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Maruinense vs Caninde• Sergipano - 2, Brazil

#21.5:1.018:00Today2.4:1.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30WHX3.60B36522.80B365Margin at best7.0%Books6Markets38Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 14:38 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.183.402.8011.0%
BetVictor2.303.402.6011.4%
William Hill2.303.302.6211.9%
Bet3652.053.602.8012.3%
1xBet2.253.442.5812.3%
Marathonbet2.253.442.5812.3%
Best of all books2.303.602.807.0%
Average2.223.432.6611.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MaruinenseCaninde
Last 10#2Table position#12.00Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 5101.5Goals for · last 52.41.0Goals against · last 51.633Attack rating6767Defence rating3341Form rating590H2H rating048Goals model5247Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 07:10 UTC

Maruinense

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

11 NovHIndependente Simão Dias1-1D
8 NovABarra SE3-0W
4 NovHSocorro Sport3-1W
1 NovAEstanciano0-1L
29 OctHFrei Paulistano2-1W
9 OctASocorro Sport3-0W
2 OctHRosário Central0-2L
25 SepAAracaju FC1-3L
20 SepHFlamengo SE0-2L
15 SepAFlamengo SE0-1L

Caninde

6W 1D 3L · goals 22:19 · per match 2.2 for, 1.9 against

10 NovHSocorrense2-1W
7 NovAFlamengo SE1-0W
3 NovACarmópolis0-3L
31 OctHOlímpico SE3-3D
28 OctAAmérica de Pedrinhas6-1W
1 NovAIndependente Simão Dias2-4L
25 OctABoca Júnior3-0W
18 OctHOlímpico SE1-7L
15 OctHFlamengo SE1-0W
12 OctAAmérica de Pedrinhas3-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Maruinense and Caninde on record.

Sergipano - 2 tableSergipano 2: Regular seasonupdated 14 Nov 07:10 UTC

In the Sergipano - 2 table, Maruinense sit 2nd with 10 points from 5 games, while Caninde are 1st with 10 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Caninde531112:8+410
1Frei Paulistano540117:3+1412
2Carmópolis523014:3+119
2Maruinense53119:4+510
3Olímpico SE522111:8+38
3Estanciano53118:5+310
4Socorrense52128:6+27
4Socorro Sport51138:9-14
5Flamengo SE52128:6+27
5Independente Simão Dias50323:13-103
6América de Pedrinhas50051:23-220
6Barra SE50230:11-112

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.22X26%3.43234%2.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Nov 07:1014 Nov 15:201 2.22X 3.432 2.66
12.07 → 2.22 +7.2%X3.56 → 3.43 -3.7%22.85 → 2.66 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.622.256.2%
BetVictor1.622.207.2%
Pinnacle1.612.158.6%
1xBet1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.159.0%
Betano1.572.1510.2%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.602.188.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
William Hill1.502.388.7%
1xBet1.502.369.0%
Marathonbet1.502.3110.0%
Best of all books1.502.408.3%
Average1.502.369.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maruinense 10%Draw 45%Caninde 45%

The statistical model rates Maruinense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Caninde at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.43 | 2.66, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Sergipano - 2 table: Maruinense are 2nd (10 pts, 9-4 goals), Caninde 1st (10 pts, 12-8).

Over their last five matches, Maruinense averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Caninde averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Caninde.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.223.432.66

Double chance

1XX212
1.371.531.24

Draw no bet

12
1.672.07

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.502.36

1st half

1X2
2.772.283.18

2nd half

1X2
2.552.582.89

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3813.826.5
HT X5.706.056.85
HT 222.514.04.58

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8115.32.04

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0313.0
1.51.154.20
2.51.602.18
3.52.471.43
4.54.451.14
5.59.001.06
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.193.78
21.243.35
2.251.422.53
2.751.761.92
31.951.71
3.252.231.54
3.752.881.32
43.801.19

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.671.37
-0.52.171.58
-0.251.941.75
01.741.95
+0.251.532.25
+0.51.422.56
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.301.02
-1.54.301.14
-1.253.921.18
-13.331.25
+0.751.293.08
+11.144.30
+1.51.105.15

Latest Sergipano - 2 results

8 NovBarra SE 0-3 Maruinense
8 NovSocorro Sport 2-3 Estanciano
7 NovSocorrense 0-0 Carmópolis
4 NovEstanciano 0-2 Frei Paulistano
4 NovIndependente Simão Dias 0-0 Barra SE
4 NovMaruinense 3-1 Socorro Sport