BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums• Virsliga, Latvia

#41.2:0.811:00Today · Celtnieks, Daugavpils0.2:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45BTNX4.56PIN26.36PINMargin at best6.6%Books10Markets62Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.45	4.51	6.26	7.1%
Dafabet	1.45	4.40	6.20	7.8%
BetVictor	1.40	4.40	6.50	9.5%
1xBet	1.39	4.30	6.36	10.9%
William Hill	1.44	4.00	6.00	11.1%
Betano	1.44	4.25	5.50	11.2%
Bet365	1.45	4.20	5.25	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.30	6.05	12.2%
Betfair	1.36	4.40	6.00	12.9%
SBO	1.38	4.08	5.51	15.1%
Best of all books	1.45	4.51	6.50	6.5%
Average	1.41	4.28	5.96	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BFC DaugavpilsTukums

Last 10#4Table position#91.41Points per game0.7410Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 50.20.8Goals against · last 51.286Attack rating1460Defence rating4083Form rating1762H2H rating3874Goals model2671Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:10 UTC

BFC Daugavpils

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	A	FS Jelgava	1-0	W
19 Oct	H	Auda	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Ogre United	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	FK Liepaja	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Rīgas FS	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Riga	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Auda	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Grobiņa	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Super Nova	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Ogre United	3-1	W

Tukums

2W 2D 6L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

24 Oct	A	FK Liepaja	0-0	D
19 Oct	A	Rīgas FS	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Riga	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Grobiņa	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Super Nova	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Ogre United	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	FS Jelgava	1-4	L
21 Aug	A	Auda	0-3	L
8 Aug	A	BFC Daugavpils	0-2	L
2 Aug	H	FK Liepaja	2-1	W

Head to head

17BFC Daugavpils wins

7draws

5Tukums wins

29 meetings · goals 72:26 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for BFC Daugavpils

8 Aug 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	BFC Daugavpils2-0Tukums
12 Jun 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums1-1BFC Daugavpils
21 Apr 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums1-1BFC Daugavpils
30 Aug 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums0-1BFC Daugavpils
21 Jun 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	BFC Daugavpils1-2Tukums
30 Apr 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums0-0BFC Daugavpils
7 Mar 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	BFC Daugavpils3-0Tukums
21 Sep 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums0-0BFC Daugavpils
3 Jul 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Tukums1-2BFC Daugavpils
12 May 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	BFC Daugavpils4-1Tukums

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 1 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Virsliga table, BFC Daugavpils sit 4th with 48 points from 34 games, while Tukums are 9th with 25 points from 34.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	34	27	5	2	84:24	+60	86
2	Riga	34	25	7	2	95:33	+62	82
3	Auda	34	20	7	7	57:35	+22	67
4	BFC Daugavpils	34	13	9	12	40:37	+3	48
5	FK Liepaja	34	13	8	13	46:46	0	47
6	Super Nova	34	11	5	18	32:50	-18	38
7	FS Jelgava	34	8	8	18	34:57	-23	32
8	Grobiņa	34	6	11	17	27:61	-34	29
9	Tukums	34	5	10	19	44:65	-21	25
10	Ogre United	34	4	6	24	34:85	-51	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.42X21%4.29215%5.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.74 → 1.42 -18.4%X3.75 → 4.29 +14.4%23.94 → 5.97 +51.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.32	7.2%
BetVictor	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Betano	1.57	2.15	10.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.40	4.2%
Average	1.55	2.29	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	2.15	2.1%
Average	1.70	2.02	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

BFC Daugavpils 50%Draw 50%Tukums 0%

The statistical model rates BFC Daugavpils at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Tukums at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.29 | 5.97, which imply roughly 70.4% for a BFC Daugavpils win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: BFC Daugavpils are 4th (48 pts, 40-37 goals), Tukums 9th (25 pts, 44-65).

Over their last five matches, BFC Daugavpils averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Tukums averaged 0.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : BFC Daugavpils or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.41	4.28	5.96

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.54	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
1.89	2.45	5.65

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	2.85	5.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.04	16.1	45.2
HT X	4.27	6.92	13.0
HT 2	19.6	17.1	10.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	16.1	3.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.1
1.5	1.15	4.80
2.5	1.55	2.29
3.5	2.41	1.50
4.5	4.29	1.17
5.5	7.93	1.05
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.05	6.55
1.75	1.16	4.16
2	1.20	3.68
2.25	1.38	2.74
2.75	1.68	2.03
3	1.90	1.79
3.25	2.13	1.62
3.75	2.77	1.37
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.87	1.18
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.51	1.46
-1.5	2.17	1.61
-1.25	1.95	1.78
-1	1.68	2.05
-0.75	1.52	2.35
-0.5	1.51	2.46

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.80	1.02
-3	6.93	1.06
-2.75	4.82	1.13
-2.5	3.84	1.20
-2.25	3.48	1.25
-2	3.16	1.30
-0.25	1.29	3.26
0	1.14	4.73
+0.25	1.11	5.35
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.05	7.67
+1	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.66	2.16
9	1.60	2.14
9.5	1.84	1.82
10	2.15	1.59
10.5	2.46	1.46
11	3.11	1.30

Next Virsliga matches

1 Nov	Auda – FS Jelgava
1 Nov	FK Liepaja – Super Nova
1 Nov	Ogre United – Riga
1 Nov	Rīgas FS – Grobiņa

All Virsliga fixtures and the table

Latest Virsliga results

26 Oct	Grobiņa 2-5 Riga
25 Oct	Super Nova 0-3 Rīgas FS
25 Oct	FS Jelgava 0-1 BFC Daugavpils
25 Oct	Ogre United 1-4 Auda
24 Oct	FK Liepaja 0-0 Tukums
19 Oct	Rīgas FS 2-0 Tukums