Croatia vs Czechia• UEFA Nations League, World

1.0:3.219:45Tomorrow · Opus Arena, Osijek0.4:2.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.61PINX4.46PIN25.921XBMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets94Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.60	4.30	5.90	2.7%
1xBet	1.60	4.38	5.66	3.0%
Pinnacle	1.60	4.40	5.29	4.1%
Dafabet	1.59	4.40	5.40	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	4.33	5.60	4.2%
Bet365	1.57	4.10	5.75	5.5%
Betfair	1.55	4.20	5.50	6.5%
BetVictor	1.53	4.00	5.25	9.4%
William Hill	1.55	4.00	5.00	9.5%
SBO	1.51	3.83	4.94	12.6%
Best of all books	1.60	4.40	5.90	2.2%
Average	1.57	4.19	5.43	6.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CroatiaCzechia

Last 103Form pts · last 501.0Goals for · last 50.43.2Goals against · last 52.471Attack rating2943Defence rating57100Form rating075H2H rating2540Goals model6059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 22:50 UTC

Croatia

4W 0D 6L · goals 13:24 · per match 1.3 for, 2.4 against

12 Nov	A	England	1-2	L
6 Oct	H	Spain	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	England	0-7	L
29 Sep	A	Spain	1-4	L
26 Sep	A	Czech Republic	2-1	W
2 Jul	A	Portugal	1-2	L
27 Jun	H	Ghana	2-1	W
23 Jun	A	Panama	1-0	W
17 Jun	A	England	2-4	L
7 Jun	H	Slovenia	2-1	W

Czechia

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

12 Nov	H	Spain	0-2	L
6 Oct	A	England	0-3	L
3 Oct	A	Spain	1-3	L
29 Sep	H	England	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Croatia	1-2	L
25 Jun	H	Mexico	0-3	L
18 Jun	H	South Africa	1-1	D
12 Jun	A	South Korea	1-2	L
5 Jun	H	Guatemala	3-1	W
31 May	H	Kosovo	2-1	W

Head to head

2Croatia wins

3draws

0Czechia wins

5 meetings · goals 10:5 · last 5: 2W 3D 0L for Croatia

26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Czechia1-2Croatia
9 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe	World Cup - Qualification Europe	Czechia0-0Croatia
9 Jun 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe	World Cup - Qualification Europe	Croatia5-1Czechia
18 Jun 2021Euro Championship	Euro Championship	Croatia1-1Czechia
17 Jun 2016Euro Championship	Euro Championship	Czechia2-2Croatia

UEFA Nations League tableLeague C - Group Bupdated 14 Nov 22:30 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Montenegro	5	4	1	0	9:5	+4	13
2	Cyprus	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
3	Armenia	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
4	Latvia	5	0	1	4	3:8	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.56X22%4.20217%5.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.36 → 1.56 +14.7%X4.86 → 4.20 -13.6%27.80 → 5.42 -30.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.72	2.23	3.0%
Betano	1.72	2.18	4.0%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.22	4.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.20	4.6%
SBO	1.66	2.21	5.5%
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
BetVictor	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Best of all books	1.72	2.23	3.0%
Average	1.68	2.18	5.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.75	2.02	6.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.72	2.00	8.1%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Average	1.71	2.03	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Croatia 45%Draw 45%Czechia 10%

The statistical model rates Croatia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Czechia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.42, which imply roughly 64.1% for a Croatia win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Croatia averaged 1 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game; Czechia averaged 0.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Croatia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	4.19	5.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.37	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.20	4.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.05	2.38	5.32

2nd half

1	X	2
1.88	2.75	4.91

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.29	15.4	45.4
HT X	4.48	6.54	11.6
HT 2	21.4	16.4	9.21

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	14.4	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.0
1.5	1.20	4.33
2.5	1.68	2.18
3.5	2.65	1.45
4.5	4.90	1.16
5.5	9.39	1.04
6.5	15.4	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.2
1.25	1.09	5.82
1.75	1.24	3.80
2	1.31	3.33
2.25	1.49	2.54
2.75	1.86	1.95
3	2.13	1.70
3.25	2.37	1.55
3.75	3.17	1.33
4	4.02	1.20
4.25	4.35	1.17
4.75	5.81	1.08
5	8.20	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.88	1.39
-1.5	2.53	1.50
-1.25	2.23	1.64
-1	1.96	1.86
-0.75	1.70	2.14
-0.5	1.55	2.41

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.05
-3	8.00	1.05
-2.75	5.90	1.09
-2.5	4.68	1.16
-2.25	4.27	1.19
-2	3.79	1.27
-0.25	1.39	2.96
0	1.22	4.13
+0.25	1.17	4.65
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.67
+1	1.02	10.2
+1.5	1.03	12.4

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.15	5.00
2.5	1.37	2.93
3	1.49	2.56
3.5	1.85	1.87
4	2.32	1.59
4.5	2.77	1.41
5.5	4.20	1.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.0
4.5	1.03	8.07
5.5	1.08	5.94
6.5	1.20	3.77
7.5	1.40	2.66
8.5	1.76	1.98
9.5	2.23	1.59
10.5	2.98	1.33
11.5	4.16	1.17
12.5	5.76	1.10
13.5	7.47	1.04
14.5	11.5	1.02
15.5	11.8	1.02
16.5	13.5	1.01
17.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.04	5.79
6	1.09	4.65
7	1.21	3.20
7.25	1.31	2.97
7.75	1.43	2.50
8	1.51	2.37
8.25	1.60	2.13
8.75	1.81	1.85
9	1.96	1.82
9.25	2.06	1.63
9.75	2.38	1.46
10	2.53	1.44
10.25	2.78	1.34
11	3.17	1.22
12	4.27	1.11
13	5.47	1.05

Next UEFA Nations League matches

15 Nov	Cyprus – Montenegro
15 Nov	Latvia – Armenia
15 Nov	Finland – San Marino
15 Nov	Belarus – Albania
15 Nov	Belgium – Italy
15 Nov	Spain – England

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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