OddsFilter
Live

FK Liepaja vs Super Nova• Virsliga, Latvia

#51.4:1.011:00Today · Daugava Stadium, Liepaja0.6:2.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.46DAFX4.44PIN26.50BVCMargin at best6.4%Books10Markets62Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.454.446.427.1%
Dafabet1.464.405.808.5%
BetVictor1.444.206.508.6%
1xBet1.404.256.2511.0%
Betano1.454.255.4011.0%
William Hill1.444.006.0011.1%
Betfair1.404.336.0011.2%
Bet3651.454.205.2511.8%
Marathonbet1.394.255.9512.3%
SBO1.403.965.5114.8%
Best of all books1.464.446.506.4%
Average1.434.235.9110.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FK LiepajaSuper Nova
Last 10#5Table position#61.38Points per game1.126Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 52.270Attack rating3069Defence rating3167Form rating3360H2H rating4067Goals model3362Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:10 UTC

FK Liepaja

4W 4D 2L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

24 OctHTukums0-0D
18 OctHFS Jelgava3-0W
12 OctHAuda2-3L
19 SepHBFC Daugavpils0-0D
11 SepAOgre United2-2D
7 SepARīgas FS0-0D
31 AugHRiga3-2W
25 AugAAuda0-1L
21 AugHGrobiņa3-1W
9 AugASuper Nova2-1W

Super Nova

3W 2D 5L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

25 OctHRīgas FS0-3L
18 OctARiga1-2L
15 OctARīgas FS0-4L
10 OctHGrobiņa2-1W
20 SepAOgre United0-1L
15 SepHRiga0-1L
10 SepHTukums1-0W
5 SepAFS Jelgava1-0W
29 AugAAuda1-1D
22 AugHBFC Daugavpils0-0D

Head to head

12FK Liepaja wins
2draws
2Super Nova wins

16 meetings · goals 41:20 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for FK Liepaja

9 Aug 2026VirsligaVirsligaSuper Nova1-2FK Liepaja
12 Jun 2026VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja2-1Super Nova
23 Apr 2026VirsligaVirsligaSuper Nova1-2FK Liepaja
9 Nov 2025VirsligaVirsligaSuper Nova3-0FK Liepaja
25 Aug 2025VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja0-3Super Nova
17 Jun 2025VirsligaVirsligaSuper Nova1-3FK Liepaja
25 Apr 2025VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja2-2Super Nova
11 Nov 2023VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja2-0Super Nova
28 Aug 2023VirsligaVirsligaSuper Nova0-2FK Liepaja
9 Jun 2023VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja2-1Super Nova

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 1 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja sit 5th with 47 points from 34 games, while Super Nova are 6th with 38 points from 34.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rīgas FS34275284:24+6086
2Riga34257295:33+6282
3Auda34207757:35+2267
4BFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348
5FK Liepaja341381346:46047
6Super Nova341151832:50-1838
7FS Jelgava34881834:57-2332
8Grobiņa346111727:61-3429
9Tukums345101944:65-2125
10Ogre United34462434:85-5118

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.42X21%4.24215%5.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 05:501 1.42X 4.242 5.95
11.65 → 1.42 -13.9%X3.80 → 4.24 +11.6%24.53 → 5.95 +31.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Pinnacle1.652.206.1%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
1xBet1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.159.0%
Betano1.602.129.7%
Best of all books1.652.255.1%
Average1.612.178.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.752.007.1%
BetVictor1.781.938.0%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
1xBet1.751.939.0%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.751.909.8%
Best of all books1.832.004.6%
Average1.771.928.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FK Liepaja 45%Draw 45%Super Nova 10%

The statistical model rates FK Liepaja at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Super Nova at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.24 | 5.95, which imply roughly 70.4% for a FK Liepaja win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: FK Liepaja are 5th (47 pts, 46-46 goals), Super Nova 6th (38 pts, 32-50).

Over their last five matches, FK Liepaja averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Super Nova averaged 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FK Liepaja or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.434.235.91

Double chance

1XX212
1.092.531.15

Draw no bet

12
1.164.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.92

1st half

1X2
1.912.405.73

2nd half

1X2
1.732.815.46

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1016.246.1
HT X4.226.8112.7
HT 219.716.910.1

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3815.43.07

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.6
1.51.184.31
2.51.612.17
3.52.581.44
4.54.501.16
5.58.381.04
6.511.01.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.30
1.251.075.80
1.751.193.76
21.263.31
2.251.442.53
2.751.791.93
32.001.69
3.252.281.54
3.752.931.32
43.801.19
4.254.161.16
4.755.601.08
57.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.581.44
-1.52.221.58
-1.251.971.76
-11.702.02
-0.751.542.32
-0.51.462.67
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.801.02
-37.001.06
-2.755.051.13
-2.53.931.20
-2.253.571.23
-23.291.28
-0.251.293.17
01.154.63
+0.251.125.17
+0.51.155.50
+0.751.057.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.382.70
91.492.36
9.51.732.00
101.961.79
10.52.251.54
112.761.37

Next Virsliga matches

1 NovAuda – FS Jelgava
1 NovBFC Daugavpils – Tukums
1 NovOgre United – Riga
1 NovRīgas FS – Grobiņa

All Virsliga fixtures and the table

Latest Virsliga results

26 OctGrobiņa 2-5 Riga
25 OctSuper Nova 0-3 Rīgas FS
25 OctFS Jelgava 0-1 BFC Daugavpils
25 OctOgre United 1-4 Auda
24 OctFK Liepaja 0-0 Tukums
19 OctRīgas FS 2-0 Tukums