Tammeka vs Trans Narva• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#51.2:2.616:0023/10 · Tamme Stadium, Tartu0.8:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10BFRX3.60BFR23.051XBMargin at best8.2%Books6Markets48Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.04	3.65	3.00	9.8%
Betfair	2.10	3.60	2.88	10.1%
1xBet	2.03	3.50	3.05	10.6%
Betano	2.05	3.40	3.05	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.01	3.50	2.98	11.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.50	3.00	11.9%
Best of all books	2.10	3.65	3.05	7.8%
Average	2.04	3.52	2.99	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TammekaTrans Narva

Last 10#5Table position#101.47Points per game0.636Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 50.82.6Goals against · last 51.660Attack rating4038Defence rating6260Form rating4080H2H rating2083Goals model1764Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Tammeka

4W 0D 6L · goals 17:20 · per match 1.7 for, 2.0 against

18 Oct	A	Flora Tallinn	0-2	L
14 Oct	A	Paide	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Nõmme United	4-0	W
2 Oct	H	Viimsi	4-1	W
20 Sep	H	Kalju Nomme	1-3	L
17 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-6	L
13 Sep	A	Kuressaare	3-1	W
9 Sep	H	Paide	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Laagri	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Flora Tallinn	2-3	L

Trans Narva

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:19 · per match 0.9 for, 1.9 against

18 Oct	A	Paide	1-2	L
14 Oct	H	Kuressaare	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Vaprus	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Kalju Nomme	0-2	L
8 Sep	H	Flora Tallinn	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Kuressaare	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Tammeka	0-2	L
26 Aug	H	Kalju Nomme	2-0	W
21 Aug	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L

Head to head

24Tammeka wins

11draws

28Trans Narva wins

63 meetings · goals 89:115 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Tammeka

30 Aug 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva0-2Tammeka
21 Jun 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka1-0Trans Narva
7 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva3-0Tammeka
17 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Trans Narva1-2Tammeka
8 Nov 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka2-0Trans Narva
9 Aug 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva4-1Tammeka
3 May 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva4-0Tammeka
13 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka1-2Trans Narva
3 Nov 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Tammeka3-3Trans Narva
31 Aug 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva0-1Tammeka

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 21 Oct 18:50 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Tammeka sit 5th with 47 points from 32 games, while Trans Narva are 10th with 20 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	32	25	6	1	87:22	+65	81
2	Flora Tallinn	33	19	1	13	63:47	+16	58
3	Paide	32	17	6	9	52:39	+13	57
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	54:33	+21	51
5	Tammeka	32	15	2	15	42:51	-9	47
6	Laagri	33	15	2	16	48:48	0	47
7	Vaprus	32	10	6	16	43:63	-20	36
8	Kuressaare	32	10	5	17	34:51	-17	35
9	Nõmme United	32	10	1	21	50:74	-24	31
10	Trans Narva	32	5	5	22	25:70	-45	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.04X26%3.52230%2.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 2.04 -7.3%X3.35 → 3.52 +5.1%22.94 → 2.98 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Betano	1.60	2.10	10.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.62	2.15	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.32	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.32	4.8%
Average	1.56	2.27	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tammeka 45%Draw 45%Trans Narva 10%

The statistical model rates Tammeka at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Trans Narva at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 3.52 | 2.98, which imply roughly 49% for a Tammeka win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Tammeka are 5th (47 pts, 42-51 goals), Trans Narva 10th (20 pts, 25-70).

Over their last five matches, Tammeka averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Trans Narva averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tammeka or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.04	3.53	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.63	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
2.61	2.25	3.51

2nd half

1	X	2
2.36	2.61	3.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.19	13.9	29.5
HT X	5.32	5.78	7.35
HT 2	23.5	14.1	5.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	14.3	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.8
1.5	1.17	4.24
2.5	1.62	2.15
3.5	2.53	1.43
4.5	4.50	1.14
5.5	8.33	1.03
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.07	5.81
1.75	1.19	3.76
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.43	2.51
2.75	1.75	1.90
3	1.97	1.68
3.25	2.24	1.52
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.82	1.18
4.25	4.15	1.16
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.95	1.33
-0.75	2.33	1.51
-0.5	2.02	1.69
-0.25	1.79	1.91
0	1.55	2.28
+0.25	1.42	2.60

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.60	1.03
-2	6.77	1.06
-1.75	4.68	1.14
-1.5	3.70	1.22
-1.25	3.34	1.27
+0.5	1.35	3.10
+0.75	1.23	3.62
+1	1.11	5.37
+1.25	1.10	5.77
+1.5	1.08	6.18
+1.75	1.02	8.10

Next Meistriliiga matches

23 Oct	Nõmme United – Vaprus
24 Oct	Kuressaare – Paide
24 Oct	FC Levadia Tallinn – Laagri

All Meistriliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Meistriliiga results

21 Oct	Laagri 3-1 Flora Tallinn
18 Oct	Flora Tallinn 2-0 Tammeka
18 Oct	Paide 2-1 Trans Narva
18 Oct	Kuressaare 0-2 FC Levadia Tallinn
18 Oct	Laagri 2-0 Vaprus
17 Oct	Nõmme United 3-0 Kalju Nomme