Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#80.8:1.413:00Tomorrow · Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare3.0:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

111.5PINX5.50B36521.27PINMargin at best5.6%Books6Markets81Rating21 · 79Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	11.5	4.78	1.27	8.4%
Bet365	9.50	5.50	1.25	8.7%
1xBet	11.2	4.90	1.23	10.6%
William Hill	10.0	4.80	1.25	10.8%
Marathonbet	10.5	4.90	1.22	11.9%
BetVictor	7.50	4.50	1.18	20.3%
Best of all books	11.5	5.50	1.27	5.6%
Average	10.0	4.90	1.23	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KuressaareFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10#8Table position#11.13Points per game2.5210Form pts · last 5130.8Goals for · last 53.01.4Goals against · last 50.421Attack rating7922Defence rating7835Form rating650H2H rating10021Goals model7921Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Kuressaare

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

14 Oct	A	Trans Narva	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Flora Tallinn	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Saku Sporting	4-2	W
18 Sep	A	Laagri	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Tammeka	1-3	L
9 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Trans Narva	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Vaprus	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Tammeka	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Flora Tallinn	3-2	W

FC Levadia Tallinn

9W 1D 0L · goals 38:5 · per match 3.8 for, 0.5 against

15 Oct	A	Flora Tallinn	3-1	W
11 Oct	H	Paide	1-0	W
7 Oct	H	Keila	10-0	W
20 Sep	A	Trans Narva	1-1	D
17 Sep	H	Tammeka	6-0	W
12 Sep	H	Vaprus	4-0	W
9 Sep	H	Kuressaare	4-0	W
6 Sep	A	Paide	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Kalju Nomme	3-2	W
26 Aug	H	Paide	4-1	W

Head to head

2Kuressaare wins

5draws

38FC Levadia Tallinn wins

45 meetings · goals 25:121 · last 10: 0W 1D 9L for Kuressaare

9 Sep 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn4-0Kuressaare
2 May 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
8 Mar 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn2-0Kuressaare
18 Oct 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare0-3FC Levadia Tallinn
1 Aug 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn2-0Kuressaare
14 Jun 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
8 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn2-1Kuressaare
17 Sep 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare0-1FC Levadia Tallinn
21 Jul 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn0-0Kuressaare
1 Jun 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn2-0Kuressaare

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 17 Oct 13:41 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Kuressaare sit 8th with 35 points from 31 games, while FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st with 78 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	31	24	6	1	85:22	+63	78
2	Flora Tallinn	31	18	1	12	60:44	+16	55
3	Paide	31	16	6	9	50:38	+12	54
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	54:33	+21	51
5	Tammeka	31	15	2	14	42:49	-7	47
6	Laagri	31	13	2	16	43:47	-4	41
7	Vaprus	31	10	6	15	43:61	-18	36
8	Kuressaare	31	10	5	16	34:49	-15	35
9	Nõmme United	32	10	1	21	50:74	-24	31
10	Trans Narva	31	5	5	21	24:68	-44	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg19%10.0X18%4.90273%1.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

111.2 → 10.0 -10.4%X6.20 → 4.90 -21.0%21.19 → 1.23 +3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.47	2.55	7.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.62	6.2%
Average	1.42	2.46	11.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.84	1.85	8.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.82	9.3%
BetVictor	1.65	1.70	19.4%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.80	1.81	10.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kuressaare 0%Draw 50%FC Levadia Tallinn 50%

The statistical model rates Kuressaare at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and FC Levadia Tallinn at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.03 | 4.90 | 1.23, which imply roughly 20.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Kuressaare are 8th (35 pts, 34-49 goals), FC Levadia Tallinn 1st (78 pts, 85-22).

Over their last five matches, Kuressaare averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; FC Levadia Tallinn averaged 3 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FC Levadia Tallinn.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
10.0	4.90	1.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.49	1.03	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
6.94	1.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
8.33	2.61	1.63

2nd half

1	X	2
7.78	3.24	1.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	20.3	23.0	22.3
HT X	21.0	7.67	3.77
HT 2	64.0	21.7	1.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.95	17.4	1.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.7
1.5	1.10	4.80
2.5	1.42	2.46
3.5	2.03	1.64
4.5	3.20	1.25
5.5	5.35	1.08
6.5	9.00	1.04
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.16	4.15
2.25	1.29	3.04
2.75	1.51	2.22
3	1.63	1.99
3.25	1.83	1.77
3.75	2.25	1.48
4	2.80	1.36
4.25	2.98	1.32
4.75	3.92	1.18
5	5.10	1.10
5.25	5.35	1.09
6	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.28	1.49
+1.5	2.00	1.66
+1.75	1.81	1.82
+2	1.62	2.07
+2.25	1.48	2.27
+2.5	1.43	2.60

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	8.30	1.01
+0.25	4.73	1.14
+0.5	3.55	1.27
+0.75	3.15	1.29
+1	2.89	1.35
+2.75	1.35	2.93
+3	1.21	3.81
+3.25	1.18	4.13
+3.5	1.15	4.44
+3.75	1.10	5.57
+4	1.05	7.13
+4.5	1.02	7.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.07	5.44
8.5	1.22	3.50
9.5	1.44	2.51
10.5	1.74	1.98
11.5	2.16	1.61
12.5	2.80	1.35
13.5	3.84	1.18
14.5	5.60	1.06

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.09	4.98
9	1.27	3.16
10	1.55	2.26
11	1.98	1.78
12	2.54	1.43
13	3.52	1.21
14	5.23	1.08