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NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica• HNL, Croatia

#51.8:1.81-1FTToday · Opus Arena, Osijek0.8:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.66PINX3.95PIN24.99PINMargin at best5.6%Books6Markets87Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 13:24 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.663.954.995.6%
1xBet1.643.924.727.7%
Marathonbet1.623.924.758.3%
William Hill1.653.704.609.4%
BetVictor1.623.754.759.4%
Bet3651.623.604.3312.6%
Best of all books1.663.954.995.6%
Average1.643.814.698.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NK OsijekHNK Gorica
Last 10#5Table position#101.78Points per game0.565Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3136Defence rating6458Form rating4262H2H rating3878Goals model2260Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:50 UTC

NK Osijek

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

10 OctHIstra 19611-3L
3 OctHBsk Bijelo Brdo1-1D
19 SepANK Varazdin0-0D
12 SepHDinamo Zagreb4-2W
9 SepASegesta Sisak1-3L
5 SepAHNK Rijeka1-4L
30 AugHNK Slaven Belupo3-0W
23 AugAHNK Hajduk Split0-4L
15 AugHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-0W
8 AugARudes6-1W

HNK Gorica

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

9 OctHRudes1-2L
2 OctHBravo3-3D
28 SepAMaribor1-1D
19 SepAIstra 19611-0W
14 SepHNK Varazdin2-2D
9 SepAUskok Klis3-1W
5 SepADinamo Zagreb0-1L
31 AugHHNK Rijeka0-0D
22 AugANK Slaven Belupo0-2L
16 AugHHNK Hajduk Split1-2L

Head to head

14NK Osijek wins
9draws
10HNK Gorica wins

33 meetings · goals 38:34 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for NK Osijek

1 Aug 2026HNLHNLHNK Gorica0-2NK Osijek
16 May 2026HNLHNLHNK Gorica2-0NK Osijek
14 Mar 2026HNLHNLNK Osijek0-0HNK Gorica
13 Dec 2025HNLHNLNK Osijek1-1HNK Gorica
28 Sep 2025HNLHNLHNK Gorica0-1NK Osijek
19 Apr 2025HNLHNLNK Osijek0-1HNK Gorica
8 Feb 2025HNLHNLHNK Gorica1-0NK Osijek
2 Nov 2024HNLHNLNK Osijek2-0HNK Gorica
18 Aug 2024HNLHNLHNK Gorica2-2NK Osijek
28 Apr 2024HNLHNLHNK Gorica0-3NK Osijek

HNL tableHNLupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the HNL table, NK Osijek sit 5th with 16 points from 9 games, while HNK Gorica are 10th with 5 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split961218:9+919
2NK Varazdin953114:7+718
3HNK Rijeka952216:12+417
4Dinamo Zagreb851218:11+716
5NK Osijek951318:14+416
6Istra 19611033417:16+112
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1031613:17-410
8NK Slaven Belupo931511:17-610
9Rudes1021713:27-147
10HNK Gorica91266:14-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.64X24%3.81220%4.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 14:411 1.64X 3.812 4.69
11.66 → 1.64 -1.2%X3.85 → 3.81 -1.0%24.58 → 4.69 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.851.994.3%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
1xBet1.722.037.4%
Marathonbet1.722.037.4%
BetVictor1.721.969.2%
Best of all books1.852.033.3%
Average1.762.006.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.752.007.1%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.712.028.0%
Marathonbet1.711.998.7%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.752.026.6%
Average1.722.008.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NK Osijek 45%Draw 45%HNK Gorica 10%

The statistical model rated NK Osijek at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and HNK Gorica at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.81 | 4.69, which imply roughly 61% for a NK Osijek win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: NK Osijek are 5th (16 pts, 18-14 goals), HNK Gorica 10th (5 pts, 6-14).

Over their last five matches, NK Osijek averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; HNK Gorica averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : NK Osijek or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NK Osijek

4-2-3-1

Coach: Fede Bessone

Goalkeeper

  • 31M. Malenica

Defence

  • 22J. Kruiver
  • 49Ivano Kolarik
  • 98Izak Ježić
  • 47D. Kalem

Midfield

  • 23L. Vrbancic
  • 8Š. Mikolčić
  • 39D. Bukvić
  • 11Luka Tunjic
  • 21Cantero

Attack

  • 79A. León
Substitutes (12)
  • 67B. Bakti
  • 12Jan Adžić
  • 99Balelo
  • 9I. Barić
  • 1N. Curcija
  • 7I. Dolček
  • 18Niko Farkaš
  • 2M. Heister
  • 26L. Jelenić
  • 30A. Ljatifi
  • 16O. Petrusenko
  • 24L. Posavec

HNK Gorica

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Carević

Goalkeeper

  • 1R. Josipović

Defence

  • 2F. Braut
  • 32J. Filipović
  • 15D. Stevanović
  • 5Gonçalo Costa

Midfield

  • 66Juraj Frigan
  • 6T. Lacoux
  • 8J. Pranjić
  • 24D. Pavičić
  • 25B. Bogojević

Attack

  • 50A. Erceg
Substitutes (10)
  • 4K. Čustović
  • 20L. Vrzić
  • 30D. Žarkov
  • 45S. Perić
  • 21H. Moustapha
  • 9P. Mijić
  • 71D. Matijaš
  • 18B. Kardum
  • 34I. Cvijanović
  • 7O. Bakić

Match Statistics

NK OsijekHNK Gorica
1.71Expected Goals0.58
407Passes accurate163
16Shots insidebox5
12Shots outsidebox1
9Blocked Shots1
13Free Kicks11
7Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves6
12Shots off Goal2
1Offsides4
465Total passes245
28Total Shots6
2Yellow Cards3
11Corner Kicks6
11Fouls13
0Red Cards0
59%Ball Possession41%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.643.814.69

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.131.22

Draw no bet

12
1.263.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.722.00

1st half

1X2
2.182.314.97

2nd half

1X2
1.982.604.49

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4115.742.0
HT X4.556.0010.5
HT 223.716.08.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5113.32.67

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.9
1.51.223.85
2.51.762.00
3.52.921.35
4.55.581.11
5.510.41.04
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.50
1.251.085.50
1.751.233.43
21.333.01
2.251.542.32
2.751.951.78
32.261.56
3.252.531.45
3.753.291.25
44.451.14
4.254.811.12
4.756.651.05
58.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.781.39
-1.252.441.49
-12.141.66
-0.751.801.92
-0.51.652.19
-0.251.432.62
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-39.701.01
-2.757.071.06
-2.55.521.11
-2.255.051.13
-24.581.15
-1.753.431.27
01.253.60
+0.251.204.09
+0.51.204.40
+0.751.086.03
+11.028.80
+1.51.019.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.25
6.51.065.52
7.51.223.48
8.51.452.49
9.51.801.92
10.52.271.55
11.53.001.30
12.54.311.13
13.56.551.03
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.95
61.036.65
6.251.095.05
6.751.085.27
71.095.02
7.251.164.04
7.751.253.28
81.283.10
8.251.382.71
8.751.522.32
91.602.22
9.251.702.02
9.751.911.80
102.041.72
10.252.161.61
10.752.471.46
112.741.37
11.252.881.33
11.753.401.23
123.961.16
12.254.131.15
12.755.021.09
136.131.04
13.256.341.03