Maruinense vs Socorro Sport• Sergipano - 2, Brazil

#41.0:1.018:00Today2.5:0.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10DAFX3.60B36522.12DAFMargin at best7.2%Books6Markets40Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 13:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.10	3.50	2.12	8.0%
1xBet	3.04	3.42	2.05	10.9%
Bet365	2.90	3.60	2.05	11.0%
Betano	3.00	3.30	2.10	11.3%
BetVictor	3.00	3.30	2.10	11.3%
William Hill	2.88	3.50	2.00	13.3%
Best of all books	3.10	3.60	2.12	7.2%
Average	2.99	3.44	2.07	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MaruinenseSocorro Sport

Last 10#4Table position#11.50Points per game2.006Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 52.51.0Goals against · last 50.029Attack rating710Defence rating10043Form rating5780H2H rating200Goals model051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 10:20 UTC

Maruinense

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:15 · per match 0.7 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	A	Estanciano	0-1	L
29 Oct	H	Frei Paulistano	2-1	W
9 Oct	A	Socorro Sport	3-0	W
2 Oct	H	Rosário Central	0-2	L
25 Sep	A	Aracaju FC	1-3	L
20 Sep	H	Flamengo SE	0-2	L
15 Sep	A	Flamengo SE	0-1	L
10 Sep	H	Aracaju FC	0-3	L
1 Sep	A	Rosário Central	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Socorro Sport	0-0	D

Socorro Sport

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:19 · per match 0.6 for, 1.9 against

1 Nov	H	Independente Simão Dias	5-0	W
29 Oct	A	Barra SE	0-0	D
9 Oct	H	Maruinense	0-3	L
1 Oct	A	Aracaju FC	0-1	L
28 Sep	H	Flamengo SE	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Rosário Central	0-3	L
14 Sep	H	Rosário Central	0-4	L
4 Sep	A	Flamengo SE	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Aracaju FC	1-3	L
25 Aug	A	Maruinense	0-0	D

Head to head

1Maruinense wins

1draws

0Socorro Sport wins

2 meetings · goals 3:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Maruinense

9 Oct 2024Sergipano - 2	Sergipano - 2	Socorro Sport0-3Maruinense
25 Aug 2024Sergipano - 2	Sergipano - 2	Maruinense0-0Socorro Sport

Sergipano - 2 tableSergipano 2updated 4 Nov 10:20 UTC

In the Sergipano - 2 table, Maruinense sit 4th with 3 points from 2 games, while Socorro Sport are 1st with 4 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Carmópolis	3	2	1	0	12:1	+11	7
1	Socorro Sport	2	1	1	0	5:0	+5	4
2	Socorrense	3	2	0	1	7:4	+3	6
2	Estanciano	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
3	Caninde	3	1	1	1	9:7	+2	4
3	Frei Paulistano	2	1	0	1	6:2	+4	3
4	Olímpico SE	3	1	1	1	6:6	0	4
4	Maruinense	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
5	Flamengo SE	3	1	1	1	5:5	0	4
5	Independente Simão Dias	2	0	1	1	1:6	-5	1
6	América de Pedrinhas	3	0	0	3	1:17	-16	0
6	Barra SE	2	0	1	1	0:5	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.02X26%3.43244%2.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Betano	1.78	1.87	9.7%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.81	1.89	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.66	2.07	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maruinense 35%Draw 35%Socorro Sport 30%

The statistical model rates Maruinense at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Socorro Sport at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.02 | 3.43 | 2.08, which imply roughly 33.1% for a Maruinense win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Sergipano - 2 table: Maruinense are 4th (3 pts, 2-2 goals), Socorro Sport 1st (4 pts, 5-0).

Over their last five matches, Maruinense averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Socorro Sport averaged 2.5 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Maruinense or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.99	3.44	2.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.62	1.31	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.23	1.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
3.58	2.16	2.70

2nd half

1	X	2
3.29	2.45	2.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.95	15.2	24.7
HT X	6.93	5.43	5.27
HT 2	32.0	14.0	3.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	11.0	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	9.55
1.5	1.22	3.50
2.5	1.81	1.89
3.5	2.97	1.30
4.5	5.60	1.09
5.5	12.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.28	3.08
2	1.36	2.70
2.25	1.57	2.16
2.75	2.01	1.69
3	2.38	1.46
3.25	2.70	1.37
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.57	1.40
0	2.23	1.55
+0.25	1.88	1.83
+0.5	1.62	2.02
+0.75	1.47	2.39
+1	1.28	3.08

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.45	1.05
-1	5.50	1.08
-0.75	3.70	1.20
+1.25	1.22	3.50
+1.5	1.18	3.92
+2	1.03	7.60
+2.5	1.01	8.50

Next Sergipano - 2 matches

4 Nov	Estanciano – Frei Paulistano
4 Nov	Independente Simão Dias – Barra SE

All Sergipano - 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Sergipano - 2 results

3 Nov	Carmópolis 3-0 Caninde
28 Oct	Flamengo SE 1-1 Carmópolis