Socorrense vs Carmópolis• Sergipano - 2, Brazil

#42.3:1.30-0FT07/114.0:0.3#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.20B365X4.00B36521.57B365Margin at best12.5%Books1Markets6Rating34 · 67Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 15:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	4.20	4.00	1.57	12.5%
Best of all books	4.20	4.00	1.57	12.5%
Average	4.20	4.00	1.57	12.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SocorrenseCarmópolis

Last 10#4Table position#11.75Points per game2.006Form pts · last 582.3Goals for · last 54.01.3Goals against · last 50.337Attack rating6320Defence rating8046Form rating540H2H rating031Goals model6934Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 18:11 UTC

Socorrense

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against

3 Nov	A	América de Pedrinhas	3-0	W
31 Oct	H	Flamengo SE	2-3	L
28 Oct	A	Olímpico SE	2-1	W
9 Oct	A	Desportiva Aracaju	0-1	L
2 Oct	H	Barra SE	0-5	L
29 Sep	A	Santa Cruz SE	1-0	W
25 Sep	H	Cotinguiba	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	Cotinguiba	0-4	L
4 Sep	H	Santa Cruz SE	0-3	L
1 Sep	A	Barra SE	0-2	L

Carmópolis

2W 4D 4L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

3 Nov	H	Caninde	3-0	W
31 Oct	H	América de Pedrinhas	8-0	W
28 Oct	A	Flamengo SE	1-1	D
1 Mar	A	Guarany SE	1-2	L
22 Feb	H	Lagarto	1-1	D
15 Feb	H	América SE	1-1	D
10 Feb	A	Falcon	2-3	L
3 Feb	A	Barra SE	2-3	L
26 Jan	H	Confiança	1-2	L
18 Jan	A	Dorense	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Socorrense and Carmópolis on record.

Sergipano - 2 tableSergipano 2updated 8 Nov 12:10 UTC

In the Sergipano - 2 table, Socorrense sit 4th with 7 points from 4 games, while Carmópolis are 1st with 8 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Carmópolis	4	2	2	0	12:1	+11	8
1	Frei Paulistano	4	3	0	1	14:3	+11	9
2	Caninde	4	2	1	1	10:7	+3	7
2	Maruinense	3	2	0	1	5:3	+2	6
3	Olímpico SE	4	2	1	1	9:6	+3	7
3	Socorro Sport	3	1	1	1	6:3	+3	4
4	Socorrense	4	2	1	1	7:4	+3	7
4	Estanciano	3	1	1	1	2:3	-1	4
5	Flamengo SE	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
5	Barra SE	3	0	2	1	0:5	-5	2
6	América de Pedrinhas	4	0	0	4	1:20	-19	0
6	Independente Simão Dias	4	0	2	2	2:12	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.20X22%4.00257%1.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.57	2.35	6.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Socorrense 10%Draw 45%Carmópolis 45%

The statistical model rated Socorrense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Carmópolis at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.57, which imply roughly 25% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Sergipano - 2 table: Socorrense are 4th (7 pts, 7-4 goals), Carmópolis 1st (8 pts, 12-1).

Over their last five matches, Socorrense averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Carmópolis averaged 4 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Carmópolis.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.20	4.00	1.57

Draw no bet

1	2
3.50	1.28

1st half

1	X	2
4.50	2.50	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.57	2.35

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1	1.82	1.98

Next Sergipano - 2 matches

8 Nov	Barra SE – Maruinense
8 Nov	Socorro Sport – Estanciano

All Sergipano - 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Sergipano - 2 results

4 Nov	Estanciano 0-2 Frei Paulistano
4 Nov	Independente Simão Dias 0-0 Barra SE
4 Nov	Maruinense 3-1 Socorro Sport
3 Nov	Carmópolis 3-0 Caninde
28 Oct	Flamengo SE 1-1 Carmópolis