Latvia vs Armenia• UEFA Nations League, World

#40.6:1.614:00Tomorrow · Skonto, Riga1.0:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.161XBX3.261XB22.451XBMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets52Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.20	3.24	2.44	3.1%
Dafabet	3.15	3.25	2.40	4.2%
Marathonbet	3.08	3.26	2.43	4.3%
Pinnacle	3.12	3.18	2.40	5.2%
Betano	3.15	3.20	2.37	5.2%
BetVictor	3.00	3.20	2.38	6.6%
Bet365	3.00	3.10	2.30	9.1%
Betfair	2.90	3.00	2.30	11.3%
William Hill	2.90	3.00	2.30	11.3%
SBO	2.78	2.92	2.23	15.1%
Best of all books	3.20	3.26	2.44	2.9%
Average	3.03	3.14	2.35	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LatviaArmenia

Last 10#4Table position#30.20Points per game1.001Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.238Attack rating6343Defence rating5717Form rating8320H2H rating80100Goals model030Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 21:00 UTC

Latvia

2W 2D 6L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

12 Nov	A	Montenegro	1-2	L
5 Oct	A	Cyprus	1-2	L
2 Oct	H	Montenegro	1-2	L
28 Sep	H	Cyprus	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Armenia	0-2	L
9 Jun	H	Faroe Islands	0-1	L
6 Jun	A	Lithuania	1-1	D
31 Mar	H	Gibraltar	1-0	W
26 Mar	A	Gibraltar	1-0	W
16 Nov	A	Serbia	1-2	L

Armenia

1W 4D 5L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

12 Nov	H	Cyprus	1-1	D
5 Oct	A	Montenegro	0-0	D
2 Oct	A	Cyprus	0-2	L
28 Sep	H	Montenegro	2-3	L
25 Sep	H	Latvia	2-0	W
9 Jun	H	Moldova	1-1	D
6 Jun	H	Kazakhstan	1-1	D
29 Mar	H	Belarus	1-2	L
16 Nov	A	Portugal	1-9	L
13 Nov	H	Hungary	0-1	L

Head to head

1Latvia wins

0draws

4Armenia wins

5 meetings · goals 5:10 · last 5: 1W 0D 4L for Latvia

25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Armenia2-0Latvia
17 Nov 2024UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Latvia1-2Armenia
7 Sep 2024UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Armenia4-1Latvia
12 Oct 2023Euro Championship - Qualification	Euro Championship - Qualification	Latvia2-0Armenia
19 Jun 2023Euro Championship - Qualification	Euro Championship - Qualification	Armenia2-1Latvia

UEFA Nations League tableLeague C - Group Bupdated 14 Nov 22:30 UTC

In the UEFA Nations League table, Latvia sit 4th with 1 points from 5 games, while Armenia are 3rd with 5 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Montenegro	5	4	1	0	9:5	+4	13
2	Cyprus	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
3	Armenia	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
4	Latvia	5	0	1	4	3:8	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%3.02X30%3.12240%2.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.96 → 3.02 +2.0%X3.31 → 3.12 -5.7%22.36 → 2.34 -0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.25	1.71	2.9%
Marathonbet	2.23	1.67	4.7%
Pinnacle	2.22	1.65	5.7%
Betano	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
BetVictor	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Best of all books	2.25	1.71	2.9%
Average	2.18	1.66	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
1xBet	1.92	1.82	7.0%
Betano	1.83	1.88	7.8%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.83	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.92	1.88	5.3%
Average	1.86	1.84	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Latvia 10%Draw 45%Armenia 45%

The statistical model rates Latvia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Armenia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.02 | 3.12 | 2.34, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Nations League table: Latvia are 4th (1 pts, 3-8 goals), Armenia 3rd (5 pts, 5-6).

Over their last five matches, Latvia averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Armenia averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Armenia and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.03	3.14	2.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.36	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
2.14	1.66

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
3.65	2.02	3.01

2nd half

1	X	2
3.32	2.32	2.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.03	14.5	28.1
HT X	6.65	4.57	5.55
HT 2	33.5	14.0	3.79

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.23	7.85	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.63
1.5	1.38	2.89
2.5	2.18	1.66
3.5	3.96	1.22
4.5	7.79	1.06
5.5	12.5	1.02
6.5	14.8	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.10	5.84
1.25	1.23	3.64
1.75	1.49	2.47
2	1.65	2.19
2.25	1.93	1.86
2.75	2.55	1.48
3	3.02	1.36
3.25	3.51	1.25
3.75	5.00	1.12
4	6.59	1.07
4.25	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.04	1.38
-0.25	2.58	1.49
0	2.18	1.68
+0.25	1.79	2.00
+0.5	1.58	2.31
+0.75	1.39	2.81

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.75	8.70	1.02
-1.5	6.52	1.08
-1.25	6.18	1.10
-1	5.65	1.13
-0.75	3.79	1.24
+1	1.24	3.87
+1.25	1.19	4.35
+1.5	1.15	4.77
+1.75	1.09	6.28
+2.5	1.04	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.95
8.5	1.24	3.34
9.5	1.45	2.53
10.5	1.81	1.90
11.5	2.29	1.54
12.5	3.01	1.32
13.5	4.10	1.16

Next UEFA Nations League matches

15 Nov	Cyprus – Montenegro
15 Nov	Finland – San Marino
15 Nov	Belarus – Albania
15 Nov	Belgium – Italy
15 Nov	Croatia – Czechia
15 Nov	Spain – England

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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