Finland vs San Marino• UEFA Nations League, World

1.8:0.817:00Tomorrow · Bolt Arena, Helsinki0.2:3.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.061XBX17.0DAF260.0DAFMargin at best1.9%Books8Markets99Rating90 · 11Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.06	14.5	50.0	3.2%
Dafabet	1.04	17.0	60.0	3.7%
Marathonbet	1.05	13.5	51.0	4.6%
Betano	1.05	12.5	55.0	5.1%
William Hill	1.04	15.0	36.0	5.6%
Bet365	1.03	15.0	41.0	6.2%
Betfair	1.02	15.0	51.0	6.7%
BetVictor	1.03	10.0	46.0	9.3%
Best of all books	1.06	17.0	60.0	1.9%
Average	1.04	14.1	48.8	5.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FinlandSan Marino

Last 107Form pts · last 501.8Goals for · last 50.20.8Goals against · last 53.690Attack rating1082Defence rating18100Form rating0100H2H rating092Goals model890Overall rating11

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 18:01 UTC

Finland

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

12 Nov	A	Albania	0-2	L
6 Oct	A	Belarus	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Albania	2-1	W
29 Sep	H	Belarus	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	San Marino	7-0	W
5 Jun	A	Hungary	1-2	L
31 May	A	Germany	0-4	L
30 Mar	A	Cape Verde Islands	1-1	D
27 Mar	A	New Zealand	2-0	W
17 Nov	H	Andorra	4-0	W

San Marino

0W 1D 9L · goals 5:31 · per match 0.5 for, 3.1 against

12 Nov	H	Belarus	0-2	L
6 Oct	A	Albania	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Belarus	0-4	L
29 Sep	H	Albania	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Finland	0-7	L
9 Jun	A	Azerbaijan	1-2	L
5 Jun	H	Bangladesh	1-2	L
31 Mar	H	Andorra	0-0	D
28 Mar	H	Faroe Islands	1-2	L
18 Nov	A	Romania	1-7	L

Head to head

3Finland wins

0draws

0San Marino wins

3 meetings · goals 15:1 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Finland

26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	San Marino0-7Finland
20 Nov 2023Euro Championship - Qualification	Euro Championship - Qualification	San Marino1-2Finland
19 Jun 2023Euro Championship - Qualification	Euro Championship - Qualification	Finland6-0San Marino

UEFA Nations League tableLeague C - Group Bupdated 14 Nov 22:30 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Montenegro	5	4	1	0	9:5	+4	13
2	Cyprus	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
3	Armenia	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
4	Latvia	5	0	1	4	3:8	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg191%1.04X7%14.122%48.8

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.02 → 1.04 +2.0%X24.0 → 14.1 -41.4%262.5 → 48.8 -22.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.20	4.40	6.1%
1xBet	1.26	3.72	6.2%
Betano	1.24	3.85	6.6%
Bet365	1.25	3.75	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.20	4.21	7.1%
Betfair	1.17	4.50	7.7%
Marathonbet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Best of all books	1.26	4.50	1.6%
Average	1.22	4.00	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	3.50	1.28	6.7%
1xBet	3.92	1.22	7.5%
Marathonbet	3.92	1.21	8.2%
William Hill	3.20	1.30	8.2%
Betano	2.75	1.39	8.3%
BetVictor	3.75	1.22	8.6%
Betfair	3.70	1.20	10.4%
Best of all books	3.92	1.39	-2.5%
Average	3.53	1.26	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Finland 50%Draw 50%San Marino 0%

The statistical model rates Finland at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and San Marino at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.04 | 14.06 | 48.75, which imply roughly 96.2% for a Finland win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Finland averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; San Marino averaged 0.2 scored and 3.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Finland.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.04	14.1	48.8

Double chance

X2	12
10.6	1.03

Draw no bet

1	2
1.01	15.0

Both teams to score

Yes	No
3.53	1.26

1st half

1	X	2
1.23	4.16	27.0

2nd half

1	X	2
1.15	5.64	26.6

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.25	46.6	170.6
HT X	4.28	16.4	67.0
HT 2	31.8	56.6	85.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.07	25.0	10.3

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.3
1.5	1.05	8.50
2.5	1.22	4.00
3.5	1.59	2.29
4.5	2.32	1.58
5.5	3.72	1.25
6.5	6.48	1.09
7.5	9.41	1.04
8.5	11.3	1.02
9.5	16.3	–

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.05	7.07
2	1.07	6.75
2.25	1.15	4.58
2.75	1.26	3.31
3	1.34	2.99
3.25	1.46	2.52
3.75	1.70	2.06
4	1.89	1.88
4.25	2.10	1.70
4.75	2.60	1.45
5	3.12	1.34
5.25	3.36	1.29
5.75	4.33	1.17
6	5.52	1.11
6.25	5.75	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-4	2.47	1.50
-3.75	2.14	1.66
-3.5	1.97	1.81
-3.25	1.77	2.03
-3	1.59	2.30
-2.75	1.50	2.47

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-6.5	8.25	1.04
-6	7.68	1.04
-5.5	4.98	1.14
-5.25	5.00	1.17
-5	4.28	1.18
-4.75	3.35	1.27
-4.5	2.99	1.36
-4.25	2.73	1.41
-2.5	1.44	2.69
-2.25	1.30	3.31
-2	1.19	4.30
-1.75	1.16	4.62
-1.5	1.14	5.12
-1.25	1.08	6.50
-1	1.04	8.28

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.04	5.60
5.5	1.13	4.21
6.5	1.31	2.92
7.5	1.60	2.15
8.5	2.04	1.68
9.5	2.68	1.38
10.5	3.62	1.19
11.5	5.05	1.09

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.05	5.40
6	1.15	3.72
6.75	1.36	2.70
7	1.36	2.65
7.25	1.51	2.26
7.75	1.70	1.96
8	1.75	1.96
8.25	1.96	1.72
8.75	2.12	1.53
9	2.26	1.50
9.25	2.65	1.39
9.75	3.14	1.28
10	2.98	1.25
11	4.07	1.12
12	5.32	1.05

Next UEFA Nations League matches

15 Nov	Cyprus – Montenegro
15 Nov	Latvia – Armenia
15 Nov	Belarus – Albania
15 Nov	Belgium – Italy
15 Nov	Croatia – Czechia
15 Nov	Spain – England

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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