Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers• Primera B, Chile

#61.2:0.62-1FT03/10 · Recoleta0.8:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.191XBX3.621XB23.30BFRMargin at best3.6%Books7Markets43Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Jul 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.43	3.16	2.75	9.2%
Betfair	2.30	3.25	2.75	10.6%
1xBet	2.38	3.12	2.70	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.12	2.70	11.1%
William Hill	2.45	2.90	2.75	11.7%
Bet365	2.35	3.25	2.60	11.8%
Unibet	2.30	3.05	2.80	12.0%
Best of all books	2.45	3.25	2.80	7.3%
Average	2.37	3.12	2.72	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 79 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RecoletaSantiago Wanderers

Last 10#6Table position#31.52Points per game1.6810Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4063Defence rating3855Form rating4575H2H rating2536Goals model6459Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Recoleta

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Magallanes	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Santiago Wanderers	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Deportes Santa Cruz	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	San Marcos de Arica	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Antofagasta	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Curico Unido	0-0	D
27 Aug	H	O'Higgins	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Deportes Copiapo	2-1	W
18 Aug	A	Deportes Temuco	1-1	D
12 Aug	H	Rangers de Talca	4-2	W

Santiago Wanderers

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Curico Unido	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Recoleta	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Cobreloa	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Deportes Temuco	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	Deportes Iquique	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Magallanes	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	San Luis	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	D. Puerto Montt	1-1	D
13 Aug	A	Antofagasta	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	San Marcos de Arica	1-1	D

Head to head

3Recoleta wins

5draws

1Santiago Wanderers wins

9 meetings · goals 14:8 · last 9: 3W 5D 1L for Recoleta

21 Feb 2026Primera B	Primera B	Santiago Wanderers0-2Recoleta
23 Aug 2025Primera B	Primera B	Recoleta1-1Santiago Wanderers
18 Apr 2025Primera B	Primera B	Santiago Wanderers1-1Recoleta
16 Jul 2024Primera B	Primera B	Santiago Wanderers1-1Recoleta
25 Feb 2024Primera B	Primera B	Recoleta3-1Santiago Wanderers
22 Jul 2023Primera B	Primera B	Recoleta4-1Santiago Wanderers
4 Mar 2023Primera B	Primera B	Santiago Wanderers1-1Recoleta
25 Sep 2022Primera B	Primera B	Santiago Wanderers0-0Recoleta
30 Apr 2022Primera B	Primera B	Recoleta1-2Santiago Wanderers

Primera B tablePrimera Bupdated 17 Oct 01:01 UTC

In the Primera B table, Recoleta sit 6th with 41 points from 27 games, while Santiago Wanderers are 3rd with 47 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	San Luis	27	14	8	5	42:29	+13	50
2	Cobreloa	27	13	9	5	45:29	+16	48
3	Santiago Wanderers	28	13	8	7	46:31	+15	47
4	Magallanes	27	13	7	7	44:39	+5	46
5	Antofagasta	27	12	8	7	47:26	+21	44
6	Recoleta	27	11	8	8	39:36	+3	41
7	Deportes Copiapo	27	11	7	9	42:40	+2	40
8	San Marcos de Arica	27	10	9	8	33:27	+6	39
9	Union Espanola	27	10	6	11	32:35	-3	36
10	Deportes Temuco	27	9	8	10	42:37	+5	35
11	Deportes Iquique	27	8	10	9	36:30	+6	34
12	D. Puerto Montt	27	10	4	13	26:35	-9	34
13	Curico Unido	27	7	9	11	24:40	-16	30
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	27	4	10	13	28:42	-14	22
15	Union San Felipe	27	5	7	15	16:48	-32	22
16	Rangers de Talca	28	5	6	17	28:46	-18	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.21X27%3.38232%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.46 → 2.09 -15.0%X3.30 → 3.36 +1.8%22.70 → 3.17 +17.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.96	1.83	5.7%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
1xBet	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Unibet	1.95	1.70	10.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.83	3.4%
Average	1.96	1.77	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Unibet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.98	9.3%
Best of all books	1.74	2.01	7.2%
Average	1.71	1.98	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Recoleta 45%Draw 45%Santiago Wanderers 10%

The statistical model rated Recoleta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Santiago Wanderers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 3.38 | 2.90, which imply roughly 45.2% for a Recoleta win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Recoleta are 6th (41 pts, 39-36 goals), Santiago Wanderers 3rd (47 pts, 46-31).

Over their last five matches, Recoleta averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Santiago Wanderers averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Recoleta or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.37	3.12	2.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.48	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.71	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
2.99	2.08	3.36

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.91	9.15	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	9.30
1.5	1.27	3.15
2.5	1.96	1.77
3.5	3.29	1.25
4.5	6.40	1.06
5.5	15.0	1.03

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.60
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.14	4.39
1.75	1.34	2.89
2	1.44	2.51
2.25	1.69	2.04
2.75	2.18	1.60
3	2.63	1.40
3.25	2.94	1.32
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.88	1.34
-0.5	2.39	1.52
-0.25	2.05	1.67
0	1.76	1.99
+0.25	1.52	2.31
+0.5	1.42	2.70

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2	9.00	1.02
-1.75	6.55	1.05
-1.5	4.95	1.11
-1.25	4.50	1.13
-1	4.00	1.17
+0.75	1.26	3.29
+1	1.11	4.85
+1.25	1.09	5.35
+1.5	1.07	5.90
+1.75	1.02	7.90