D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe• Primera B, Chile

#120.2:1.620:30Tomorrow · Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt0.6:2.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.12BTNX3.30B36523.40WHMargin at best6.9%Books9Markets47Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 12:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.12	3.25	3.40	7.4%
Dafabet	2.10	3.30	3.35	7.8%
Pinnacle	2.08	3.16	3.39	9.2%
BetVictor	2.05	3.20	3.40	9.4%
Betfair	2.00	3.25	3.40	10.2%
1xBet	2.02	3.16	3.40	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.00	3.16	3.32	11.8%
William Hill	2.05	3.00	3.30	12.4%
Bet365	1.91	3.30	3.30	13.0%
Best of all books	2.12	3.30	3.40	6.9%
Average	2.04	3.20	3.36	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

D. Puerto MonttUnion San Felipe

Last 10#12Table position#151.25Points per game0.821Form pts · last 510.2Goals for · last 50.61.6Goals against · last 52.625Attack rating7562Defence rating3850Form rating5071H2H rating2978Goals model2258Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:01 UTC

D. Puerto Montt

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:14 · per match 0.7 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	A	San Marcos de Arica	0-0	D
12 Oct	H	San Luis	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Deportes Copiapo	0-3	L
29 Sep	H	Colo Colo	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Nublense	1-2	L
22 Sep	H	Nublense	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Magallanes	0-2	L
8 Sep	H	Rangers de Talca	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Curico Unido	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Deportes Temuco	1-3	L

Union San Felipe

1W 3D 6L · goals 4:16 · per match 0.4 for, 1.6 against

18 Oct	H	Deportes Temuco	2-2	D
12 Oct	A	Rangers de Talca	0-4	L
4 Oct	H	Deportes Iquique	0-2	L
30 Sep	H	San Luis	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Deportes Copiapo	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Magallanes	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Deportes Santa Cruz	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Curico Unido	0-2	L
16 Aug	H	Cobreloa	0-1	L
13 Aug	A	San Marcos de Arica	1-0	W

Head to head

6D. Puerto Montt wins

2draws

6Union San Felipe wins

14 meetings · goals 14:15 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for D. Puerto Montt

30 May 2026Primera B	Primera B	Union San Felipe1-0D. Puerto Montt
14 Oct 2023Primera B	Primera B	Union San Felipe0-1D. Puerto Montt
3 Jun 2023Primera B	Primera B	D. Puerto Montt1-1Union San Felipe
11 Nov 2022Primera B	Primera B	Union San Felipe0-1D. Puerto Montt
6 Nov 2022Primera B	Primera B	D. Puerto Montt2-1Union San Felipe
16 Oct 2022Primera B	Primera B	Union San Felipe1-0D. Puerto Montt
16 May 2022Primera B	Primera B	D. Puerto Montt2-1Union San Felipe
28 Aug 2021Primera B	Primera B	D. Puerto Montt0-1Union San Felipe
17 Apr 2021Primera B	Primera B	Union San Felipe2-3D. Puerto Montt
8 Nov 2020Primera B	Primera B	Union San Felipe2-1D. Puerto Montt

Primera B tablePrimera Bupdated 23 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Primera B table, D. Puerto Montt sit 12th with 35 points from 28 games, while Union San Felipe are 15th with 23 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	San Luis	28	15	8	5	43:29	+14	53
2	Cobreloa	28	14	9	5	51:30	+21	51
3	Santiago Wanderers	28	13	8	7	46:31	+15	47
4	Magallanes	28	13	7	8	44:40	+4	46
5	Antofagasta	28	12	9	7	47:26	+21	45
6	Recoleta	28	11	8	9	40:42	-2	41
7	San Marcos de Arica	28	10	10	8	33:27	+6	40
8	Deportes Copiapo	28	11	7	10	42:41	+1	40
9	Union Espanola	28	11	6	11	33:35	-2	39
10	Deportes Temuco	28	9	9	10	44:39	+5	36
11	Deportes Iquique	28	8	11	9	38:32	+6	35
12	D. Puerto Montt	28	10	5	13	26:35	-9	35
13	Curico Unido	28	7	10	11	26:42	-16	31
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	28	4	11	13	28:42	-14	23
15	Union San Felipe	28	5	8	15	18:50	-32	23
16	Rangers de Talca	28	5	6	17	28:46	-18	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.04X28%3.20227%3.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.97 → 2.04 +3.6%X3.20 → 3.20 0.0%23.42 → 3.37 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.10	1.72	5.8%
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.70	6.4%
BetVictor	2.04	1.67	8.9%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.72	4.7%
Average	2.08	1.68	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.83	1.87	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.86	8.4%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Betfair	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.87	7.5%
Average	1.83	1.84	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

D. Puerto Montt 45%Draw 45%Union San Felipe 10%

The statistical model rates D. Puerto Montt at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Union San Felipe at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 3.20 | 3.37, which imply roughly 49% for a D. Puerto Montt win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: D. Puerto Montt are 12th (35 pts, 26-35 goals), Union San Felipe 15th (23 pts, 18-50).

Over their last five matches, D. Puerto Montt averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Union San Felipe averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : D. Puerto Montt or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.04	3.20	3.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.67	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.48	2.49

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.68	2.03	4.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.42	2.34	3.72

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.26	14.8	38.0
HT X	4.96	4.68	7.46
HT 2	27.0	15.1	5.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	8.05	2.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.24
1.5	1.34	3.00
2.5	2.08	1.68
3.5	3.74	1.23
4.5	7.46	1.05
5.5	14.7	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.18	3.91
1.75	1.42	2.58
2	1.56	2.25
2.25	1.81	1.87
2.75	2.36	1.50
3	2.95	1.32
3.25	3.29	1.25
3.75	4.61	1.13
4	6.45	1.05
4.25	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.07	1.30
-0.75	2.38	1.49
-0.5	2.05	1.73
-0.25	1.75	1.94
0	1.48	2.44
+0.25	1.35	2.87

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2.25	8.10	1.02
-2	7.70	1.02
-1.75	5.10	1.10
-1.5	3.90	1.18
-1.25	3.51	1.23
+0.5	1.29	3.32
+0.75	1.15	4.25
+1	1.05	6.60
+1.25	1.04	7.10
+1.5	1.03	7.70

Next Primera B matches

23 Oct	Deportes Iquique – Magallanes
24 Oct	San Luis – Recoleta
24 Oct	Union Espanola – Santiago Wanderers
24 Oct	Deportes Copiapo – Deportes Santa Cruz
25 Oct	Deportes Temuco – San Marcos de Arica
25 Oct	Antofagasta – Curico Unido

All Primera B fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B results

19 Oct	Union Espanola 1-0 Deportes Copiapo
18 Oct	Deportes Santa Cruz 0-0 Antofagasta
18 Oct	San Marcos de Arica 0-0 D. Puerto Montt
18 Oct	Union San Felipe 2-2 Deportes Temuco
18 Oct	Curico Unido 2-2 Deportes Iquique
17 Oct	Cobreloa 6-1 Recoleta