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Nõmme United vs Vaprus• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#91.2:2.416:0023/10 · Tallinn1.2:2.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22MARX3.90BFR22.75B365Margin at best7.0%Books6Markets52Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.173.752.709.8%
Betfair2.203.802.5511.0%
Bet3652.103.702.7511.0%
Betano2.123.602.7511.3%
1xBet2.223.742.5011.8%
Marathonbet2.223.742.5011.8%
Best of all books2.223.802.757.7%
Average2.173.722.6311.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nõmme UnitedVaprus
Last 10#9Table position#70.97Points per game1.133Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 52.250Attack rating5048Defence rating5260Form rating4060H2H rating4064Goals model3655Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Nõmme United

3W 0D 7L · goals 13:22 · per match 1.3 for, 2.2 against

17 OctHKalju Nomme3-0W
13 OctALaagri0-2L
10 OctATammeka0-4L
19 SepHPaide1-3L
12 SepHFlora Tallinn2-3L
8 SepAKalju Nomme2-1W
5 SepAVaprus0-1L
2 SepHVaprus3-2W
29 AugHLaagri1-2L
23 AugAPaide1-4L

Vaprus

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:22 · per match 1.4 for, 2.2 against

18 OctALaagri0-2L
13 OctHKalju Nomme2-2D
10 OctHTrans Narva2-2D
20 SepAFlora Tallinn2-3L
16 SepAPaide0-2L
12 SepAFC Levadia Tallinn0-4L
9 SepHLaagri3-2W
5 SepHNõmme United1-0W
2 SepANõmme United2-3L
29 AugAKuressaare2-2D

Head to head

4Nõmme United wins
1draws
8Vaprus wins

13 meetings · goals 19:30 · last 10: 4W 0D 6L for Nõmme United

5 Sep 2026MeistriliigaMeistriliigaVaprus1-0Nõmme United
2 Sep 2026CupCupNõmme United3-2Vaprus
2 May 2026MeistriliigaMeistriliigaVaprus2-3Nõmme United
14 Mar 2026MeistriliigaMeistriliigaNõmme United7-1Vaprus
12 Feb 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsVaprus7-0Nõmme United
19 Oct 2024MeistriliigaMeistriliigaNõmme United0-2Vaprus
13 Jul 2024MeistriliigaMeistriliigaVaprus2-0Nõmme United
31 May 2024MeistriliigaMeistriliigaNõmme United2-1Vaprus
26 Apr 2024MeistriliigaMeistriliigaVaprus2-1Nõmme United
25 Nov 2020Esiliiga AEsiliiga AVaprus4-1Nõmme United

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 21 Oct 18:50 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Nõmme United sit 9th with 31 points from 32 games, while Vaprus are 7th with 36 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn32256187:22+6581
2Flora Tallinn331911363:47+1658
3Paide32176952:39+1357
4Kalju Nomme321561154:33+2151
5Tammeka321521542:51-947
6Laagri331521648:48047
7Vaprus321061643:63-2036
8Kuressaare321051734:51-1735
9Nõmme United321012150:74-2431
10Trans Narva32552225:70-4520

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.16X24%3.74234%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 00:0021 Oct 06:001 2.16X 3.742 2.63
12.30 → 2.16 -6.1%X3.75 → 3.74 -0.3%22.50 → 2.63 +5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
1xBet1.352.7410.6%
Marathonbet1.352.7410.6%
Best of all books1.403.103.7%
Average1.362.838.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.402.757.8%
1xBet1.342.958.5%
Marathonbet1.342.889.3%
Best of all books1.402.955.3%
Average1.362.868.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nõmme United 45%Draw 45%Vaprus 10%

The statistical model rates Nõmme United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vaprus at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.74 | 2.63, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Nõmme United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Nõmme United are 9th (31 pts, 50-74 goals), Vaprus 7th (36 pts, 43-63).

Over their last five matches, Nõmme United averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Vaprus averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nõmme United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.173.722.63

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.541.20

Draw no bet

12
1.622.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.86

1st half

1X2
2.652.453.02

2nd half

1X2
2.432.852.81

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3713.023.0
HT X5.986.937.00
HT 221.113.64.18

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7723.51.96

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–20.5
1.51.085.93
2.51.372.83
3.51.931.75
4.53.141.30
5.55.471.09
6.58.501.05
7.512.01.01
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.5
1.751.085.45
21.105.00
2.251.233.42
2.751.422.49
31.532.21
3.251.741.92
3.752.151.56
42.521.41
4.252.831.33
4.753.721.20
54.851.11
5.255.151.10
69.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.511.44
-0.52.091.65
-0.251.951.76
01.702.03
+0.251.532.29
+0.51.422.75
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.801.02
-2.256.801.10
-26.871.07
-1.754.831.13
-1.53.891.20
-1.253.541.24
-13.191.29
+0.751.313.10
+11.194.07
+1.251.164.47
+1.51.134.85
+1.751.086.23
+21.018.60

Next Meistriliiga matches

23 OctTammeka – Trans Narva
24 OctKuressaare – Paide
24 OctFC Levadia Tallinn – Laagri

All Meistriliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Meistriliiga results

21 OctLaagri 3-1 Flora Tallinn
18 OctFlora Tallinn 2-0 Tammeka
18 OctPaide 2-1 Trans Narva
18 OctKuressaare 0-2 FC Levadia Tallinn
18 OctLaagri 2-0 Vaprus
17 OctNõmme United 3-0 Kalju Nomme