HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin• HNL, Croatia

#11.8:0.813:00Tomorrow · Stadion Poljud, Split1.0:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83PINX3.50WH25.09PINMargin at best2.9%Books6Markets84Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 21:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.85	3.07	5.18	5.9%
1xBet	1.82	3.20	4.61	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.20	4.60	8.5%
William Hill	1.80	3.50	4.00	9.1%
BetVictor	1.75	3.60	4.00	9.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.50	4.00	10.7%
Best of all books	1.85	3.60	5.18	1.1%
Average	1.79	3.35	4.40	8.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin

Last 10#1Table position#22.11Points per game2.0012Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 50.464Attack rating3633Defence rating6757Form rating4338H2H rating6264Goals model3650Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

HNK Hajduk Split

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against

15 Oct	H	Ajax	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Dinamo Zagreb	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	HNK Rijeka	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	NK Slaven Belupo	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Vardarac	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Rudes	4-0	W
31 Aug	H	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	2-0	W
27 Aug	A	Raków Częstochowa	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	NK Osijek	4-0	W
20 Aug	H	Raków Częstochowa	2-2	D

NK Varazdin

5W 4D 1L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

11 Oct	A	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-0	W
2 Oct	A	Aluminij	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	NK Osijek	0-0	D
14 Sep	A	HNK Gorica	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Zagora	4-0	W
4 Sep	H	Istra 1961	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Rudes	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Dinamo Zagreb	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	HNK Rijeka	2-0	W
9 Aug	A	NK Slaven Belupo	4-1	W

Head to head

17HNK Hajduk Split wins

4draws

6NK Varazdin wins

27 meetings · goals 52:25 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for HNK Hajduk Split

2 Aug 2026HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin2-1HNK Hajduk Split
3 May 2026HNL	HNL	HNK Hajduk Split3-1NK Varazdin
28 Feb 2026HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin1-1HNK Hajduk Split
29 Nov 2025HNL	HNL	HNK Hajduk Split1-1NK Varazdin
13 Sep 2025HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin2-0HNK Hajduk Split
18 Apr 2025HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin1-1HNK Hajduk Split
8 Feb 2025HNL	HNL	HNK Hajduk Split1-0NK Varazdin
3 Nov 2024HNL	HNL	NK Varazdin1-0HNK Hajduk Split
18 Aug 2024HNL	HNL	HNK Hajduk Split2-1NK Varazdin
5 May 2024HNL	HNL	HNK Hajduk Split0-1NK Varazdin

HNL tableHNLupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the HNL table, HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st with 19 points from 9 games, while NK Varazdin are 2nd with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
2	NK Varazdin	9	5	3	1	14:7	+7	18
3	HNK Rijeka	9	5	2	2	16:12	+4	17
4	Dinamo Zagreb	8	5	1	2	18:11	+7	16
5	NK Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	+4	16
6	Istra 1961	10	3	3	4	17:16	+1	12
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	10	3	1	6	13:17	-4	10
8	NK Slaven Belupo	9	3	1	5	11:17	-6	10
9	Rudes	10	2	1	7	13:27	-14	7
10	HNK Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.80X28%3.32221%4.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.69 → 1.80 +6.5%X3.52 → 3.32 -5.7%25.04 → 4.37 -13.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.87	1.95	4.8%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
BetVictor	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	2.00	3.5%
Average	1.79	1.97	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.09	5.0%
Average	1.69	2.03	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

HNK Hajduk Split 35%Draw 35%NK Varazdin 30%

The statistical model rates HNK Hajduk Split at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and NK Varazdin at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.80 | 3.32 | 4.37, which imply roughly 55.6% for a HNK Hajduk Split win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the HNL table: HNK Hajduk Split are 1st (19 pts, 18-9 goals), NK Varazdin 2nd (18 pts, 14-7).

Over their last five matches, HNK Hajduk Split averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; NK Varazdin averaged 1 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.80	3.34	4.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.92	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	3.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.36	2.18	4.81

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.54	4.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.74	14.4	42.0
HT X	4.52	5.00	9.40
HT 2	25.7	15.3	7.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	10.5	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.4
1.5	1.22	3.78
2.5	1.79	1.97
3.5	2.85	1.36
4.5	5.51	1.11
5.5	11.3	1.03
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.11	4.96
1.75	1.25	3.29
2	1.36	2.87
2.25	1.57	2.26
2.75	1.96	1.76
3	2.26	1.56
3.25	2.47	1.45
3.75	3.21	1.27
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.65	1.12
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.08	1.32
-1.25	2.74	1.39
-1	2.44	1.51
-0.75	2.01	1.71
-0.5	1.79	1.98
-0.25	1.54	2.33

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.01
-2.75	7.60	1.03
-2.5	6.00	1.09
-2.25	5.60	1.10
-2	5.25	1.11
-1.75	3.69	1.22
0	1.31	3.18
+0.25	1.22	3.85
+0.5	1.21	4.51
+0.75	1.10	5.62
+1.5	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.24
6.5	1.15	4.24
7.5	1.34	2.83
8.5	1.68	2.09
9.5	2.07	1.67
10.5	2.73	1.36
11.5	3.80	1.18
12.5	5.73	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.94
6	1.02	6.89
6.25	1.08	5.21
6.75	1.15	4.07
7	1.18	3.84
7.25	1.26	3.22
7.75	1.39	2.67
8	1.45	2.54
8.25	1.55	2.27
8.75	1.74	1.98
9	1.85	1.89
9.25	1.95	1.76
9.75	2.22	1.57
10	2.43	1.49
10.25	2.57	1.42
10.75	3.01	1.30
11	3.46	1.22
11.25	3.63	1.20
11.75	4.39	1.13
12	5.31	1.07
12.25	5.52	1.06