Portugal vs Denmark• UEFA Nations League, World

2.3:1.019:45Tomorrow · Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga1.8:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.54DAFX4.85BTN26.20MARMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets97Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.53	4.85	5.90	2.9%
1xBet	1.52	4.70	6.20	3.2%
Marathonbet	1.52	4.70	6.20	3.2%
Pinnacle	1.53	4.81	5.81	3.4%
Dafabet	1.54	4.70	5.80	3.5%
Bet365	1.50	4.75	5.75	5.1%
Betfair	1.47	4.60	6.00	6.4%
BetVictor	1.45	4.33	5.75	9.5%
William Hill	1.44	4.40	5.50	10.4%
SBO	1.45	4.13	5.13	12.7%
Best of all books	1.54	4.85	6.20	1.7%
Average	1.49	4.60	5.80	5.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PortugalDenmark

Last 1012Form pts · last 592.3Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.856Attack rating4464Defence rating3667Form rating3375H2H rating2575Goals model2567Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Portugal

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

4 Oct	H	Norway	2-1	W
1 Oct	A	Denmark	4-2	W
27 Sep	A	Norway	2-1	W
24 Sep	H	Wales	1-0	W
6 Jul	H	Spain	0-1	L
2 Jul	H	Croatia	2-1	W
27 Jun	A	Colombia	0-0	D
23 Jun	H	Uzbekistan	5-0	W
17 Jun	H	Congo DR	1-1	D
10 Jun	H	Nigeria	2-1	W

Denmark

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

4 Oct	A	Wales	1-0	W
1 Oct	H	Portugal	2-4	L
27 Sep	H	Wales	2-0	W
24 Sep	A	Norway	2-3	L
7 Jun	H	Ukraine	2-1	W
3 Jun	A	Congo DR	0-0	D
31 Mar	A	Czechia	1-1	D
26 Mar	H	FYR Macedonia	4-0	W
18 Nov	A	Scotland	2-4	L
15 Nov	H	Belarus	2-2	D

Head to head

3Portugal wins

0draws

1Denmark wins

4 meetings · goals 12:7 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Portugal

1 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Denmark2-4Portugal
23 Mar 2025UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Portugal5-2Denmark
20 Mar 2025UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Denmark1-0Portugal
13 Jun 2012Euro Championship	Euro Championship	Denmark2-3Portugal

UEFA Nations League tableLeague B - Group Cupdated 13 Nov 23:20 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Austria	4	2	2	0	9:5	+4	8
2	Kosovo	4	1	2	1	3:4	-1	5
3	Rep. Of Ireland	4	1	2	1	6:4	+2	5
4	Israel	4	0	2	2	2:7	-5	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.50X21%4.60216%5.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.49 → 1.50 +0.7%X4.55 → 4.60 +1.1%25.71 → 5.80 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.53	2.60	3.8%
Pinnacle	1.52	2.56	4.9%
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
1xBet	1.53	2.44	6.3%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.39	8.5%
BetVictor	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.60	3.8%
Average	1.51	2.49	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.14	8.1%
Best of all books	1.63	2.30	4.8%
Average	1.61	2.21	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Portugal 45%Draw 45%Denmark 10%

The statistical model rates Portugal at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Denmark at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.60 | 5.80, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Portugal win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Portugal averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Denmark averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Portugal or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.50	4.60	5.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.54	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
1.96	2.50	5.24

2nd half

1	X	2
1.79	2.91	5.02

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.15	15.9	44.1
HT X	4.47	7.42	12.8
HT 2	19.7	16.6	9.61

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	19.1	2.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	5.27
2.5	1.51	2.49
3.5	2.31	1.61
4.5	3.98	1.23
5.5	7.80	1.07
6.5	12.4	1.03
7.5	18.3	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.85
1.75	1.15	4.48
2	1.20	4.13
2.25	1.36	2.94
2.75	1.64	2.21
3	1.82	1.98
3.25	2.09	1.74
3.75	2.67	1.45
4	3.42	1.31
4.25	3.68	1.25
4.75	5.03	1.13
5	6.90	1.07
5.25	7.26	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.69	1.45
-1.5	2.31	1.60
-1.25	2.07	1.76
-1	1.79	2.03
-0.75	1.60	2.29
-0.5	1.49	2.57

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.34	1.05
-3.25	7.75	1.04
-3	7.45	1.05
-2.75	5.23	1.14
-2.5	4.09	1.21
-2.25	3.77	1.24
-2	3.43	1.31
-0.25	1.34	3.16
0	1.19	4.48
+0.25	1.16	4.92
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.06	7.35
+1	1.02	10.2
+1.5	1.02	11.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.33	3.15
3	1.36	2.96
3.5	1.69	2.11
4	2.03	1.79
4.5	2.44	1.53
5	3.29	1.30
5.5	3.60	1.26
6.5	5.40	1.13

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.02	11.5
5.5	1.06	6.54
6.5	1.15	4.40
7.5	1.31	3.02
8.5	1.60	2.20
9.5	2.00	1.73
10.5	2.58	1.43
11.5	3.49	1.23
12.5	4.89	1.13
13.5	6.33	1.07
14.5	9.00	1.04
15.5	12.0	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	5.02
7	1.17	3.52
7.75	1.34	2.78
8	1.42	2.58
8.25	1.48	2.33
8.75	1.66	2.01
9	1.81	1.98
9.25	1.88	1.78
9.75	2.14	1.59
10	2.32	1.52
10.25	2.50	1.43
10.75	2.92	1.32
11	2.88	1.27
12	3.87	1.14
13	5.05	1.07

Next UEFA Nations League matches

14 Nov	Kosovo – Israel
14 Nov	Norway – Wales
14 Nov	Georgia – Hungary
14 Nov	Romania – Poland
14 Nov	Northern Ireland – Ukraine
14 Nov	Austria – Rep. Of Ireland

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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