Laagri vs Vaprus• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#61.4:0.82-0FTToday · Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri1.2:2.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05WHX3.70B36523.20B365Margin at best7.1%Books6Markets70Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.05	3.68	3.13	7.9%
1xBet	2.01	3.52	3.08	10.6%
Bet365	2.00	3.60	3.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.52	3.02	11.8%
William Hill	2.05	3.30	3.00	12.4%
BetVictor	1.90	3.25	2.75	19.8%
Best of all books	2.05	3.68	3.13	7.9%
Average	2.00	3.48	3.00	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LaagriVaprus

Last 10#6Table position#71.38Points per game1.1313Form pts · last 521.4Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 52.654Attack rating4676Defence rating2483Form rating1729H2H rating7167Goals model3359Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC

Laagri

6W 1D 3L · goals 21:9 · per match 2.1 for, 0.9 against

13 Oct	H	Nõmme United	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Kalju Nomme	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	FC Tallinn	10-0	W
18 Sep	H	Kuressaare	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Paide	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Vaprus	2-3	L
6 Sep	H	Tammeka	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Nõmme United	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Kalju Nomme	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-2	L

Vaprus

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:22 · per match 1.5 for, 2.2 against

13 Oct	H	Kalju Nomme	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Trans Narva	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Flora Tallinn	2-3	L
16 Sep	A	Paide	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L
9 Sep	H	Laagri	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Nõmme United	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	Nõmme United	2-3	L
29 Aug	A	Kuressaare	2-2	D
23 Aug	H	Flora Tallinn	1-2	L

Head to head

3Laagri wins

3draws

6Vaprus wins

12 meetings · goals 13:18 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Laagri

9 Sep 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus3-2Laagri
16 May 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Laagri1-2Vaprus
4 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus0-2Laagri
27 Sep 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Laagri1-2Vaprus
25 Jul 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus2-2Laagri
26 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Laagri0-1Vaprus
5 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus1-1Laagri
27 Oct 2023Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus0-0Laagri
2 Sep 2023Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Laagri0-4Vaprus
28 May 2023Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Vaprus0-1Laagri

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 18 Oct 17:50 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Laagri sit 6th with 44 points from 32 games, while Vaprus are 7th with 36 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	32	25	6	1	87:22	+65	81
2	Paide	32	17	6	9	52:39	+13	57
3	Flora Tallinn	31	18	1	12	60:44	+16	55
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	54:33	+21	51
5	Tammeka	31	15	2	14	42:49	-7	47
6	Laagri	32	14	2	16	45:47	-2	44
7	Vaprus	32	10	6	16	43:63	-20	36
8	Kuressaare	32	10	5	17	34:51	-17	35
9	Nõmme United	32	10	1	21	50:74	-24	31
10	Trans Narva	32	5	5	22	25:70	-45	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X26%3.48230%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.11 → 1.98 -6.2%X3.75 → 3.49 -6.9%22.88 → 3.03 +5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.51	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.06	20.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.51	5.2%
Average	1.47	2.34	10.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.42	2.62	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.57	9.3%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.62	4.8%
Average	1.42	2.50	10.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Laagri 45%Draw 45%Vaprus 10%

The statistical model rated Laagri at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vaprus at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.48 | 3.00, which imply roughly 50% for a Laagri win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Laagri are 6th (44 pts, 45-47 goals), Vaprus 7th (36 pts, 43-63).

Over their last five matches, Laagri averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Vaprus averaged 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Laagri or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.00	3.48	3.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.64	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	2.35	3.43

2nd half

1	X	2
2.32	2.71	3.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.07	14.2	28.0
HT X	5.57	6.13	7.50
HT 2	22.3	14.3	4.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	17.6	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.8
1.5	1.11	4.68
2.5	1.47	2.34
3.5	2.15	1.57
4.5	3.53	1.20
5.5	6.18	1.06
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.16	4.10
2.25	1.33	2.94
2.75	1.55	2.12
3	1.71	1.89
3.25	1.93	1.69
3.75	2.51	1.44
4	3.09	1.30
4.25	3.42	1.23
4.75	4.64	1.12
5	6.25	1.06
5.25	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.84	1.37
-0.75	2.25	1.51
-0.5	1.97	1.68
-0.25	1.75	1.90
0	1.52	2.27
+0.25	1.39	2.58

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.04
-3	9.90	1.01
-2.5	6.95	1.06
-2.25	6.10	1.08
-2	6.40	1.07
-1.75	4.47	1.15
-1.5	3.52	1.24
-1.25	3.12	1.32
+0.5	1.37	3.04
+0.75	1.22	3.71
+1	1.11	5.28
+1.25	1.09	5.75
+1.5	1.08	6.13
+1.75	1.02	8.30
+2	1.02	9.00
+2.5	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.64
8.5	1.28	3.08
9.5	1.54	2.28
10.5	1.86	1.82
11.5	2.38	1.49
12.5	3.18	1.27
13.5	4.50	1.12
14.5	6.79	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.14	4.22
9	1.36	2.77
10	1.69	2.04
11	2.15	1.62
12	2.88	1.33
13	4.15	1.15
14	6.37	1.03

Latest Meistriliiga results

18 Oct	Flora Tallinn 2-0 Tammeka
18 Oct	Paide 2-1 Trans Narva
18 Oct	Kuressaare 0-2 FC Levadia Tallinn
17 Oct	Nõmme United 3-0 Kalju Nomme
15 Oct	Flora Tallinn 1-3 FC Levadia Tallinn
14 Oct	Paide 2-1 Tammeka