Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano• Sergipano - 2, Brazil

#21.0:0.518:00Today3.0:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96DAFX3.70DAF23.341XBMargin at best8.0%Books7Markets39Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 13:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.96	3.70	3.30	8.4%
1xBet	1.91	3.50	3.34	10.9%
Betano	1.95	3.50	3.20	11.1%
BetVictor	1.91	3.50	3.30	11.2%
Bet365	1.91	3.60	3.20	11.4%
William Hill	1.95	3.30	3.30	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.50	3.25	12.3%
Best of all books	1.96	3.70	3.34	8.0%
Average	1.93	3.51	3.27	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EstancianoFrei Paulistano

Last 10#2Table position#32.00Points per game1.507Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 53.00.5Goals against · last 51.025Attack rating7567Defence rating3357Form rating4333H2H rating67100Goals model042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 10:40 UTC

Estanciano

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

1 Nov	H	Maruinense	1-0	W
29 Oct	A	Independente Simão Dias	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Sete de Junho	1-2	L
29 Sep	A	Botafogo ASF	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Frei Paulistano	1-4	L
22 Sep	A	Boca Júnior	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Boca Júnior	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	Frei Paulistano	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Botafogo ASF	1-1	D
24 Aug	A	Sete de Junho	3-0	W

Frei Paulistano

6W 1D 3L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	Barra SE	5-0	W
29 Oct	A	Maruinense	1-2	L
1 Nov	A	Flamengo SE	4-0	W
26 Oct	A	Atletico Central	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Desportiva Aracaju	0-1	L
15 Oct	A	Independente Simão Dias	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Boca Júnior	5-1	W
4 Oct	A	Olímpico SE	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Caninde	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	América de Pedrinhas	3-3	D

Head to head

1Estanciano wins

0draws

2Frei Paulistano wins

3 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Estanciano

25 Sep 2024Sergipano - 2	Sergipano - 2	Estanciano1-4Frei Paulistano
8 Sep 2024Sergipano - 2	Sergipano - 2	Frei Paulistano0-1Estanciano
15 Mar 2023Sergipano	Sergipano	Frei Paulistano1-0Estanciano

Sergipano - 2 tableSergipano 2updated 4 Nov 10:20 UTC

In the Sergipano - 2 table, Estanciano sit 2nd with 4 points from 2 games, while Frei Paulistano are 3rd with 3 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Carmópolis	3	2	1	0	12:1	+11	7
1	Socorro Sport	2	1	1	0	5:0	+5	4
2	Socorrense	3	2	0	1	7:4	+3	6
2	Estanciano	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
3	Caninde	3	1	1	1	9:7	+2	4
3	Frei Paulistano	2	1	0	1	6:2	+4	3
4	Olímpico SE	3	1	1	1	6:6	0	4
4	Maruinense	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
5	Flamengo SE	3	1	1	1	5:5	0	4
5	Independente Simão Dias	2	0	1	1	1:6	-5	1
6	América de Pedrinhas	3	0	0	3	1:17	-16	0
6	Barra SE	2	0	1	1	0:5	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.93X26%3.51228%3.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.91 → 1.93 +1.0%X3.58 → 3.51 -2.0%23.29 → 3.27 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.07	8.6%
1xBet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Betano	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.67	2.05	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.13	9.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Average	1.59	2.19	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estanciano 10%Draw 45%Frei Paulistano 45%

The statistical model rates Estanciano at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Frei Paulistano at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 3.51 | 3.27, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Sergipano - 2 table: Estanciano are 2nd (4 pts, 2-1 goals), Frei Paulistano 3rd (3 pts, 6-2).

Over their last five matches, Estanciano averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Frei Paulistano averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Frei Paulistano.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.93	3.51	3.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.71	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.46	2.51

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.25	3.81

2nd half

1	X	2
2.27	2.55	3.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.00	14.0	32.0
HT X	5.13	5.87	7.67
HT 2	22.3	14.7	5.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	13.6	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.0
1.5	1.18	3.84
2.5	1.67	2.06
3.5	2.60	1.39
4.5	4.75	1.12
5.5	9.50	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.28	3.08
2.25	1.47	2.38
2.75	1.83	1.84
3	2.10	1.61
3.25	2.37	1.48
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.10	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.66	1.38
-0.75	2.17	1.58
-0.5	1.92	1.78
-0.25	1.73	1.98
0	1.45	2.47
+0.25	1.34	2.81

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.65	1.05
-2	5.95	1.07
-1.5	3.34	1.24
-1.25	3.02	1.30
+0.75	1.17	3.98
+1	1.07	5.85
+1.5	1.05	6.70

Next Sergipano - 2 matches

4 Nov	Independente Simão Dias – Barra SE
4 Nov	Maruinense – Socorro Sport

All Sergipano - 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Sergipano - 2 results

3 Nov	Carmópolis 3-0 Caninde
28 Oct	Flamengo SE 1-1 Carmópolis