Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa• Virsliga, Latvia

#12.8:0.611:00Today · Stadions Arkadija, Riga1.4:2.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.10BTNX10.6PIN223.0WHMargin at best4.7%Books9Markets79Rating78 · 22Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.09	10.6	20.5	6.1%
Bet365	1.09	10.0	19.0	7.0%
William Hill	1.08	9.00	23.0	8.1%
Dafabet	1.08	9.40	20.0	8.2%
BetVictor	1.07	9.50	22.0	8.5%
Betfair	1.06	10.5	21.0	8.6%
Betano	1.10	7.30	15.0	11.3%
1xBet	1.04	8.60	23.0	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.04	8.60	23.0	12.1%
Best of all books	1.10	10.6	23.0	4.7%
Average	1.07	9.27	20.7	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rīgas FSGrobiņa

Last 10#1Table position#82.53Points per game0.8513Form pts · last 552.8Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 52.067Attack rating3377Defence rating2372Form rating28100H2H rating091Goals model978Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:10 UTC

Rīgas FS

6W 3D 1L · goals 24:10 · per match 2.4 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	A	Super Nova	3-0	W
19 Oct	H	Tukums	2-0	W
15 Oct	H	Super Nova	4-0	W
11 Oct	H	FS Jelgava	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	Auda	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	BFC Daugavpils	2-1	W
7 Sep	H	FK Liepaja	0-0	D
3 Sep	H	Riga	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	Ogre United	3-0	W
23 Aug	H	Riga	3-3	D

Grobiņa

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:23 · per match 1.2 for, 2.3 against

26 Oct	H	Riga	2-5	L
17 Oct	H	Ogre United	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Super Nova	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Tukums	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	FS Jelgava	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Auda	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	BFC Daugavpils	1-0	W
21 Aug	A	FK Liepaja	1-3	L
17 Aug	A	Auda	2-3	L
10 Aug	A	Rīgas FS	1-6	L

Head to head

13Rīgas FS wins

0draws

0Grobiņa wins

13 meetings · goals 50:7 · last 10: 10W 0D 0L for Rīgas FS

10 Aug 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Rīgas FS6-1Grobiņa
13 Jun 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa1-3Rīgas FS
22 Apr 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa0-1Rīgas FS
21 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Rīgas FS3-2Grobiņa
26 Oct 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Rīgas FS5-0Grobiņa
3 Aug 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa2-3Rīgas FS
31 May 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Rīgas FS6-0Grobiņa
15 Apr 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa1-4Rīgas FS
3 Nov 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa0-2Rīgas FS
11 Aug 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Rīgas FS3-0Grobiņa

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 1 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Virsliga table, Rīgas FS sit 1st with 86 points from 34 games, while Grobiņa are 8th with 29 points from 34.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	34	27	5	2	84:24	+60	86
2	Riga	34	25	7	2	95:33	+62	82
3	Auda	34	20	7	7	57:35	+22	67
4	BFC Daugavpils	34	13	9	12	40:37	+3	48
5	FK Liepaja	34	13	8	13	46:46	0	47
6	Super Nova	34	11	5	18	32:50	-18	38
7	FS Jelgava	34	8	8	18	34:57	-23	32
8	Grobiņa	34	6	11	17	27:61	-34	29
9	Tukums	34	5	10	19	44:65	-21	25
10	Ogre United	34	4	6	24	34:85	-51	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg186%1.07X10%9.2724%20.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.18 → 1.07 -9.3%X6.40 → 9.27 +44.8%211.2 → 20.7 +85.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
BetVictor	1.29	3.40	6.9%
Betfair	1.29	3.30	7.8%
1xBet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Best of all books	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Average	1.28	3.28	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
BetVictor	2.20	1.60	8.0%
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.55	10.0%
Best of all books	2.50	1.62	1.7%
Average	2.27	1.56	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rīgas FS 50%Draw 50%Grobiņa 0%

The statistical model rates Rīgas FS at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Grobiņa at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 9.27 | 20.72, which imply roughly 93.5% for a Rīgas FS win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: Rīgas FS are 1st (86 pts, 84-24 goals), Grobiņa 8th (29 pts, 27-61).

Over their last five matches, Rīgas FS averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Grobiņa averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Rīgas FS.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.07	9.27	20.7

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	6.33	1.03

Draw no bet

1	2
1.03	12.1

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.27	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
1.36	3.37	13.1

2nd half

1	X	2
1.26	4.21	12.5

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.38	30.8	106.2
HT X	3.99	12.4	37.8
HT 2	22.2	33.0	36.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.13	25.0	5.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.06	7.23
2.5	1.28	3.28
3.5	1.76	1.95
4.5	2.69	1.40
5.5	4.43	1.15
6.5	7.25	1.07
7.5	10.5	1.02
8.5	17.0	–
9.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.5
1.75	1.05	6.50
2	1.06	6.00
2.25	1.17	4.06
2.75	1.33	2.89
3	1.39	2.66
3.25	1.58	2.19
3.75	1.91	1.78
4	2.17	1.59
4.25	2.41	1.48
4.75	3.04	1.29
5	3.80	1.19
5.25	4.10	1.16
6	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.25	2.52	1.46
-3	2.27	1.55
-2.75	1.99	1.73
-2.5	1.79	1.91
-2.25	1.61	2.16
-2	1.55	2.37

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	8.70	1.01
-5	8.00	1.02
-4.75	5.30	1.09
-4.5	4.73	1.14
-4.25	4.37	1.16
-4	4.08	1.18
-3.75	3.19	1.29
-3.5	2.72	1.39
-1.75	1.37	2.83
-1.5	1.39	2.84
-1.25	1.20	3.88
-1	1.10	5.58
-0.75	1.09	6.05
-0.5	1.11	6.60
0	1.01	21.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.34	2.89
9	1.43	2.53
9.5	1.71	2.03
10	1.90	1.83
10.5	2.11	1.61
11	2.56	1.43

Next Virsliga matches

1 Nov	Auda – FS Jelgava
1 Nov	BFC Daugavpils – Tukums
1 Nov	FK Liepaja – Super Nova
1 Nov	Ogre United – Riga

All Virsliga fixtures and the table

Latest Virsliga results

26 Oct	Grobiņa 2-5 Riga
25 Oct	Super Nova 0-3 Rīgas FS
25 Oct	FS Jelgava 0-1 BFC Daugavpils
25 Oct	Ogre United 1-4 Auda
24 Oct	FK Liepaja 0-0 Tukums
19 Oct	Rīgas FS 2-0 Tukums