Spain vs England• UEFA Nations League, World

2.8:1.019:45Today · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid3.2:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80PINX4.20BTN24.45MARMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets94Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.78	4.35	4.35	2.2%
Marathonbet	1.77	4.15	4.45	3.1%
1xBet	1.77	4.14	4.44	3.2%
Pinnacle	1.80	4.05	4.35	3.2%
Dafabet	1.76	4.10	4.40	3.9%
Betfair	1.75	4.00	4.33	5.2%
Bet365	1.75	4.10	4.10	5.9%
William Hill	1.75	3.80	4.00	8.5%
BetVictor	1.70	3.80	4.10	9.5%
SBO	1.73	3.50	3.80	12.7%
Best of all books	1.80	4.35	4.45	1.0%
Average	1.76	4.00	4.23	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SpainEngland

Last 1015Form pts · last 5122.8Goals for · last 53.21.0Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5344Defence rating5656Form rating4475H2H rating250Goals model10056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 23:00 UTC

Spain

10W 0D 0L · goals 23:6 · per match 2.3 for, 0.6 against

12 Nov	A	Czech Republic	2-0	W
6 Oct	A	Croatia	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Czech Republic	3-1	W
29 Sep	H	Croatia	4-1	W
26 Sep	A	England	3-2	W
19 Jul	H	Argentina	1-0	W
14 Jul	A	France	2-0	W
10 Jul	H	Belgium	2-1	W
6 Jul	A	Portugal	1-0	W
2 Jul	H	Austria	3-0	W

England

8W 0D 2L · goals 30:14 · per match 3.0 for, 1.4 against

12 Nov	H	Croatia	2-1	W
6 Oct	H	Czech Republic	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Croatia	7-0	W
29 Sep	A	Czech Republic	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Spain	2-3	L
18 Jul	A	France	6-4	W
15 Jul	H	Argentina	1-2	L
11 Jul	A	Norway	2-1	W
6 Jul	A	Mexico	3-2	W
1 Jul	H	Congo DR	2-1	W

Head to head

3Spain wins

0draws

1England wins

4 meetings · goals 9:7 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Spain

26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	England2-3Spain
14 Jul 2024Euro Championship	Euro Championship	Spain2-1England
15 Oct 2018UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Spain2-3England
8 Sep 2018UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	England1-2Spain

UEFA Nations League tableLeague C - Group Bupdated 14 Nov 22:30 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Montenegro	5	4	1	0	9:5	+4	13
2	Cyprus	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
3	Armenia	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
4	Latvia	5	0	1	4	3:8	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.75X24%3.98222%4.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.57 → 1.75 +11.5%X4.40 → 3.98 -9.5%25.21 → 4.20 -19.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.65	2.35	3.2%
Betano	1.65	2.32	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.34	3.7%
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
BetVictor	1.58	2.20	8.7%
Best of all books	1.65	2.38	2.6%
Average	1.61	2.30	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.26	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.58	2.25	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spain 35%Draw 35%England 30%

The statistical model rates Spain at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and England at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.98 | 4.20, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Spain win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Spain averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; England averaged 3.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Spain or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.76	4.00	4.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	2.07	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.40	4.33

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.74	4.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.56	14.4	35.6
HT X	4.91	6.56	9.78
HT 2	20.6	15.0	6.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	15.6	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.3
1.5	1.18	4.59
2.5	1.61	2.30
3.5	2.51	1.52
4.5	4.43	1.19
5.5	8.31	1.06
6.5	14.7	1.02
7.5	20.9	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.2
1.75	1.19	3.93
2	1.27	3.56
2.25	1.42	2.68
2.75	1.75	2.04
3	1.99	1.82
3.25	2.24	1.64
3.75	2.89	1.40
4	3.74	1.26
4.25	3.87	1.23
4.75	5.23	1.12
5	7.02	1.06
5.25	7.16	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.42
-1.25	2.58	1.49
-1	2.27	1.63
-0.75	1.95	1.88
-0.5	1.73	2.11
-0.25	1.52	2.45

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.3	1.03
-3	9.20	1.03
-2.75	6.70	1.08
-2.5	5.57	1.13
-2.25	5.03	1.14
-2	4.66	1.18
-1.75	3.46	1.30
0	1.34	3.20
+0.25	1.27	3.61
+0.5	1.23	4.00
+0.75	1.13	5.16
+1	1.05	7.75
+1.5	1.04	8.76

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.21	4.05
2	1.24	3.76
2.5	1.59	2.30
3	1.90	1.90
3.5	2.25	1.60
4	3.29	1.30
4.5	3.45	1.28
5.5	5.40	1.13

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.02	11.5
5.5	1.06	6.61
6.5	1.14	4.51
7.5	1.30	3.06
8.5	1.57	2.24
9.5	1.98	1.76
10.5	2.54	1.45
11.5	3.41	1.25
12.5	4.85	1.13
13.5	6.46	1.07
14.5	10.0	1.02
15.5	14.0	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.25
7	1.15	3.70
7.75	1.31	2.92
8	1.35	2.70
8.25	1.44	2.47
8.75	1.60	2.12
9	1.75	2.02
9.25	1.83	1.87
9.75	2.07	1.64
10	2.22	1.59
10.25	2.38	1.48
10.75	2.75	1.36
11	2.85	1.31
12	3.67	1.16
13	4.82	1.08

Next UEFA Nations League matches

15 Nov	Cyprus – Montenegro
15 Nov	Latvia – Armenia
15 Nov	Finland – San Marino
15 Nov	Belarus – Albania
15 Nov	Belgium – Italy
15 Nov	Croatia – Czechia

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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