Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#91.0:2.63-0FT17/10 · Tallinn1.6:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.281XBX4.15PIN21.66PINMargin at best7.7%Books6Markets72Rating28 · 73Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	4.25	4.15	1.66	7.9%
1xBet	4.28	3.98	1.61	10.6%
Bet365	4.20	4.10	1.60	10.7%
Marathonbet	4.20	3.98	1.59	11.8%
William Hill	4.00	3.80	1.65	11.9%
BetVictor	3.70	3.50	1.55	20.1%
Best of all books	4.28	4.15	1.66	7.7%
Average	4.10	3.92	1.61	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nõmme UnitedKalju Nomme

Last 10#9Table position#40.97Points per game1.593Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.62.6Goals against · last 51.238Attack rating6232Defence rating6830Form rating7020H2H rating8027Goals model7328Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:50 UTC

Nõmme United

3W 0D 7L · goals 12:22 · per match 1.2 for, 2.2 against

13 Oct	A	Laagri	0-2	L
10 Oct	A	Tammeka	0-4	L
19 Sep	H	Paide	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Flora Tallinn	2-3	L
8 Sep	A	Kalju Nomme	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Vaprus	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Vaprus	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Laagri	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Paide	1-4	L
19 Aug	A	Hiiumaa	2-0	W

Kalju Nomme

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

13 Oct	A	Vaprus	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Laagri	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Tammeka	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Trans Narva	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Nõmme United	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Flora Tallinn	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	2-3	L
26 Aug	A	Trans Narva	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Laagri	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Vaprus	3-1	W

Head to head

1Nõmme United wins

2draws

4Kalju Nomme wins

7 meetings · goals 5:19 · last 7: 1W 2D 4L for Nõmme United

8 Sep 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme1-2Nõmme United
3 Jul 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United1-3Kalju Nomme
22 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme7-1Nõmme United
18 Sep 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme3-0Nõmme United
19 Jul 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United0-4Kalju Nomme
28 May 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kalju Nomme1-1Nõmme United
17 Mar 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Nõmme United0-0Kalju Nomme

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 18 Oct 15:40 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Nõmme United sit 9th with 31 points from 32 games, while Kalju Nomme are 4th with 51 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	32	25	6	1	87:22	+65	81
2	Flora Tallinn	31	18	1	12	60:44	+16	55
3	Paide	31	16	6	9	50:38	+12	54
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	54:33	+21	51
5	Tammeka	31	15	2	14	42:49	-7	47
6	Laagri	32	14	2	16	45:47	-2	44
7	Vaprus	32	10	6	16	43:63	-20	36
8	Kuressaare	32	10	5	17	34:51	-17	35
9	Nõmme United	32	10	1	21	50:74	-24	31
10	Trans Narva	31	5	5	21	24:68	-44	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.12X23%3.93256%1.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.82 → 4.10 -14.9%X4.30 → 3.94 -8.4%21.53 → 1.61 +5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.43	2.69	7.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
BetVictor	1.33	2.25	19.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Average	1.38	2.59	10.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.41	2.66	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.60	9.4%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.66	4.3%
Average	1.42	2.49	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nõmme United 0%Draw 50%Kalju Nomme 50%

The statistical model rated Nõmme United at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Kalju Nomme at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.12 | 3.93 | 1.61, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Nõmme United are 9th (31 pts, 50-74 goals), Kalju Nomme 4th (51 pts, 54-33).

Over their last five matches, Nõmme United averaged 1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Kalju Nomme averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Kalju Nomme.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.10	3.92	1.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.07	1.17	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
3.11	1.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.49

1st half

1	X	2
4.27	2.45	2.08

2nd half

1	X	2
4.03	2.93	1.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.03	15.1	19.4
HT X	10.2	7.03	4.77
HT 2	35.3	14.8	2.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.47	20.8	1.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.8
1.5	1.08	5.26
2.5	1.38	2.59
3.5	1.99	1.67
4.5	3.13	1.25
5.5	5.38	1.08
6.5	9.00	1.04
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.0
1.75	1.09	5.40
2	1.11	4.95
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.45	2.33
3	1.58	2.08
3.25	1.78	1.83
3.75	2.18	1.52
4	2.70	1.38
4.25	2.88	1.32
4.75	3.86	1.18
5	5.10	1.10
5.25	5.40	1.09
6	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.47	1.43
+0.5	2.11	1.59
+0.75	1.90	1.75
+1	1.67	2.01
+1.25	1.50	2.23
+1.5	1.44	2.55

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.30	1.02
-0.75	5.43	1.11
-0.5	4.15	1.22
-0.25	3.71	1.22
0	3.34	1.27
+1.75	1.32	3.03
+2	1.20	3.88
+2.25	1.17	4.28
+2.5	1.14	4.60
+2.75	1.09	5.90
+3	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.05	5.87
8.5	1.19	3.73
9.5	1.40	2.64
10.5	1.68	2.07
11.5	2.08	1.67
12.5	2.65	1.39
13.5	3.59	1.20
14.5	5.16	1.08

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.07	5.39
9	1.24	3.37
10	1.50	2.37
11	1.90	1.86
12	2.40	1.48
13	3.28	1.25
14	4.80	1.10

Latest Meistriliiga results

18 Oct	Laagri 2-0 Vaprus
15 Oct	Flora Tallinn 1-3 FC Levadia Tallinn
14 Oct	Paide 2-1 Tammeka
14 Oct	Trans Narva 0-1 Kuressaare
13 Oct	Vaprus 2-2 Kalju Nomme
13 Oct	Laagri 2-0 Nõmme United