Cobreloa vs Recoleta• Primera B, Chile

#21.0:1.26-1FTToday · Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama1.4:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70WHX3.71PIN24.60BVCMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets53Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.67	3.70	4.60	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.65	3.77	4.53	9.2%
1xBet	1.62	3.68	4.60	10.6%
Bet365	1.70	3.60	4.00	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.60	3.68	4.50	11.9%
William Hill	1.70	3.40	4.20	12.0%
Best of all books	1.70	3.77	4.60	7.1%
Average	1.66	3.64	4.40	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CobreloaRecoleta

Last 10#2Table position#61.82Points per game1.466Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.042Attack rating5845Defence rating5541Form rating5993H2H rating769Goals model3162Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Cobreloa

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	Deportes Copiapo	1-2	L
7 Oct	A	Coquimbo Unido	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Deportes Temuco	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Santiago Wanderers	1-0	W
22 Sep	H	Coquimbo Unido	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Antofagasta	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	San Luis	2-4	L
1 Sep	H	San Marcos de Arica	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Union Espanola	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Union San Felipe	1-0	W

Recoleta

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Magallanes	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Santiago Wanderers	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Deportes Santa Cruz	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	San Marcos de Arica	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Antofagasta	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Curico Unido	0-0	D
27 Aug	H	O'Higgins	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Deportes Copiapo	2-1	W
18 Aug	A	Deportes Temuco	1-1	D
12 Aug	H	Rangers de Talca	4-2	W

Head to head

6Cobreloa wins

1draws

0Recoleta wins

7 meetings · goals 16:3 · last 7: 6W 1D 0L for Cobreloa

21 May 2026Primera B	Primera B	Recoleta2-2Cobreloa
14 Sep 2025Primera B	Primera B	Cobreloa4-0Recoleta
17 May 2025Primera B	Primera B	Recoleta0-1Cobreloa
8 Sep 2023Primera B	Primera B	Recoleta1-2Cobreloa
11 May 2023Primera B	Primera B	Cobreloa3-0Recoleta
15 Sep 2022Primera B	Primera B	Recoleta0-1Cobreloa
24 Apr 2022Primera B	Primera B	Cobreloa3-0Recoleta

Primera B tablePrimera Bupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Primera B table, Cobreloa sit 2nd with 51 points from 28 games, while Recoleta are 6th with 41 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	San Luis	28	15	8	5	43:29	+14	53
2	Cobreloa	28	14	9	5	51:30	+21	51
3	Santiago Wanderers	28	13	8	7	46:31	+15	47
4	Magallanes	28	13	7	8	44:40	+4	46
5	Antofagasta	27	12	8	7	47:26	+21	44
6	Recoleta	28	11	8	9	40:42	-2	41
7	Deportes Copiapo	27	11	7	9	42:40	+2	40
8	San Marcos de Arica	27	10	9	8	33:27	+6	39
9	Union Espanola	27	10	6	11	32:35	-3	36
10	Deportes Temuco	27	9	8	10	42:37	+5	35
11	Deportes Iquique	27	8	10	9	36:30	+6	34
12	D. Puerto Montt	27	10	4	13	26:35	-9	34
13	Curico Unido	27	7	9	11	24:40	-16	30
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	27	4	10	13	28:42	-14	22
15	Union San Felipe	27	5	7	15	16:48	-32	22
16	Rangers de Talca	28	5	6	17	28:46	-18	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.66X25%3.65221%4.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.67 → 1.67 0.0%X3.67 → 3.62 -1.4%24.46 → 4.35 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.82	1.98	5.5%
BetVictor	1.79	1.88	9.1%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.98	4.6%
Average	1.80	1.92	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.76	1.94	8.4%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Best of all books	1.76	1.95	8.1%
Average	1.75	1.94	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cobreloa 45%Draw 45%Recoleta 10%

The statistical model rated Cobreloa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Recoleta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.65 | 4.40, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Cobreloa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Cobreloa are 2nd (51 pts, 51-30 goals), Recoleta 6th (41 pts, 40-42).

Over their last five matches, Cobreloa averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Recoleta averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cobreloa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.64	4.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.01	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.22	2.23	4.79

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.56	4.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.50	16.1	40.0
HT X	4.47	5.77	9.82
HT 2	23.7	16.4	7.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	11.8	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.93
1.5	1.23	3.53
2.5	1.80	1.92
3.5	2.98	1.32
4.5	5.83	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.01	9.00
1.25	1.11	4.89
1.75	1.28	3.17
2	1.37	2.74
2.25	1.58	2.20
2.75	1.98	1.71
3	2.33	1.51
3.25	2.64	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.80	1.12
4.25	5.15	1.10
4.75	7.00	1.04
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.76	1.37
-1.25	2.47	1.46
-1	2.14	1.62
-0.75	1.83	1.87
-0.5	1.64	2.15
-0.25	1.43	2.53

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.09	1.04
-2.5	5.40	1.09
-2.25	5.05	1.10
-2	4.65	1.12
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.24	3.45
+0.25	1.18	3.90
+0.75	1.08	5.95
+1	1.03	7.95
+1.5	1.02	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	1.90	1.90
10.5	2.10	1.67