328Total passes488
11Total Shots17
5Corner Kicks2
8Fouls11
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
41%Ball Possession59%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
6.864.981.35

Double chance

1XX212
2.951.081.13

Draw no bet

12
5.581.12

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.22

1st half

1X2
6.112.741.77

2nd half

1X2
5.683.161.62

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 112.018.418.7
HT X15.38.604.40
HT 245.017.11.88

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.1223.51.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0220.0
1.51.096.14
2.51.382.80
3.52.011.75
4.53.311.29
5.56.061.10
6.513.01.04
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0215.0
1.751.085.55
21.105.10
2.251.233.51
2.751.452.52
31.572.23
3.251.781.93
3.752.231.59
42.491.43
4.252.761.36
4.753.591.21
54.701.12
5.255.001.10
69.00–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.752.711.41
+12.391.51
+1.252.031.72
+1.51.801.95
+1.751.612.20
+21.432.62
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-110.51.01
-0.56.601.11
-0.255.931.09
05.551.10
+0.253.781.23
+0.53.071.38
+2.251.362.94
+2.51.303.26
+2.751.213.84
+31.125.18
+3.251.115.47
+3.51.105.67
+3.751.075.95
+41.019.30
+4.51.0410.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.57
7.51.233.41
8.51.472.46
9.51.811.90
10.52.261.55
11.53.041.29
12.54.271.14
13.56.481.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.32
71.085.08
7.251.154.08
7.751.253.30
81.283.12
8.251.372.73
8.751.522.33
91.592.24
9.251.702.03
9.751.901.81
102.011.74
10.252.141.62
10.752.451.46
112.711.37
11.252.861.33
11.753.371.24
123.921.17
12.254.101.15
12.754.971.09
136.061.04
13.256.271.04

Latest HNL results

18 OctHNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin
17 OctNK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica
17 OctNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961
16 OctRudes 1-2 HNK Rijeka
11 OctNK Slaven Belupo 4-1 HNK Rijeka
11 OctNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 NK Varazdin