Kuressaare vs Paide• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#80.8:1.011:3024/10 · Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare1.8:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33BFRX4.00BFR21.651XBMargin at best8.7%Books5Markets54Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 08:12 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	4.33	4.00	1.62	9.8%
1xBet	4.24	3.80	1.65	10.5%
Betano	4.10	3.85	1.65	11.0%
Marathonbet	4.15	3.80	1.63	11.8%
Bet365	4.10	3.80	1.62	12.4%
Best of all books	4.33	4.00	1.65	8.7%
Average	4.18	3.85	1.63	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KuressaarePaide

Last 10#8Table position#31.09Points per game1.7810Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 50.831Attack rating6944Defence rating5637Form rating6315H2H rating8534Goals model6631Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Kuressaare

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

18 Oct	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-2	L
14 Oct	A	Trans Narva	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Flora Tallinn	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Saku Sporting	4-2	W
18 Sep	A	Laagri	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Tammeka	1-3	L
9 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Trans Narva	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Vaprus	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Tammeka	0-1	L

Paide

6W 0D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

18 Oct	H	Trans Narva	2-1	W
14 Oct	H	Tammeka	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Nõmme United	3-1	W
16 Sep	H	Vaprus	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Laagri	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Tammeka	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Flora Tallinn	2-1	W
26 Aug	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-4	L

Head to head

4Kuressaare wins

9draws

35Paide wins

48 meetings · goals 38:112 · last 10: 0W 3D 7L for Kuressaare

2 Aug 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide1-0Kuressaare
31 May 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide1-1Kuressaare
3 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare0-1Paide
4 Oct 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare1-1Paide
16 Aug 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide5-1Kuressaare
13 Aug 2025Cup	Cup	Kuressaare1-2Paide
4 May 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide1-1Kuressaare
2 Mar 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare1-2Paide
23 Nov 2024Cup	Cup	Paide2-1Kuressaare
21 Sep 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Paide4-3Kuressaare

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 21 Oct 18:50 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Kuressaare sit 8th with 35 points from 32 games, while Paide are 3rd with 57 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	32	25	6	1	87:22	+65	81
2	Flora Tallinn	33	19	1	13	63:47	+16	58
3	Paide	32	17	6	9	52:39	+13	57
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	54:33	+21	51
5	Tammeka	32	15	2	15	42:51	-9	47
6	Laagri	33	15	2	16	48:48	0	47
7	Vaprus	32	10	6	16	43:63	-20	36
8	Kuressaare	32	10	5	17	34:51	-17	35
9	Nõmme United	32	10	1	21	50:74	-24	31
10	Trans Narva	32	5	5	22	25:70	-45	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.18X23%3.85255%1.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.17 → 4.18 +0.2%X3.80 → 3.85 +1.3%21.66 → 1.63 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Betano	1.57	2.15	10.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.58	2.21	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.23	4.7%
Average	1.60	2.17	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kuressaare 10%Draw 45%Paide 45%

The statistical model rates Kuressaare at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Paide at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.18 | 3.85 | 1.63, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Kuressaare are 8th (35 pts, 34-51 goals), Paide 3rd (57 pts, 52-39).

Over their last five matches, Kuressaare averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Paide averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Paide.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.18	3.85	1.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.04	1.16	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
3.28	1.29

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
4.47	2.34	2.15

2nd half

1	X	2
4.12	2.74	1.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.10	15.6	21.3
HT X	9.71	6.28	4.60
HT 2	35.3	14.7	2.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.53	15.6	1.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.0
1.5	1.16	4.38
2.5	1.58	2.21
3.5	2.42	1.47
4.5	4.24	1.17
5.5	7.70	1.04
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.40
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.17	3.98
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.39	2.64
2.75	1.68	1.96
3	1.90	1.73
3.25	2.15	1.58
3.75	2.78	1.34
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.88	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.47	1.46
+0.5	2.08	1.66
+0.75	1.87	1.82
+1	1.64	2.09
+1.25	1.48	2.40
+1.5	1.39	2.69

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.10	1.02
-0.75	5.42	1.11
-0.5	4.25	1.21
-0.25	3.65	1.22
0	3.24	1.28
+1.75	1.27	3.29
+2	1.17	4.32
+2.25	1.14	4.70
+2.5	1.12	5.10
+2.75	1.07	6.62
+3	1.01	9.50

Next Meistriliiga matches

23 Oct	Tammeka – Trans Narva
23 Oct	Nõmme United – Vaprus
24 Oct	FC Levadia Tallinn – Laagri

All Meistriliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Meistriliiga results

21 Oct	Laagri 3-1 Flora Tallinn
18 Oct	Flora Tallinn 2-0 Tammeka
18 Oct	Paide 2-1 Trans Narva
18 Oct	Kuressaare 0-2 FC Levadia Tallinn
18 Oct	Laagri 2-0 Vaprus
17 Oct	Nõmme United 3-0 Kalju Nomme