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Rudes vs HNK Rijeka• HNL, Croatia

#91.2:2.41-2FTToday · Stadion Radnik, Veliky Gorica1.8:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.11PINX4.98PIN21.36WHMargin at best5.9%Books6Markets92Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle8.114.981.365.9%
1xBet7.374.801.367.9%
William Hill7.504.601.368.6%
Marathonbet7.304.801.358.6%
BetVictor7.504.601.3310.3%
Bet3657.004.331.3312.6%
Best of all books8.114.981.365.9%
Average7.464.681.358.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RudesHNK Rijeka
Last 10#9Table position#30.70Points per game1.897Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.82.4Goals against · last 51.240Attack rating6033Defence rating6733Form rating670H2H rating10054Goals model4635Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:40 UTC

Rudes

3W 1D 6L · goals 15:27 · per match 1.5 for, 2.7 against

9 OctAHNK Gorica2-1W
18 SepHNK Slaven Belupo2-2D
13 SepAIstra 19612-3L
9 SepAKoprivnica3-2W
6 SepHHNK Hajduk Split0-4L
29 AugANK Varazdin0-2L
21 AugHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb4-1W
14 AugADinamo Zagreb0-4L
8 AugHNK Osijek1-6L
2 AugAHNK Rijeka1-2L

HNK Rijeka

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

11 OctANK Slaven Belupo1-4L
26 SepHUnion Berlin0-1L
20 SepHHNK Hajduk Split3-0W
16 SepAVrbovec6-0W
12 SepANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-1D
5 SepHNK Osijek4-1W
31 AugAHNK Gorica0-0D
27 AugHFC Midtjylland1-4L
23 AugHIstra 19613-2W
20 AugAFC Midtjylland0-2L

Head to head

1Rudes wins
0draws
13HNK Rijeka wins

14 meetings · goals 13:43 · last 10: 0W 0D 10L for Rudes

2 Aug 2026HNLHNLHNK Rijeka2-1Rudes
30 Mar 2024HNLHNLRudes0-3HNK Rijeka
28 Feb 2024CupCupRudes0-1HNK Rijeka
16 Dec 2023HNLHNLHNK Rijeka3-0Rudes
1 Oct 2023HNLHNLRudes1-2HNK Rijeka
22 Jul 2023HNLHNLHNK Rijeka4-0Rudes
28 Apr 2019HNLHNLHNK Rijeka3-1Rudes
22 Feb 2019HNLHNLRudes2-4HNK Rijeka
5 Nov 2018HNLHNLHNK Rijeka5-1Rudes
19 Aug 2018HNLHNLRudes1-2HNK Rijeka

HNL tableHNLupdated 16 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the HNL table, Rudes sit 9th with 7 points from 10 games, while HNK Rijeka are 3rd with 17 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split961218:9+919
2NK Varazdin953114:7+718
3HNK Rijeka952216:12+417
4Dinamo Zagreb851218:11+716
5NK Osijek951318:14+416
6Istra 1961933317:14+312
7NK Slaven Belupo931511:17-610
8NK Lokomotiva Zagreb921611:17-67
9Rudes1021713:27-147
10HNK Gorica91266:14-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.47X20%4.69268%1.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 09:201 7.46X 4.682 1.35
19.19 → 7.46 -18.8%X5.24 → 4.68 -10.7%21.28 → 1.35 +5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.612.325.2%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
BetVictor1.582.199.0%
1xBet1.542.1910.6%
Marathonbet1.542.1910.6%
Best of all books1.622.324.8%
Average1.582.238.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.831.917.0%
1xBet1.821.888.1%
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
Marathonbet1.821.868.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.831.917.0%
Average1.821.888.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rudes 10%Draw 45%HNK Rijeka 45%

The statistical model rated Rudes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and HNK Rijeka at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.47 | 4.69 | 1.35, which imply roughly 21.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: Rudes are 9th (7 pts, 13-27 goals), HNK Rijeka 3rd (17 pts, 16-12).

Over their last five matches, Rudes averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; HNK Rijeka averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Rijeka.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Rudes

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Peternac

Goalkeeper

  • 95L. Rogić

Defence

  • 2B. Unušić
  • 4V. Celjak
  • 42M. Zebić
  • 27Felipe Curcio

Midfield

  • 24I. Đorić
  • 37N. Skoko
  • 29S. Bralić
  • 28Xavi
  • 88S. El Haddad

Attack

  • 78J. Fernándes
Substitutes (12)
  • 9Josip Bralic
  • 33J. Pejic
  • 1Filip Holjevac
  • 7L. Ilečić
  • 14T. Kolega
  • 34K. Lovrić
  • 26I. Žutić
  • 30M. Šlogar
  • 44F. Taraba
  • 10V. Seitz
  • 8Luka Popovic
  • 11J. Poldrugač

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Kek

Goalkeeper

  • 13I. Vekič

Defence

  • 22A. Oreč
  • 45A. Majstorović
  • 51A. Husic
  • 34M. Devetak

Midfield

  • 26Tiago Dantas
  • 6B. Pavić
  • 23J. Lasickas
  • 10T. Fruk
  • 19S. Vignato

Attack

  • 21J. Puljić
Substitutes (12)
  • 14A. Gojak
  • 8I. Ćubelić
  • 99A. Todorović
  • 12Domagoj Ivan Maric
  • 7Y. Kabadayı
  • 77A. Jurič
  • 4N. Janković
  • 15Goran Grulović
  • 91N. Bodetić
  • 5A. Barco
  • 18D. Adu-Adjei
  • 3M. Živković

Match Statistics

RudesHNK Rijeka
0.71Expected Goals1.1
228Passes accurate664
4Shots insidebox5
2Shots outsidebox4
1Blocked Shots4
10Free Kicks8
3Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
2Shots off Goal1
2Offsides1
311Total passes736
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots9
2Yellow Cards2
3Corner Kicks4
8Fouls10
30%Ball Possession70%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
7.464.681.35

Double chance

1XX212
2.941.081.15

Draw no bet

12
5.921.11

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.821.88

1st half

1X2
6.912.551.80

2nd half

1X2
6.142.891.67

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 113.219.321.0
HT X15.87.504.10
HT 245.718.01.89

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.3415.81.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0314.9
1.51.164.49
2.51.582.23
3.52.461.51
4.54.381.17
5.58.401.04
6.519.01.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.751.183.92
21.223.50
2.251.382.62
2.751.712.00
31.921.78
3.252.181.60
3.752.761.36
43.441.23
4.253.761.19
4.755.001.10
56.751.04
5.257.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.752.661.42
+12.311.54
+1.251.941.79
+1.51.732.03
+1.751.552.31
+21.382.82
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.758.901.01
-0.57.001.10
-0.256.101.09
05.601.10
+0.253.791.23
+0.53.101.37
+2.251.313.17
+2.51.263.37
+2.751.174.20
+31.095.75
+3.251.086.17
+3.51.066.15
+3.751.066.35
+41.018.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.70
7.51.213.52
8.51.442.50
9.51.791.95
10.52.231.57
11.52.971.31
12.54.181.14
13.56.321.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.44
71.085.19
7.251.144.16
7.751.243.36
81.273.18
8.251.362.77
8.751.502.36
91.582.25
9.251.682.06
9.751.881.82
102.001.75
10.252.121.64
10.752.421.48
112.631.42
11.252.811.35
11.753.311.25
123.831.18
12.254.001.16
12.754.861.10
135.901.05
13.256.111.04